Arsenal v Manchester City prediction

Premier League · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Emirates Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal · Manchester City · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arsenal host Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Arsenal have five wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.40 and conceding 0.40. Arsenal have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

11 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Manchester City have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.83. Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal (first) and Manchester City (second) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 87 rating points above Manchester City (Arsenal 1931, Manchester City 1845, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Arsenal 3–0 Manchester City.

Team news

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, B. White, J. Timber, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, E. Eze, M. Merino, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.3 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1803 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, A. Khusanov, M. Guéhi, R. Dias, N. O'Reilly, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, P. Foden, I. Ndiaye, E. Haaland — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (5.8 per match over 13 appearances, 14 goals) and Elliot Anderson (5.0 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2060 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Elliot Anderson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2191 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Emirates Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 2 · draws 2 · Manchester City 2 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Arsenal 3W 2D 0L · Manchester City 2W 1D 2L

Arsenal v Manchester City (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.38

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.43 / 6.43

Corners

against 4.14 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 1.57

Cards

against 2 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Arsenal for / against	Line	Manchester City for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.43 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.43 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.14 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David Raya	14	901260 min	322.3 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.3 6/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	1.8 5/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	15	871305 min	171.2 /90	191.3 /90	110.8 /90	634.3 /90	161.1 /90	20.1 /90
E. Konsa	12	841007 min	191.7 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90	585.2 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	11	77852 min	151.6 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	363.8 /90	70.7 /90	10.1 /90
Ben White	10	78784 min	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Timber	7	59414 min	81.7 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	235 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.9 6/1	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.4 2/1	1.3 5/3	—
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	1.8 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.6 7/4
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	2.2 6/5
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.6 3/1
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	0.4 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	86.5	1.7 5/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Havertz	13	66858 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.7 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres	10	48479 min	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	132.4 /90	00 /90
Declan Rice	14	841169 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90	201.5 /90	60.5 /90
Martin Ødegaard	13	791023 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	141.2 /90	80.7 /90	292.6 /90	111 /90
Bruno Guimarães	12	50594 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	142.1 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	71.1 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.9 3/2	0.4 2/1
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	1.9 6/4	0.7 4/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	14	901260 min	372.6 /90	141 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	3.1 6/4

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rúben Dias	13	861118 min	100.8 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	453.6 /90	181.4 /90	00 /90
J. Gvardiol	13	74957 min	282.6 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90	726.8 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90
M. Guéhi	12	82982 min	70.6 /90	100.9 /90	50.5 /90	433.9 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Khusanov	11	86941 min	323.1 /90	222.1 /90	40.4 /90	545.2 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	9	76683 min	101.3 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	283.7 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.3 1/1	1 4/1	—
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.6 2/2	0.6 4/1	—
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	1.9 5/5	0.1 1/0	—
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.4 7/2	3.3 8/7	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.9 3/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.9 4/2
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	3 8/6
J. Gvardiol n 8	70.5	2.9 5/4
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	13	861123 min	141.1 /90	00 /90	473.8 /90	272.2 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90
J. Doku	8	53422 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.9 /90	40.9 /90	163.4 /90	326.8 /90
R. McAidoo	3	3194 min	11 /90	11 /90	32.9 /90	21.9 /90	21.9 /90	43.8 /90
F. Samba	2	76152 min	21.2 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Omar Marmoush	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	2.7 7/5	1.2 6/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	3.3 8/8	1.8 8/4
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.1 5/3	0.1 1/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	1.1 7/2	0 0/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ArsenalDWDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Manchester CityWLDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Arsenal 2 · 2 draws · Manchester City 2 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-08-16 Arsenal 3–0 Manchester City
2026-04-19 Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal
2026-03-22 Arsenal 0–2 Manchester City
2025-09-21 Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City
2025-02-02 Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City
2024-09-22 Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal

League standing · 2026/27

Arsenal#1 pos24 pts9 pl+9 GD

Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Arsenal scored1.56

Manchester City scored2.22

Arsenal conceded0.56

Manchester City conceded1.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Manchester City?: In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 2, Manchester City won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Manchester City?: Recent form — Arsenal 3W 2D 0L; Manchester City 2W 1D 2L.

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