This Matchweek

BrentfordTottenham

Brentford v Tottenham result

Full-time · Brentford 3–0 Tottenham

Premier League · · Brentford Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Brentford 3–0 Tottenham — Brentford won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brentford: 4.09 to 0.76 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 26 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brentford beat Tottenham 3–0 at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August. Tottenham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Brentford, every meeting checked.

The goals

Brentford led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Keane Lewis-Potter (12’, assisted by Mamadou Sangaré), Vitaly Janelt (33’) and Michael Kayode (49’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Keane Lewis-Potter’s goal on 12 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed two yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brentford: Vitaly Janelt (78’); Tottenham: Conor Gallagher (34’).

What it changes

Brentford are first (shared) after this result (one league match played). Brentford have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brentford have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Tottenham are 19th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Tottenham have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brentford are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vitaly Janelt (Brentford) 8.6, Michael Kayode (Brentford) 7.4 and Mamadou Sangaré (Brentford) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Brentford or Tottenham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Tottenham next travel to Leeds on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Tottenham: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brentford 3–0 Tottenham · Premier League
  • Venue: Brentford Community Stadium · London
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 0 · draws 2 · Tottenham 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brentford 1W 2D 2L · Tottenham 3W 1D 1L

Brentford 3–0 Tottenham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.5 / 7.63
Corners
against 6.63 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 21 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrentford for / againstLineTottenham for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.05 red cards, 23 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrentfordTottenham
40%Possession60%
3.87Expected goals (xG)0.57
26Shots9
8Shots on target4
11Shots off target3
7Blocked shots2
20Shots inside the box4
7Corners3
3Offsides2
17Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves5
360Passes549
82%Pass accuracy88%

Brentford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Kelleher9000000008
K. Ajer9000110207.3
N. Collins9000102006.9
K. Lewis-Potter9010111107.9
V. Janelt90101124Y7.9
K. Schade9000421307.9
Thiago8300200006.2
Michael Kayode7610310007.7
M. Sangaré7601112207.2
M. Jensen6700113207.5
D. Ouattara6700203006.5
Y. Yarmolyuk sub2300100206.9
J. Anthony sub2300103207.6
A. Hickey sub1400000006.7
M. Damsgaard sub1400002107.3
C. Wilson sub1200001007

Tottenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Kinský9000000006.9
J. van Hecke9000000207.2
M. Senesi9000000507.7
A. Robertson9000001207.3
S. Tonali9000210106.3
M. Tel9000102006.2
A. Gray8600000106.2
M. Moore6800330106.2
Richarlison6800000006.2
L. Bergvall4500000105.6
C. Gallagher45001001Y6.2
Mateus Fernandes sub4500002106.3
R. Bentancur sub4500001305.9
J. Maddison sub2200000006.2
D. Solanke sub2200000006.5
D. Udogie sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Tottenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrentfordLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
TottenhamWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brentford 0 · 2 draws · Tottenham 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-01 Brentford 0–0 Tottenham
  • 2025-12-06 Tottenham 2–0 Brentford
  • 2025-02-02 Brentford 0–2 Tottenham
  • 2024-09-21 Tottenham 3–1 Brentford
  • 2024-01-31 Tottenham 3–2 Brentford
  • 2023-08-13 Brentford 2–2 Tottenham
League standing · 2026/27
Brentford#6 pos14 pts9 pl+7 GD
Tottenham#9 pos12 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Brentford scored1.78
Tottenham scored1.11
Brentford conceded1
Tottenham conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brentford 4.09 xG from 26 shots, Tottenham 0.76 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Thiago 54' · 0.76 xGNathan Collins 3' · 0.49 xGMikey Moore 61' · 0.28 xGMikey Moore 51' · 0.25 xGThiago 76' · 0.15 xGKevin Schade 87' · 0.14 xGKevin Schade 47' · 0.11 xGMikey Moore 49' · 0.09 xGCallum Wilson 90' · 0.08 xGKevin Schade 52' · 0.08 xGMichael Kayode 28' · 0.08 xGKristoffer Ajer 84' · 0.08 xGKevin Schade 90' · 0.07 xGMichael Kayode 44' · 0.06 xGMathias Jensen 2' · 0.05 xGVitaly Janelt 52' · 0.04 xGDominic Solanke 86' · 0.04 xGMathys Tel 14' · 0.04 xGMamadou Sangaré 47' · 0.04 xGMathias Jensen 32' · 0.04 xGKeane Lewis-Potter 3' · 0.03 xGYehor Yarmolyuk 92' · 0.03 xGKevin Schade 68' · 0.02 xGMathys Tel 81' · 0.02 xGDango Ouattara 42' · 0.02 xGNathan Collins 77' · 0.02 xGMichael Kayode 35' · 0.02 xGSandro Tonali 39' · 0.02 xGConor Gallagher 9' · 0.02 xGJaidon Anthony 75' · 0.02 xGSandro Tonali 58' · 0.01 xGDango Ouattara 7' · 0.01 xGMichael Kayode 48' · 0.67 xG · goalKeane Lewis-Potter 11' · 0.54 xG · goalVitaly Janelt 32' · 0.44 xG · goal
Brentford (attacking right)Tottenham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brentford2634.09
Tottenham900.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Brentford led on xG, 1.77 to 0.07. At full time, Brentford led on xG, 4.09 to 0.76, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 3.33 xG to Brentford, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.12.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brentford 11 minGoal - Brentford 32 minGoal - Brentford 48 min
Brentford 4.09 xGTottenham 0.76 xGdots = goals · 35 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brentford v Tottenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Tottenham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Tottenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 0, Tottenham won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Tottenham?
Recent form — Brentford 1W 2D 2L; Tottenham 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+