This Matchweek

BournemouthBrentford

Bournemouth v Brentford result

Full-time · Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bournemouth · Brentford · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 2.57 to 0.79 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 36th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2–2 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September. Bournemouth have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Brentford have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Kevin Schade (34’, assisted by Yehor Yarmolyuk; 56’); Bournemouth: Justin Kluivert (38’) and Marcus Tavernier (52’, assisted by Evanilson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kevin Schade’s goal on 56 minutes.

Discipline

Jarred Gillett, Australia showed six yellow cards — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (45+4’), James Hill (63’), Lewis Cook (85’), Adam Smith (87’) and David Brooks (89’); Brentford: Thiago (45+3’).

What it changes

Bournemouth stay 14th after this result (four league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brentford move up from fifth to fourth (four league matches played). Brentford have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brentford have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Brentford are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kevin Schade (Brentford) 9.7, Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth) 9.3 and Vitaly Janelt (Brentford) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Brentford are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bournemouth, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
  • Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bournemouth 0 · draws 1 · Brentford 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 1W 3D 1L · Brentford 2W 3D 0L

Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineBrentford for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia.

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović390270 min93 /9051.7 /9000 /90
M. Di Gregorio19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.56/4

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Hill490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90205 /9051.3 /9000 /90
António Silva488352 min51.3 /9020.5 /9041 /90215.4 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
A. Smith390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
Adrien Truffert390270 min72.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90134.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
B. Diakité19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hill n 890
1.47/3
0.43/0
K. Lewis-Potter
António Silva n 488
0.83/0
0.31/0
K. Lewis-Potter
J. Kluivert n 864.9
1.75/3
14/1
K. Schade
A. Smith n 877
1.68/2
1.56/3
K. Lewis-Potter
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.35/2
1.15/2
K. Lewis-Potter
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
1.46/2
António Silva n 488
1.33/2
J. Kluivert n 864.9
13/2
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.97/7
A. Smith n 877
1.88/3
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson382246 min00 /9020.7 /9031.1 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Á. Rodríguez17878 min00 /9000 /9055.8 /9000 /9033.5 /9022.3 /90
D. Jebbison11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Kluivert474294 min00 /9000 /9082.4 /9030.9 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
M. Tavernier390269 min20.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9051.7 /9041.3 /9031 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
0.51/1
00/0
António Silva n 488
0.83/0
0.31/0
J. Kluivert n 864.9
2.37/4
0.94/1
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.42/1
0.42/1
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
00/0
00/0
António Silva n 488
00/0
00/0
J. Kluivert n 864.9
0.21/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Smith n 877
00/0
0.11/0
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Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Kelleher390270 min72.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
H. Valdimarsson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
3.97/6
H. Valdimarsson n 890.8
2.24/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lewis-Potter472287 min41.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9092.8 /9072.2 /9000 /90
N. Collins472287 min30.9 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90237.2 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
Michael Kayode457228 min20.8 /9041.6 /9020.8 /90155.9 /9041.6 /9000 /90
K. Ajer390270 min20.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90206.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Jannik Schuster282163 min10.6 /9000 /9021.1 /90137.2 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Janelt n 871
2.17/3
0.64/0
—
K. Schade n 875
1.56/3
1.25/3
J. Kluivert
Thiago n 881.4
1.44/2
0.42/1
—
K. Lewis-Potter n 880.6
14/1
1.14/2
Adrien Truffert
N. Collins n 880.9
0.63/1
14/2
—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Janelt n 871
2.55/5
K. Schade n 875
1.35/3
Thiago n 881.4
1.26/3
N. Collins n 880.9
1.15/2
K. Lewis-Potter n 880.6
1.15/3
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Thiago473291 min10.3 /9000 /9092.8 /9041.2 /9000 /9030.9 /90
J. Anthony455219 min00 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9000 /9093.7 /9052.1 /90
C. Wilson16262 min11.5 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /90
V. Janelt485341 min20.5 /9000 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
K. Schade478313 min10.3 /9000 /9061.7 /9030.9 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Janelt n 871
0.63/1
0.32/0
K. Schade n 875
1.54/3
0.83/2
Thiago n 881.4
2.18/4
1.15/3
N. Collins n 880.9
0.83/1
0.62/1
K. Lewis-Potter n 880.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Janelt n 871
0.32/0
00/0
K. Schade n 875
0.32/0
00/0
Thiago n 881.4
0.32/0
00/0
K. Lewis-Potter n 880.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
N. Collins n 880.9
0.31/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthBrentford
57%Possession43%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.50
20Shots8
10Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
2Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box6
2Corners1
3Offsides1
10Fouls13
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves8
497Passes375
82%Pass accuracy70%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000005.2
Alex Scott9000104206.9
Adrien Truffert9000221807.2
António Silva9000201006.3
J. Hill90000011Y6.3
A. Smith90000001Y6.7
Evanilson8901003006.3
M. Tavernier83104341Y8.2
Rayan8200411106.6
T. Adams8200110206.7
J. Kluivert6610330007.5
R. Christie sub2400001006.5
D. Brooks sub13000000Y6.5
B. Doak sub800100107.3
L. Cook sub8000000Y6.7
Á. Rodríguez sub10000000–

Brentford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Kelleher9000000007
Thiago90001010Y5.9
K. Schade9020220108.3
V. Janelt9000001306.9
M. Sangaré9000000607.3
Jannik Schuster9000000206.9
K. Ajer9000100206.2
A. Hickey7100100206.7
J. Anthony6000001206.3
Y. Yarmolyuk6001001006.5
K. Lewis-Potter6000100106.3
M. Damsgaard sub3000100006.7
D. Ouattara sub3000000006.3
E. Diouf sub3000000007
Michael Kayode sub1900001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthDLDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BrentfordDWWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bournemouth 0 · 1 draw · Brentford 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-03 Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford
  • 2025-12-27 Brentford 4–1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-08-26 Bournemouth 0–2 Brentford
  • 2025-03-15 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford
  • 2024-11-09 Brentford 3–2 Bournemouth
  • 2024-05-11 Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford
League standing · 2026/27
Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD
Brentford#6 pos14 pts9 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.56
Brentford scored1.78
Bournemouth conceded1.44
Brentford conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 2.57 xG from 20 shots, Brentford 0.79 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

António Silva 48' · 0.65 xGRayan 36' · 0.46 xGAntónio Silva 6' · 0.38 xGAlex Scott 50' · 0.29 xGThiago 1' · 0.14 xGRayan 77' · 0.10 xGMarcus Tavernier 46' · 0.09 xGBen Doak 93' · 0.08 xGMikkel Damsgaard 88' · 0.06 xGKristoffer Ajer 51' · 0.05 xGRayan 75' · 0.05 xGMarcus Tavernier 67' · 0.05 xGAdrien Truffert 92' · 0.05 xGBen Doak 83' · 0.04 xGAaron Hickey 54' · 0.04 xGJustin Kluivert 36' · 0.04 xGAdrien Truffert 79' · 0.04 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 2' · 0.04 xGRayan 74' · 0.03 xGJustin Kluivert 47' · 0.03 xGRayan 26' · 0.03 xGDango Ouattara 95' · 0.02 xGTyler Adams 72' · 0.02 xGMarcus Tavernier 65' · 0.02 xGKevin Schade 33' · 0.33 xG · goalKevin Schade 55' · 0.11 xG · goalMarcus Tavernier 51' · 0.07 xG · goalJustin Kluivert 37' · 0.06 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Brentford (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth2022.57
Brentford820.79

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bournemouth led on xG, 0.96 to 0.51. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 2.57 to 0.79. The widest gap was 1.80 xG to Bournemouth, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brentford 33 minGoal - Bournemouth 37 minGoal - Bournemouth 51 minGoal - Brentford 55 min
Bournemouth 2.57 xGBrentford 0.79 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Brentford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Brentford was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Brentford?
In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Brentford won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Brentford?
Recent form — Bournemouth 1W 3D 1L; Brentford 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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