This Matchweek

BournemouthLiverpool

Bournemouth v Liverpool result

Full-time · Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bournemouth · Liverpool · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool — Liverpool won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Liverpool: 1.36 to 0.94 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 56th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Liverpool won 1–0 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 20 September. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Liverpool: Alexander Isak (57’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Isak’s goal on 57 minutes.

Discipline

Michael Oliver, England showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bournemouth: António Silva (81’); Liverpool: Dominik Szoboszlai (46’) and Alexander Isak (58’).

What it changes

Bournemouth move down from 14th to 16th (five league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool move up from sixth to fifth (five league matches played). Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Hill (Bournemouth) 5.6, Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) 5.1 and Alisson Becker (Liverpool) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bournemouth or Liverpool (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset
  • Referee: Michael Oliver, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bournemouth 1 · draws 0 · Liverpool 5 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L · Liverpool 3W 2D 0L

Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · Michael Oliver, England
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
16.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Michael Oliver, England — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović590450 min132.6 /9071.4 /9000 /90
M. Di Gregorio19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.66/5

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Hill690540 min71.2 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90325.3 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
António Silva689532 min91.5 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90335.6 /9040.7 /9020.3 /90
Adrien Truffert590450 min204 /9081.6 /9030.6 /90295.8 /9091.8 /9020.4 /90
A. Smith585423 min61.3 /9051.1 /9000 /90204.3 /9071.5 /9030.6 /90
B. Diakité259117 min00 /9000 /9000 /9032.3 /9021.5 /9010.8 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hill n 890
1.48/2
0.64/1
M. Kerkez
António Silva n 688.7
0.74/0
0.21/0
M. Kerkez
J. Kluivert n 866.8
1.75/3
1.25/1
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.46/2
0.64/1
Jérémy Jacquet
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
16/1
António Silva n 688.7
1.54/3
J. Kluivert n 866.8
0.72/1
Adrien Truffert n 890
4.18/8
Alex Scott n 889.4
2.37/7
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson581406 min00 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9010.2 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
Á. Rodríguez24997 min00 /9000 /9065.6 /9000 /9032.8 /9021.9 /90
B. Doak24997 min00 /9010.9 /9054.6 /9000 /9043.7 /9032.8 /90
D. Jebbison11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Kluivert674443 min20.4 /9000 /90122.4 /9071.4 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
0.51/1
00/0
António Silva n 688.7
15/1
0.21/0
J. Kluivert n 866.8
2.47/4
1.24/2
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.63/2
0.52/2
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hill n 890
00/0
00/0
António Silva n 688.7
00/0
00/0
J. Kluivert n 866.8
0.32/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
00/0
0.43/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker590450 min153 /9051 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.95/5
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.78/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Kerkez679474 min132.5 /9050.9 /9030.6 /90244.6 /9081.5 /9030.6 /90
Jérémy Jacquet677462 min112.1 /9091.8 /9030.6 /90295.6 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
V. van Dijk590450 min51 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90173.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
R. Araújo572362 min30.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90205 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
Jeremie Frimpong560299 min92.7 /9030.9 /9000 /90144.2 /9061.8 /9020.6 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Szoboszlai n 882.3
1.98/3
0.54/0
—
M. Kerkez n 872.8
1.23/3
1.46/2
António Silva
Jérémy Jacquet n 677
1.24/2
14/1
Adrien Truffert
A. Mac Allister n 869.6
1.85/4
1.35/3
—
R. Gravenberch n 847.6
1.76/1
2.15/3
—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 882.3
1.45/3
M. Kerkez n 872.8
26/4
Jérémy Jacquet n 677
2.16/3
A. Mac Allister n 869.6
2.78/6
R. Gravenberch n 847.6
2.66/3
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Isak584422 min30.6 /9010.2 /90112.3 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9051.1 /90
B. Barcola444176 min00 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9021 /9010.5 /90
L. Koumas18686 min00 /9000 /9033.1 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Szoboszlai680478 min30.6 /9000 /90101.9 /9081.5 /90163 /9061.1 /90
A. Mac Allister663377 min20.5 /9010.2 /9071.7 /9030.7 /9071.7 /9030.7 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 882.3
1.88/4
1.47/2
M. Kerkez n 872.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
Jérémy Jacquet n 677
00/0
00/0
A. Mac Allister n 869.6
1.65/3
0.64/0
R. Gravenberch n 847.6
0.72/1
0.52/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 882.3
0.43/0
0.31/1
M. Kerkez n 872.8
00/0
00/0
Jérémy Jacquet n 677
00/0
00/0
A. Mac Allister n 869.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
R. Gravenberch n 847.6
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthLiverpool
46%Possession54%
0.79Expected goals (xG)1.65
9Shots12
2Shots on target3
5Shots off target3
2Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box7
3Corners3
4Offsides2
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
383Passes473
78%Pass accuracy82%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000006.6
Evanilson9000220206.9
Alex Scott9000103007.3
Adrien Truffert9000100206.5
António Silva90000002Y7.5
J. Hill9000000408.2
Rayan8800001207.5
T. Adams8800001206.9
M. Tavernier7500001306.5
R. Christie7500300005.6
A. Smith7500000006.7
D. Jebbison sub1500000006.2
D. Brooks sub1500002006.6
L. Cook sub1500000006.6
A. Tóth sub20000000–
B. Doak sub20000000–

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alisson Becker9000000008
C. Gakpo9000003206.9
A. Mac Allister9000000207.6
M. Kerkez9000000106.6
V. van Dijk9000000007.7
Jérémy Jacquet9000000307.5
R. Araújo9000000207.2
A. Isak81102110Y7.2
D. Szoboszlai81002002Y6.9
B. Barcola7200110006.5
F. Wirtz7100003306.7
T. Nyoni sub1900000006.9
Víctor Muñoz sub1800001106.6
L. Koumas sub900110006.5
R. Gravenberch sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LiverpoolDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bournemouth 1 · 0 draws · Liverpool 5 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool
  • 2025-08-15 Liverpool 4–2 Bournemouth
  • 2025-02-01 Bournemouth 0–2 Liverpool
  • 2024-09-21 Liverpool 3–0 Bournemouth
  • 2024-01-21 Bournemouth 0–4 Liverpool
  • 2023-11-01 Bournemouth 1–2 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD
Liverpool#5 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.56
Liverpool scored1.22
Bournemouth conceded1.44
Liverpool conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 0.94 xG from 9 shots, Liverpool 1.36 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ryan Christie 52' · 0.59 xGAlexander Isak 69' · 0.14 xGFlorian Wirtz 56' · 0.12 xGEvanilson 17' · 0.11 xGLewis Koumas 91' · 0.11 xGFlorian Wirtz 33' · 0.11 xGCody Gakpo 25' · 0.09 xGDominik Szoboszlai 9' · 0.07 xGRyan Christie 35' · 0.06 xGAlex Scott 89' · 0.05 xGDominik Szoboszlai 34' · 0.05 xGBradley Barcola 32' · 0.05 xGEvanilson 67' · 0.05 xGMilos Kerkez 60' · 0.04 xGCody Gakpo 33' · 0.03 xGRyan Christie 54' · 0.03 xGAlexander Isak 40' · 0.03 xGAlex Scott 86' · 0.03 xGAdrien Truffert 84' · 0.01 xGRyan Christie 18' · 0.01 xGAlexander Isak 56' · 0.51 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Liverpool (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth900.94
Liverpool1211.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bournemouth 0.19, Liverpool 0.43. At full time, Liverpool led on xG, 1.36 to 0.94. The widest gap was 0.42 xG to Liverpool, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Liverpool 56 min
Bournemouth 0.94 xGLiverpool 1.36 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Liverpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Liverpool was Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Liverpool won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Liverpool?
Recent form — Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L; Liverpool 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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