This Matchweek

BrentfordLiverpool

Brentford v Liverpool result

Full-time · Brentford 1–2 Liverpool

Premier League · · Gtech Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brentford · Liverpool · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brentford 1–2 Liverpool — Liverpool won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,907 of 2,553 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Liverpool: 1.55 to 0.86 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Liverpool won 2–1 at Gtech Community Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October. Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Liverpool came from behind: Brentford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Keane Lewis-Potter (44’, assisted by Thiago); Liverpool: Víctor Muñoz (62’, assisted by Florian Wirtz) and Alexander Isak (70’, assisted by Bradley Barcola). Yehor Yarmolyuk (45+8’) and Vitaly Janelt (90+2’) were sent off.

Discipline

John Brooks, England showed seven yellow cards and two reds — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Brentford: Thiago (46’), Kevin Schade (60’), Vitaly Janelt (63’) and Vitaly Janelt (90+2’); Liverpool: Bradley Barcola (31’), Jérémy Jacquet (49’) and Alexis Mac Allister (53’).

What it changes

Brentford move down from fourth to sixth (seven league matches played). Brentford have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brentford have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool move up from ninth to fifth (seven league matches played). Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Víctor Muñoz (Liverpool) 6.9, Jérémy Jacquet (Liverpool) 6.2 and Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Brentford or Liverpool (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brentford 1–2 Liverpool · Premier League
  • Venue: Gtech Community Stadium · Brentford, Middlesex
  • Referee: John Brooks, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 1 · draws 1 · Liverpool 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brentford 2W 3D 0L · Liverpool 3W 1D 1L

Brentford 1–2 Liverpool (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 2
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrentford for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
17.13 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: John Brooks, England.

Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Kelleher690540 min223.7 /9061 /9000 /90
E. Balcombe19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Valdimarsson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
47/5
H. Valdimarsson n 890.8
2.24/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lewis-Potter873585 min60.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90203.1 /90121.8 /9000 /90
Michael Kayode862496 min71.3 /9071.3 /9040.7 /90325.8 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
K. Ajer790630 min71 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90344.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
Jannik Schuster670417 min40.9 /9000 /9081.7 /90255.4 /9091.9 /9010.2 /90
A. Hickey554272 min41.3 /9031 /9020.7 /90165.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lewis-Potter n 873.1
1.88/2
0.64/0
Jérémy Jacquet
Michael Kayode n 862
1.54/4
1.34/2
M. Kerkez
M. Sangaré n 856.3
26/3
1.24/1
—
Y. Yarmolyuk n 846.9
2.44/2
0.21/0
—
K. Ajer n 889
0.54/0
0.53/1
V. van Dijk
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 873.1
0.95/1
Michael Kayode n 862
1.35/2
M. Sangaré n 856.3
3.67/4
Y. Yarmolyuk n 846.9
1.95/3
K. Ajer n 889
15/3
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Thiago780561 min20.3 /9000 /90142.2 /9050.8 /9050.8 /9040.6 /90
C. Wilson270139 min21.3 /9000 /9042.6 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9031.9 /90
M. Sangaré856450 min00 /9020.4 /9071.4 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9081.6 /90
Y. Yarmolyuk847375 min10.2 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90
V. Janelt787611 min20.3 /9000 /9020.3 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9030.4 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 873.1
1.15/2
0.53/0
Michael Kayode n 862
0.72/1
0.21/0
M. Sangaré n 856.3
1.45/2
0.21/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 846.9
1.25/0
0.52/0
K. Ajer n 889
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 873.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Michael Kayode n 862
0.21/0
00/0
M. Sangaré n 856.3
00/0
0.42/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 846.9
0.21/0
0.52/0
K. Ajer n 889
0.11/0
00/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker890720 min192.4 /9081 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.45/4
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.78/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet978702 min172.2 /90151.9 /9050.6 /90384.9 /9081 /9010.1 /90
V. van Dijk882658 min50.7 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90263.6 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90
M. Kerkez882654 min172.3 /9071 /9040.6 /90334.5 /90121.7 /9030.4 /90
R. Araújo874589 min60.9 /9060.9 /9030.5 /90335 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90
Jeremie Frimpong758404 min92 /9051.1 /9000 /90163.6 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 879
15/2
0.63/1
K. Lewis-Potter
Alisson Becker n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.53/1
0.31/1
K. Ajer
M. Kerkez n 881.8
1.74/4
1.27/2
Michael Kayode
F. Wirtz n 881.1
1.75/2
1.15/2
—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 879
2.37/5
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.72/2
M. Kerkez n 881.8
2.38/5
F. Wirtz n 881.1
1.87/4
R. Araújo n 873.6
0.95/1
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Víctor Muñoz850396 min10.2 /9000 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9061.4 /90
A. Isak684503 min40.7 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9071.3 /9050.9 /9050.9 /90
L. Koumas384251 min10.4 /9010.4 /9072.5 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
F. Wirtz881649 min00 /9020.3 /90121.7 /9050.7 /90172.4 /9081.1 /90
A. Mac Allister870557 min20.3 /9010.2 /90101.6 /9040.6 /9091.5 /9040.6 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 879
0.32/0
0.11/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Kerkez n 881.8
0.31/1
0.11/0
F. Wirtz n 881.1
1.76/2
0.74/1
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 879
00/0
00/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
V. van Dijk n 882.3
00/0
00/0
M. Kerkez n 881.8
00/0
00/0
F. Wirtz n 881.1
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrentfordLiverpool
40%Possession60%
0.88Expected goals (xG)1.64
10Shots21
2Shots on target5
4Shots off target12
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box10
3Corners9
1Offsides2
7Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
2Red cards0
3Saves1
330Passes503
74%Pass accuracy83%

Brentford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Michael Kayode9000001107.3
K. Ajer9000001307.7
V. Janelt90000003RY6.3
Thiago90012010Y5.7
C. Kelleher9000000006
K. Lewis-Potter7710212107.3
J. Anthony7700210106.7
S. van den Berg7100000006.2
Y. Yarmolyuk53000000R5.7
D. Ouattara4500001106.9
M. Jensen4500000006.9
M. Sangaré sub4500000206.3
K. Schade sub45000001Y6.5
A. Hickey sub1900000107.3
M. Damsgaard sub1300000006.9
E. Diouf sub1300000207.2

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Barcola90014011Y6.6
F. Wirtz9001009006.7
A. Mac Allister90003122Y8
V. van Dijk9000101107.3
Jérémy Jacquet90001004Y7.2
Alisson Becker9000000006.6
M. Kerkez9000001206.6
A. Isak7910210007.6
Víctor Muñoz7910320007.6
R. Araújo4500000006.5
D. Szoboszlai3200100106.9
T. Nyoni sub5800101106.9
Rio Ngumoha sub3800001007.3
L. Koumas sub1100110006.5
J. Gomez sub1100000107.2
Jeremie Frimpong sub70000110–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrentfordDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LiverpoolDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brentford 1 · 1 draw · Liverpool 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Liverpool 1–1 Brentford
  • 2025-10-25 Brentford 3–2 Liverpool
  • 2025-01-18 Brentford 0–2 Liverpool
  • 2024-08-25 Liverpool 2–0 Brentford
  • 2024-02-17 Brentford 1–4 Liverpool
  • 2023-11-12 Liverpool 3–0 Brentford
League standing · 2026/27
Brentford#6 pos14 pts9 pl+7 GD
Liverpool#5 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Brentford scored1.78
Liverpool scored1.22
Brentford conceded1
Liverpool conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brentford 0.86 xG from 10 shots, Liverpool 1.55 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bradley Barcola 19' · 0.46 xGThiago 27' · 0.12 xGThiago 32' · 0.11 xGJaidon Anthony 57' · 0.09 xGBradley Barcola 65' · 0.09 xGThiago 72' · 0.09 xGAlexis Mac Allister 92' · 0.08 xGAlexander Isak 22' · 0.06 xGDominik Szoboszlai 7' · 0.06 xGVíctor Muñoz 64' · 0.05 xGJaidon Anthony 43' · 0.05 xGLewis Koumas 93' · 0.05 xGJaidon Anthony 52' · 0.05 xGBradley Barcola 36' · 0.05 xGVirgil van Dijk 58' · 0.04 xGAlexis Mac Allister 48' · 0.04 xGTreymaurice Nyoni 55' · 0.04 xGFlorian Wirtz 48' · 0.04 xGMichael Kayode 18' · 0.04 xGBradley Barcola 78' · 0.03 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 76' · 0.03 xGRio Ngumoha 68' · 0.02 xGAlexis Mac Allister 58' · 0.02 xGVíctor Muñoz 71' · 0.02 xGAlexis Mac Allister 14' · 0.02 xGJaidon Anthony 6' · 0.02 xGJérémy Jacquet 45' · 0.02 xGTreymaurice Nyoni 52' · 0.02 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 43' · 0.26 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz 61' · 0.18 xG · goalAlexander Isak 69' · 0.13 xG · goal
Brentford (attacking right)Liverpool (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brentford1010.86
Liverpool2121.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Brentford 0.60, Liverpool 0.67. At full time, Liverpool led on xG, 1.55 to 0.86. The widest gap was 0.69 xG to Liverpool, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brentford 43 minGoal - Liverpool 61 minGoal - Liverpool 69 min
Brentford 0.86 xGLiverpool 1.55 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brentford v Liverpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Liverpool was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 1, Liverpool won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Liverpool?
Recent form — Brentford 2W 3D 0L; Liverpool 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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