Arsenal v Manchester United result
Team pages: Arsenal · Manchester United · Head-to-head
Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United — Manchester United won this Premier League match.
What xG said
xG said Arsenal: 1.42 to 0.64 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 70th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Manchester United won 3–2 at Emirates Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 25 January. Manchester United have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Manchester United: an own goal by Lisandro Martínez (29’), Bryan Mbeumo (37’), Patrick Dorgu (50’, assisted by Bruno Fernandes) and Matheus Cunha (87’, assisted by Kobbie Mainoo); Arsenal: Mikel Merino (84’).
Discipline
C. Pawson showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arsenal: Declan Rice (64’) and Eberechi Eze (90+1’).
What it changes
Arsenal stay first after this result (23 league matches played).
Manchester United stay fourth after this result (23 league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mikel Merino (Arsenal) 6.6, Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United) 5.8 and Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) 5.8 led the match.
Next up
Arsenal next travel to Bayern München on 21 October 2026.
Manchester United next travel to Como on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Arsenal: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Como v Manchester United, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United · Premier League
- Venue: Emirates Stadium · London
- Referee: C. Pawson
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 4 · draws 2 · Manchester United 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Arsenal 3W 2D 0L · Manchester United 1W 3D 1L
Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arsenal for / against | Line | Manchester United for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.38 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.5 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: C. Pawson — 2.88 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 20.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.31 to the home side, 1.56 to the away side).
Arsenal
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Merino n 8 | 62.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | — |
| Gabriel Jesus n 8 | 33.4 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| K. Havertz n 8 | 36.4 | 1.9 | 2.8 | — |
| J. Timber n 8 | 77.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres n 8 | 62.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Martinelli n 8 | 40.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| E. Nwaneri n 8 | 42.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Bukayo Saka n 8 | 63.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Noni Madueke n 8 | 48.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Gabriel Jesus n 8 | 33.4 | 2 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Jesus n 8 | 33.4 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Noni Madueke n 8 | 48.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Gabriel Martinelli n 8 | 40.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Viktor Gyökeres n 8 | 62.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Martin Ødegaard n 8 | 63.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Piero Hincapié n 8 | 82.5 | 2.3 |
| Martín Zubimendi n 8 | 78.4 | 2.3 |
| Cristhian Mosquera n 8 | 55.9 | 2.2 |
| Christian Nørgaard n 8 | 59.4 | 2.1 |
| Declan Rice n 8 | 71.8 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| David Raya n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
Manchester United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lacey n 3 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 0 | — |
| M. Ugarte n 8 | 64.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 23.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Casemiro n 8 | 68.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Fletcher n 3 | 35.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lacey n 3 | 16.7 | 7.2 | 1.8 |
| Benjamin Šeško n 8 | 68 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 79.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 77.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| B. Mbeumo n 8 | 81.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes n 8 | 80.6 | 0.4 | 1 |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 77.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 79.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 79.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Ugarte n 8 | 64.1 | 4.9 |
| J. Fletcher n 3 | 35.7 | 4.2 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 79.8 | 3.5 |
| Casemiro n 8 | 68.3 | 3.5 |
| T. Malacia n 8 | 39.5 | 3.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
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Match statistics & details
| Arsenal | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.71 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 443 | Passes | 364 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Arsenal player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| J. Timber | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| William Saliba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Declan Rice | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Y | 7.5 |
| Bukayo Saka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Leandro Trossard | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Piero Hincapié | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Ben White sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Mikel Merino sub | 32 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Eberechi Eze sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| Viktor Gyökeres sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Noni Madueke sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Manchester United player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Diogo Dalot | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Maguire | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Lisandro Martínez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Shaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Casemiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Mainoo | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Diallo | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Dorgu | 81 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Mbeumo | 69 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Matheus Cunha sub | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| N. Mazraoui sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Benjamin Šeško sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arsenal v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-17 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal
- 2025-03-09 Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal
- 2025-01-12 Arsenal 1–1 Manchester United
- 2024-12-04 Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United
- 2024-05-12 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal
- 2023-09-03 Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United
Shot map and expected goals
Arsenal 1.42 xG from 15 shots, Manchester United 0.64 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 15 | 1 | 1.42 |
| Manchester United | 11 | 3 | 0.64 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Manchester United?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 4, Manchester United won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arsenal and Manchester United?
- Recent form — Arsenal 3W 2D 0L; Manchester United 1W 3D 1L.
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