Aston Villa v Leeds result
Team pages: Aston Villa · Leeds · Head-to-head
Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds — this Premier League match was drawn.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Aston Villa 1.25, Leeds 1.28 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Aston Villa and Leeds drew 1–1 at Villa Park in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February. Leeds are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
Leeds led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Leeds: Anton Stach (31’); Aston Villa: T. Abraham (88’).
Discipline
M. Oliver showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aston Villa: E. Buendía (73’); Leeds: Jaka Bijol (62’), Karl Darlow (69’), Jayden Bogle (79’) and Ilia Gruev (90+2’).
What it changes
Aston Villa stay third after this result (27 league matches played).
Leeds stay 15th after this result (27 league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Anton Stach (Leeds) 6.4, Ethan Ampadu (Leeds) 5.2 and E. Konsa (Aston Villa) 4.8 led the match.
Next up
Aston Villa next host Viking on 21 October 2026.
Leeds next travel to Sunderland on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Aston Villa: Aston Villa v Viking, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Leeds: Sunderland v Leeds, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds · Premier League
- Venue: Villa Park · Birmingham
- Referee: M. Oliver
- Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa 4 · draws 2 · Leeds 0 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L · Leeds 1W 3D 1L
Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aston Villa for / against | Line | Leeds for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.38 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Oliver — 3.3 yellow cards a game, 0.04 red cards, 22.78 fouls over 23 matches (1.35 to the home side, 1.96 to the away side).
Aston Villa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hemmings n 4 | 17.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | — |
| E. Guessand n 8 | 45.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 68 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| O. Watkins n 8 | 64.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | — |
| T. Abraham n 8 | 55.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Guessand n 8 | 45.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 27.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| M. Rogers n 8 | 82.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.4 | 2 | 1 |
| Harvey Elliott n 8 | 35.3 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abraham n 8 | 55.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| M. Rogers n 8 | 82.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Sancho n 8 | 57.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| E. Guessand n 8 | 45.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Jimoh n 8 | 32.5 | 2.8 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.4 | 2.6 |
| M. Cash n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 |
| A. Onana n 8 | 62.6 | 2.5 |
| L. Digne n 8 | 59.1 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Bizot n 8 | 78.9 | 4.6 |
| E. Martínez n 8 | 78.9 | 3.3 |
Leeds
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 46 | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 34 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| W. Gnonto n 8 | 27 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| F. Buonanotte n 8 | 50.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 75.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Piroe n 8 | 24.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| D. James n 8 | 32.4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 46 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| N. Okafor n 8 | 52.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 75.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 46 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| N. Okafor n 8 | 52.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. James n 8 | 32.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Justin n 8 | 82.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Ilia Gruev n 8 | 76.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Stach n 8 | 75.9 | 3.9 |
| A. Tanaka n 8 | 34 | 3.6 |
| S. Longstaff n 8 | 45.6 | 2.7 |
| J. Justin n 8 | 82.5 | 2.6 |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 93.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri n 8 | 93.8 | 2.5 |
| K. Darlow n 8 | 90 | 2 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Aston Villa | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | Possession | 33% |
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 4 | Offsides | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 520 | Passes | 256 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 71% |
Aston Villa player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Konsa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Mings | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| I. Maatsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Rogers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Watkins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Cash | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Douglas Luiz | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.7 |
| E. Buendía | 75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Onana | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Bailey | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Barkley sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Sancho sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Abraham sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| L. Bogarde sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Andrés García sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Leeds player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Darlow | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.7 |
| J. Bogle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Justin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Rodon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Struijk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Ampadu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Ilia Gruev | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Stach | 83 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| B. Aaronson | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Gudmundsson | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bijol sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| L. Nmecha sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Longstaff sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Aston Villa v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-23 Leeds 1–2 Aston Villa
- 2023-01-13 Aston Villa 2–1 Leeds
- 2022-10-02 Leeds 0–0 Aston Villa
- 2022-03-10 Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa
- 2022-02-09 Aston Villa 3–3 Leeds
- 2021-02-27 Leeds 0–1 Aston Villa
Shot map and expected goals
Aston Villa 1.25 xG from 16 shots, Leeds 1.28 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 16 | 1 | 1.25 |
| Leeds | 14 | 1 | 1.28 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Leeds?
- In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa won 4, Leeds won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Leeds?
- Recent form — Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L; Leeds 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.