This Matchweek

BrentfordSunderland

Brentford v Sunderland result

Full-time · Brentford 1–1 Sunderland

Premier League · · Brentford Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Brentford 1–1 Sunderland — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.83 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sunderland: 2.15 to 1.59 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 14 shots to 12 (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Brentford and Sunderland drew 1–1 at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Vitaly Janelt (57’); Sunderland: Enzo Le Fée (82’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Enzo Le Fée’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Brentford: Mamadou Sangaré (30’), Vitaly Janelt (62’) and Yehor Yarmolyuk (69’); Sunderland: Noah Sadiki (14’) and Granit Xhaka (88’).

What it changes

Brentford move down from fourth to fifth (three league matches played). Brentford have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brentford have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sunderland move up from 11th to 10th (three league matches played). Sunderland have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Brentford are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Brentford have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Sunderland have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland) 9.3, Vitaly Janelt (Brentford) 7.0 and N. Mukiele (Sunderland) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brentford 1–1 Sunderland · Premier League
  • Venue: Brentford Community Stadium · London
  • Referee: Thomas Bramall, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Brentford 2 · draws 1 · Sunderland 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brentford 2W 3D 0L · Sunderland 3W 1D 1L

Brentford 1–1 Sunderland (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.63 / 4.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrentford for / againstLineSunderland for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.

Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Kelleher290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
H. Valdimarsson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
3.66/6
H. Valdimarsson n 890.8
2.24/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Collins390270 min31 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90227.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
K. Lewis-Potter366197 min31.4 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9073.2 /9031.4 /9000 /90
Michael Kayode361183 min21 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90146.9 /9021 /9000 /90
K. Ajer290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /90136.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
A. Hickey19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Collins n 890
0.84/2
0.83/2
Reinildo
V. Janelt n 871
1.97/3
0.85/0
G. Xhaka
K. Schade n 872.9
1.56/3
1.15/2
—
M. Sangaré n 370.3
1.32/1
1.31/1
N. Sadiki
Thiago n 881.4
1.85/3
0.42/1
—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Collins n 890
1.16/2
V. Janelt n 871
2.45/5
K. Schade n 872.9
1.45/3
M. Sangaré n 370.3
2.62/2
Thiago n 881.4
1.26/3
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Thiago367201 min10.4 /9000 /9083.6 /9031.3 /9000 /9020.9 /90
C. Wilson16262 min11.5 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /90
V. Janelt384251 min10.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9051.8 /9010.4 /90
K. Schade374223 min10.4 /9000 /9062.4 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
M. Sangaré370211 min00 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9062.6 /9041.7 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Collins n 890
0.83/1
0.52/1
V. Janelt n 871
0.52/1
0.21/0
K. Schade n 872.9
1.54/3
0.83/2
M. Sangaré n 370.3
1.33/0
0.41/0
Thiago n 881.4
1.97/4
14/3
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Collins n 890
0.31/1
00/0
V. Janelt n 871
0.21/0
00/0
K. Schade n 872.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Sangaré n 370.3
00/0
0.92/0
Thiago n 881.4
0.32/0
00/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs290180 min10.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
2.35/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dan Ballard290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90136.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
Reinildo290180 min42 /9042 /9010.5 /90147 /9052.5 /9000 /90
T. Meunier290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
N. Mukiele19090 min22 /9011 /9022 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
L. O'Nien16767 min11.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9022.7 /9022.7 /9011.3 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dan Ballard n 870.6
1.66/3
16/0
—
Reinildo n 878.8
1.35/3
15/2
N. Collins
N. Sadiki n 886.1
16/1
1.87/5
M. Sangaré
G. Xhaka n 890
0.65/0
1.86/4
V. Janelt
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Reinildo n 878.8
1.76/3
Dan Ballard n 870.6
1.47/2
G. Xhaka n 890
1.35/3
N. Sadiki n 886.1
13/2
T. Hume n 877
2.26/5
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Brobbey266131 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Isidor22549 min11.8 /9000 /9035.5 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Xhaka290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9063 /9010.5 /90
N. Sadiki290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9042 /90
T. Hume285170 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9042.1 /9000 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dan Ballard n 870.6
0.61/1
0.31/1
G. Xhaka n 890
0.54/0
00/0
N. Sadiki n 886.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
Reinildo n 878.8
00/0
00/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Xhaka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
N. Sadiki n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
Reinildo n 878.8
00/0
00/0
Dan Ballard n 870.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrentfordSunderland
49%Possession51%
1.21Expected goals (xG)1.71
12Shots14
2Shots on target5
6Shots off target6
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box10
4Corners3
0Offsides3
19Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
371Passes384
77%Pass accuracy76%

Brentford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Kelleher9000000006.9
Thiago9000110107.3
K. Schade9000001006.6
V. Janelt90101104Y8
K. Lewis-Potter9000203105.9
K. Ajer9000000006.7
M. Damsgaard8600002007.5
D. Ouattara4500001106.7
M. Sangaré45002001Y6.7
Michael Kayode4500000007
N. Collins1700000006.6
Jannik Schuster sub7300100007.2
J. Anthony sub4500100006.3
Y. Yarmolyuk sub45000001Y6.5
A. Hickey sub4500000106.5
C. Wilson sub1100000006.3

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000007.5
B. Brobbey9000103006.2
E. Le Fée9010310407.3
G. Xhaka90001012Y7.2
Reinildo9000000306.9
K. Danso9000001107.2
Dan Ballard9000101207.5
N. Mukiele9000000406.9
N. Sadiki74002210Y6.6
N. Angulo6400000106.9
T. Meunier6400110006
W. Isidor sub2600210006.9
T. Hume sub2600000207.2
M. Fofana sub1600000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrentfordDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
SunderlandDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Brentford 2 · 1 draw · Sunderland 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-07 Brentford 3–0 Sunderland
  • 2025-08-30 Sunderland 2–1 Brentford
  • 2018-02-17 Sunderland 0–2 Brentford
  • 2017-10-21 Brentford 3–3 Sunderland
League standing · 2026/27
Brentford#6 pos14 pts9 pl+7 GD
Sunderland#20 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Brentford scored1.78
Sunderland scored0.78
Brentford conceded1
Sunderland conceded1.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brentford 1.59 xG from 12 shots, Sunderland 2.15 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Noah Sadiki 61' · 0.37 xGThiago 50' · 0.36 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 4' · 0.36 xGThomas Meunier 22' · 0.35 xGThiago 89' · 0.14 xGBrian Brobbey 55' · 0.12 xGNoah Sadiki 2' · 0.12 xGJannik Schuster 90' · 0.11 xGMamadou Sangaré 48' · 0.11 xGBrian Brobbey 92' · 0.07 xGWilson Isidor 78' · 0.07 xGNoah Sadiki 24' · 0.06 xGGranit Xhaka 62' · 0.06 xGEnzo Le Fée 19' · 0.06 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 67' · 0.05 xGDan Ballard 83' · 0.05 xGJaidon Anthony 50' · 0.03 xGWilson Isidor 74' · 0.02 xGMichael Kayode 3' · 0.02 xGMamadou Sangaré 52' · 0.02 xGYehor Yarmolyuk 84' · 0.02 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 48' · 0.02 xGBrian Brobbey 50' · 0.01 xGEnzo Le Fée 91' · 0.01 xGEnzo Le Fée 81' · 0.76 xG · goalVitaly Janelt 56' · 0.36 xG · goal
Brentford (attacking right)Sunderland (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brentford1211.59
Sunderland1412.15

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Brentford 0.38, Sunderland 0.59. At full time, Sunderland led on xG, 2.15 to 1.59, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 0.75 xG to Sunderland, in the 83rd minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brentford 56 minGoal - Sunderland 81 min
Brentford 1.59 xGSunderland 2.15 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brentford v Sunderland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Sunderland was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.83 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Sunderland?
In their last 4 meetings, Brentford won 2, Sunderland won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Sunderland?
Recent form — Brentford 2W 3D 0L; Sunderland 3W 1D 1L.

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