This Matchweek

BournemouthEverton

Bournemouth v Everton result

Full-time · Bournemouth 1–1 Everton

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 1–1 Everton — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,038 of 1,386 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 2.29 to 1.67 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 75th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 29 August. Bournemouth have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Bournemouth: Alex Scott (41’, assisted by Evanilson); Everton: James Tarkowski (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with James Tarkowski’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Chris Kavanagh, England showed five yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bournemouth: Alex Scott (21’), Adam Smith (23’) and Marcus Tavernier (53’); Everton: James Garner (59’) and C. Alcaraz (90+5’).

What it changes

Bournemouth move up from 13th to 12th (shared) (two league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Everton stay second after this result (two league matches played). Everton have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Everton have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Everton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Tarkowski (Everton) 8.5, Alex Scott (Bournemouth) 7.5 and James Hill (Bournemouth) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bournemouth or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1327 of 1736).

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Everton next host Coventry on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Everton: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 1–1 Everton · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bournemouth 5 · draws 0 · Everton 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 2W 2D 1L · Everton 2W 1D 2L

Bournemouth 1–1 Everton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · Chris Kavanagh, England
26.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineEverton for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.67 red cards, 26.83 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.47/3

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Smith19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
Adrien Truffert19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9044 /9000 /90
António Silva19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
J. Hill19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
Alex Scott19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.45/2
1.16/1
M. Röhl
Alex Scott n 889.9
1.34/3
1.15/3
H. Armstrong
A. Smith n 876.9
1.37/1
1.25/2
V. Mykolenko
J. Hill n 890
14/3
0.32/0
J. Tarkowski
M. Tavernier n 887.8
0.85/1
1.26/2
—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.87/7
Alex Scott n 889.9
28/5
A. Smith n 876.9
1.87/3
J. Hill n 890
1.67/3
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.36/3
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson17575 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
D. Jebbison11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier19090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
Rayan18989 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Kluivert17575 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.46/4
0.85/1
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
J. Hill n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Tavernier n 887.8
0.43/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
A. Smith n 876.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Hill n 890
00/0
00/0
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Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pickford290180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
2.13/3

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tarkowski290180 min10.5 /9042 /9021 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Röhl290180 min21 /9021 /9000 /9063 /9000 /9000 /90
V. Mykolenko290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Keane19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9099 /9000 /9000 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Röhl n 879.3
1.85/5
0.74/1
Adrien Truffert
H. Armstrong n 862.9
1.44/2
2.56/3
Alex Scott
J. Tarkowski n 890
1.16/3
0.95/2
J. Hill
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.43/0
0.85/1
A. Smith
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Armstrong n 862.9
27/3
V. Mykolenko n 890
1.65/4
M. Röhl n 879.3
1.67/3
J. Tarkowski n 890
1.56/3
I. Ndiaye n 888.9
1.96/4
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Ndiaye286171 min00 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9073.7 /9031.6 /90
T. Barry281161 min42.2 /9010.6 /9095 /9063.4 /9063.4 /9000 /90
T. Dibling16464 min00 /9000 /9034.2 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Johnson12626 min13.5 /9013.5 /9013.5 /9013.5 /9013.5 /9000 /90
H. Armstrong290180 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Armstrong n 862.9
0.94/1
0.42/0
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.65/0
0.43/0
M. Röhl n 879.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
H. Armstrong n 862.9
00/0
0.21/0
V. Mykolenko n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Röhl n 879.3
0.11/0
00/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthEverton
59%Possession41%
2.16Expected goals (xG)1.84
17Shots13
5Shots on target7
5Shots off target6
7Blocked shots0
13Shots inside the box7
10Corners7
0Offsides1
11Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves4
453Passes313
83%Pass accuracy77%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000007.2
M. Tavernier90001024Y7.7
Rayan9000320106.2
Adrien Truffert9000002207.9
J. Hill9000002307.9
António Silva9000100207.3
A. Smith90000012Y6.3
Alex Scott87101123Y8.3
Evanilson8101102007
J. Kluivert8100322006.3
L. Cook6900001007
T. Adams sub2100000006.3
Á. Rodríguez sub900000006.5
D. Brooks sub900000006.3
R. Christie sub800000106.7

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000007.2
K. Dewsbury-Hall9000214307.2
I. Ndiaye9000211106.9
V. Mykolenko9000000106.9
Jarrad Branthwaite9000110106.2
J. Tarkowski9010111108.2
H. Armstrong8600001306.5
M. Röhl8600000306.2
T. Barry7000321006.6
Tyrique George6200211106.7
James Garner62000003Y6.7
B. Johnson sub2800000106.2
H. Hackney sub2800000006.7
Beto sub2000100006.6
T. Iroegbunam sub800000006.3
C. Alcaraz sub8001000Y6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Everton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthWWDDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
EvertonDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bournemouth 5 · 0 draws · Everton 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Everton 1–2 Bournemouth
  • 2025-12-02 Bournemouth 0–1 Everton
  • 2025-02-08 Everton 0–2 Bournemouth
  • 2025-01-04 Bournemouth 1–0 Everton
  • 2024-08-31 Everton 2–3 Bournemouth
  • 2024-03-30 Bournemouth 2–1 Everton
League standing · 2026/27
Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD
Everton#7 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.56
Everton scored1
Bournemouth conceded1.44
Everton conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 2.29 xG from 17 shots, Everton 1.67 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Justin Kluivert 75' · 0.63 xGThierno Barry 19' · 0.63 xGThierno Barry 48' · 0.41 xGRayan 84' · 0.34 xGRayan 14' · 0.27 xGJarrad Branthwaite 9' · 0.23 xGRayan 78' · 0.15 xGAntónio Silva 71' · 0.14 xGEvanilson 78' · 0.14 xGThierno Barry 45' · 0.11 xGJustin Kluivert 56' · 0.09 xGCarlos Alcaraz 92' · 0.08 xGMarcus Tavernier 33' · 0.08 xGEvanilson 79' · 0.06 xGJustin Kluivert 3' · 0.06 xGEvanilson 79' · 0.05 xGAlex Scott 84' · 0.05 xGMarcus Tavernier 74' · 0.05 xGBeto 83' · 0.04 xGJustin Kluivert 24' · 0.04 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 10' · 0.03 xGRayan 32' · 0.03 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 17' · 0.02 xGTyrique George 19' · 0.02 xGRayan 21' · 0.02 xGIliman Ndiaye 16' · 0.01 xGIliman Ndiaye 8' · 0.01 xGTyrique George 28' · 0.01 xGAlex Scott 40' · 0.11 xG · goalJames Tarkowski 90' · 0.07 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Everton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth1712.29
Everton1311.67

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Everton led on xG, 1.08 to 0.60. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 2.29 to 1.67. The widest gap was 0.88 xG to Everton, in the 48th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 40 minGoal - Everton 90 min
Bournemouth 2.29 xGEverton 1.67 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Everton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Everton was Home or Draw (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Everton?
In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 5, Everton won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Everton?
Recent form — Bournemouth 2W 2D 1L; Everton 2W 1D 2L.

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