Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · · Villa Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aston Villa · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest — Aston Villa won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Aston Villa: 1.43 to 0.90 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 3–1 at Villa Park in the Premier League on Saturday 3 January. Aston Villa have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aston Villa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Aston Villa: O. Watkins (45’, assisted by Morgan Rogers) and John McGinn (49’, assisted by Matthew Cash; 73’, assisted by Youri Tielemans); Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White (61’, assisted by Dilane Bakwa).

Discipline

S. Hooper showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aston Villa: Lamare Bogarde (90+4’); Nottingham Forest: Dilane Bakwa (65’) and James McAtee (89’).

What it changes

Aston Villa move up from third to second (20 league matches played). Aston Villa have scored 48 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Aston Villa have conceded 44 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest stay 17th after this result (20 league matches played). Nottingham Forest have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Nottingham Forest have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, John McGinn (Aston Villa) 10.6, Boubacar Kamara (Aston Villa) 9.8 and Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) 7.6 led the match.

Next up

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Nottingham Forest next travel to Bournemouth on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
  • Venue: Villa Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: S. Hooper
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa 3 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aston Villa 4W 0D 1L · Nottingham Forest 2W 0D 3L

Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6
Corners
against 4 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.13 yellows
Referee · S. Hooper
21.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 December 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAston Villa for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: S. Hooper — 3.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez18901620 min482.7 /90181 /9010.1 /90
M. Bizot790630 min273.9 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
3.47/6
M. Bizot n 790
3.95/5

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Konsa23861986 min120.5 /90150.7 /90221 /90642.9 /90130.6 /9010 /90
M. Cash22841840 min341.7 /90160.8 /9090.4 /90793.9 /90261.3 /9070.3 /90
L. Digne19641210 min201.5 /9080.6 /9020.1 /90523.9 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90
Pau Torres17791348 min181.2 /9090.6 /90161.1 /90442.9 /9080.5 /9000 /90
I. Maatsen15681017 min292.6 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90665.8 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rogers n 880.9
1.86/5
1.57/2
—
O. Watkins n 860.8
1.35/2
0.93/1
—
E. Konsa n 890
0.54/0
1.16/3
N. Williams
M. Cash n 884
1.78/3
0.94/2
N. Williams
J. McGinn n 873.5
1.57/1
2.37/4
—
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 880.9
15/1
O. Watkins n 860.8
0.74/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.64/1
M. Cash n 884
1.97/5
J. McGinn n 873.5
1.56/3
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Watkins25661650 min60.3 /9010.1 /90321.7 /90201.1 /90130.7 /90160.9 /90
D. Malen1948904 min50.5 /9010.1 /90262.6 /90131.3 /9070.7 /90141.4 /90
J. Sancho1245537 min00 /9000 /90101.7 /9071.2 /90193.2 /90111.8 /90
M. Rogers25822043 min70.3 /9050.2 /90301.3 /90170.7 /90291.3 /90341.5 /90
J. McGinn22741624 min30.2 /9020.1 /90130.7 /9070.4 /90241.3 /90100.6 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 880.9
1.85/3
14/2
O. Watkins n 860.8
2.44/4
1.94/3
E. Konsa n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Cash n 884
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. McGinn n 873.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 880.9
0.62/2
0.11/0
O. Watkins n 860.8
0.93/2
0.21/0
E. Konsa n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Cash n 884
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. McGinn n 873.5
00/0
0.32/0
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Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels18901620 min512.8 /90301.7 /9000 /90
John890720 min111.4 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.56/5
John n 890
1.43/1

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Milenković25872180 min170.7 /90200.8 /90230.9 /90994.1 /90160.7 /9040.2 /90
N. Williams24872086 min723.1 /90251.1 /90110.5 /901566.7 /90180.8 /9040.2 /90
Murillo17801362 min291.9 /90241.6 /90130.9 /90624.1 /90181.2 /9040.3 /90
N. Savona17761293 min271.9 /9050.3 /9030.2 /90473.3 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
Morato14861202 min302.2 /9070.5 /9070.5 /90644.8 /90100.7 /9050.4 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 881.4
0.63/1
14/3
—
N. Williams n 880.8
0.41/1
26/5
M. Cash
E. Anderson n 884.4
1.77/3
2.98/5
—
Morgan Gibbs-White n 887.1
0.52/1
0.54/0
—
C. Hudson-Odoi n 868.1
0.31/1
0.53/0
—
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 881.4
1.16/1
N. Williams n 880.8
2.27/3
E. Anderson n 884.4
2.47/4
Morgan Gibbs-White n 887.1
0.94/1
C. Hudson-Odoi n 868.1
14/2
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus21601263 min60.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90141 /9070.5 /9040.3 /90
C. Wood962559 min30.5 /9000 /90172.7 /9071.1 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
A. Kalimuendo846369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
D. Bakwa647283 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9031 /9061.9 /9051.6 /90
T. Awoniyi533167 min00 /9000 /9052.7 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 881.4
0.42/1
00/0
N. Williams n 880.8
16/1
16/1
E. Anderson n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 887.1
1.45/4
0.43/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 868.1
1.55/2
0.82/2
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 30 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 881.4
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 880.8
00/0
00/0
E. Anderson n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 868.1
0.31/1
0.21/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
73%Possession27%
1.59Expected goals (xG)0.89
11Shots10
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box6
4Corners4
1Offsides4
10Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
645Passes239
90%Pass accuracy71%

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007
E. Konsa9000000107.3
V. Lindelöf9000000107
B. Kamara9000001607.6
Y. Tielemans9001001407.9
M. Rogers9001002006.9
M. Cash8901001007.3
J. McGinn8320220208.3
O. Watkins8310220207.9
I. Maatsen6900200106.2
E. Buendía6900101106.7
L. Digne sub2100001006.6
J. Sancho sub2100000006.3
L. Bogarde sub15000000Y6.3
D. Malen sub1500000006.3
Andrés García sub800000006.7

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Milenković9000000206.2
Murillo9000000106.6
N. Williams9000001306.2
O. Hutchinson9000111106.5
Morgan Gibbs-White9010222207.7
E. Anderson9000000206.3
N. Domínguez8300001507.3
Igor Jesus8300100006
John7800000005.3
O. Aina6900111206.2
D. Bakwa69012010Y6.2
N. Savona sub2100000006.2
J. McAtee sub21000001Y6.2
Douglas Luiz sub1400000006.7
A. Kalimuendo sub1400110006.3
M. Sels sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Aston VillaWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aston Villa 3 · 1 draw · Nottingham Forest 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-04-05 Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-12-14 Nottingham Forest 2–1 Aston Villa
  • 2024-02-24 Aston Villa 4–2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Aston Villa
  • 2023-04-08 Aston Villa 2–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
League standing · 2025/26
Aston Villa#4 pos65 pts38 pl+7 GD
Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Aston Villa scored1.47
Nottingham Forest scored1.26
Aston Villa conceded1.29
Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Aston Villa 1.43 xG from 11 shots, Nottingham Forest 0.90 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ollie Watkins 1' · 0.49 xGDilane Bakwa 53' · 0.38 xGEmiliano Buendía 56' · 0.12 xGMorgan Rogers 25' · 0.11 xGMorgan Rogers 65' · 0.11 xGEmiliano Buendía 10' · 0.07 xGIan Maatsen 7' · 0.07 xGOmari Hutchinson 29' · 0.06 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 77' · 0.04 xGJadon Sancho 69' · 0.04 xGArnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 96' · 0.04 xGNeco Williams 30' · 0.03 xGIan Maatsen 16' · 0.02 xGIgor Jesus 20' · 0.02 xGNicolás Domínguez 50' · 0.01 xGOla Aina 63' · 0.01 xGDilane Bakwa 51' · 0.01 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 60' · 0.30 xG · goalJohn McGinn 72' · 0.29 xG · goalJohn McGinn 48' · 0.09 xG · goalOllie Watkins 45' · 0.03 xG · goal
Aston Villa (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Aston Villa1131.43
Nottingham Forest1010.90

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Aston Villa led on xG, 0.78 to 0.10. At full time, Aston Villa led on xG, 1.43 to 0.90. The widest gap was 0.77 xG to Aston Villa, in the 48th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Aston Villa 45 minGoal - Aston Villa 48 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 60 minGoal - Aston Villa 72 min
Aston Villa 1.43 xGNottingham Forest 0.90 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa won 3, Nottingham Forest won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Aston Villa 4W 0D 1L; Nottingham Forest 2W 0D 3L.

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