BurnleyWolves

Burnley v Wolves result

Full-time · Burnley 1–1 Wolves

Premier League · · Turf Moor

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burnley · Wolves · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burnley 1–1 Wolves — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 848 of 1,310 times (64.7%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Wolves: 2.86 to 1.28 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 16 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Burnley and Wolves drew 1–1 at Turf Moor in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May. Burnley are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions. Wolves are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wolves led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Wolves: Adam Armstrong (5’ pen); Burnley: Zian Flemming (47’, assisted by Loum Tchaouna).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zian Flemming’s goal on 47 minutes.

Discipline

A. Kitchen showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Burnley: Hannibal Mejbri (45+9’) and A. Barnes (90+4’); Wolves: Hwang Hee-Chan (41’) and Y. Mosquera (90+4’).

What it changes

Burnley stay 19th after this result (38 league matches played). Burnley have scored 38 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Burnley have conceded 75 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Wolves stay 20th after this result (38 league matches played). Wolves have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Wolves have conceded 68 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adam Armstrong (Wolves) 5.3, Florentino (Burnley) 5.2 and Zian Flemming (Burnley) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Wolves, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.

Wolves next host Charlton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Wolves: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Burnley 1–1 Wolves · Premier League
  • Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
  • Referee: A. Kitchen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burnley 2 · draws 2 · Wolves 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burnley 0W 1D 4L · Wolves 0W 2D 3L

Burnley 1–1 Wolves (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.63
Goals
against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBurnley for / againstLineWolves for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 18 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: A. Kitchen.

Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dúbravka35903150 min1273.6 /90712 /9000 /90
M. Weiß690540 min162.7 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dúbravka n 890
3.27/5
M. Weiß n 690
2.73/2

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Estève36873117 min441.3 /90421.2 /90351 /901444.2 /90150.4 /9010 /90
K. Walker34882999 min541.6 /90441.3 /90100.3 /901344 /90310.9 /9090.3 /90
Q. Hartman23872010 min572.6 /90361.6 /9050.2 /90763.4 /90130.6 /9010 /90
H. Ekdal20861718 min281.5 /90120.6 /90140.7 /90934.9 /9080.4 /9010.1 /90
B. Humphreys19851613 min281.6 /90100.6 /90181 /90734.1 /90140.8 /9060.3 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Estève n 887
0.53/1
00/0
—
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
J. Anthony n 888.4
13/2
0.96/1
—
K. Walker n 889.6
0.85/1
0.64/1
L. Krejčí
L. Ugochukwu n 868.8
0.74/0
14/2
André
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Estève n 887
1.87/3
J. Anthony n 888.4
1.16/3
K. Walker n 889.6
2.37/6
L. Ugochukwu n 868.8
1.56/3
J. Laurent n 852.1
37/4
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Tchaouna27531418 min30.2 /9000 /90191.2 /90100.6 /90130.8 /9090.6 /90
Z. Flemming26711849 min100.5 /9000 /90381.8 /90221.1 /90100.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Foster25571435 min20.1 /9030.2 /90130.8 /9060.4 /90110.7 /90100.6 /90
J. Bruun Larsen23481101 min00 /9030.2 /90121 /9050.4 /90161.3 /90131.1 /90
Marcus Edwards18661190 min10.1 /9030.2 /90131 /9060.5 /90211.6 /90181.4 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Estève n 887
00/0
00/0
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 888.4
1.47/3
0.85/1
K. Walker n 889.6
00/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 868.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Estève n 887
00/0
00/0
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 888.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Walker n 889.6
00/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 868.8
00/0
00/0
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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá23902070 min582.5 /90401.7 /9000 /90
S. Johnstone17901537 min523 /90301.8 /9000 /90
D. Bentley390270 min72.3 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
2.86/4
S. Johnstone n 890
2.86/3

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Bueno33882920 min531.6 /90341 /90260.8 /901193.7 /90331 /9060.2 /90
L. Krejčí31842610 min361.2 /90361.2 /90190.7 /901194.1 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
Y. Mosquera29832393 min652.4 /90301.1 /90150.6 /901716.4 /90381.4 /90120.5 /90
Rodrigo Gomes23451034 min232 /90111 /9020.2 /90443.8 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
Toti Gomes19821567 min251.4 /90140.8 /90120.7 /90734.2 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Gomes n 889.3
28/5
1.98/4
—
André n 890
1.67/4
0.95/2
L. Ugochukwu
S. Bueno n 890
15/3
0.43/0
—
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
0.85/1
1.26/2
—
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Walker
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
3.77/6
André n 890
2.67/6
S. Bueno n 890
1.34/2
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
1.96/4
L. Krejčí n 884.5
27/5
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Arokodare28571609 min60.3 /9020.1 /90452.5 /90191.1 /90120.7 /90181 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan27611643 min30.2 /9040.2 /90231.3 /9070.4 /90181 /90100.5 /90
M. Mane26721883 min30.1 /9000 /90341.6 /90160.8 /90261.2 /90291.4 /90
J. Strand Larsen26611593 min60.3 /9020.1 /90261.5 /90140.8 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
A. Armstrong15791191 min10.1 /9020.2 /90120.9 /9050.4 /9090.7 /9090.7 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
André n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.53/1
0.31/1
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 18 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
André n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
00/0
0.11/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BurnleyWolves
70%Possession30%
0.98Expected goals (xG)2.09
16Shots16
8Shots on target4
2Shots off target5
6Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box10
7Corners7
0Offsides3
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves7
569Passes225
88%Pass accuracy72%

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Weiß9000001008.5
K. Walker9000001107
A. Tuanzebe9000000106.9
B. Humphreys9000000007.2
Lucas Pires9000332106.3
Florentino9000111407.2
J. Anthony8500212006.3
Z. Flemming8510110007.9
L. Ugochukwu7500001006.9
L. Tchaouna7501001006.2
H. Mejbri66001121Y7.7
Zeki Amdouni sub2400000006.2
J. Ward-Prowse sub1500001107
Marcus Edwards sub1500102007
A. Barnes sub14001100Y6.7
J. Bruun Larsen sub1300000006.6

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
José Sá9000000107.5
Y. Mosquera90001003Y7
S. Bueno9000111006.3
André9000000406.9
Hwang Hee-Chan90000021Y6.9
M. Mane9000316108.2
Rodrigo Gomes8200100106.5
D. Møller Wolfe7400000106.9
A. Armstrong7410110006.7
L. Krejčí6600101106.5
A. Gomes6600002206.9
Toti Gomes sub2400000006.9
T. Arokodare sub2400000006.7
Hugo Bueno sub1600000006.6
J. Abbey sub1600000106.9
Pedro Lima sub800110106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burnley v Wolves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BurnleyLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
WolvesLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burnley 2 · 2 draws · Wolves 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 Wolves 2–3 Burnley
  • 2024-08-28 Wolves 2–0 Burnley
  • 2024-04-02 Burnley 1–1 Wolves
  • 2023-12-05 Wolves 1–0 Burnley
  • 2022-04-24 Burnley 1–0 Wolves
  • 2021-12-01 Wolves 0–0 Burnley
League standing · 2025/26
Burnley#19 pos22 pts38 pl-37 GD
Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD
Goals per game
Burnley scored1
Wolves scored0.71
Burnley conceded1.97
Wolves conceded1.79

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Burnley 1.28 xG from 16 shots, Wolves 2.86 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Santiago Bueno 34' · 0.63 xGTolu Arokodare 80' · 0.54 xGPedro Lima 91' · 0.38 xGLucas Pires 75' · 0.34 xGAshley Barnes 90' · 0.31 xGHannibal Mejbri 61' · 0.16 xGMateus Mané 13' · 0.10 xGYerson Mosquera 33' · 0.08 xGChimuanya Ugochukwu 16' · 0.08 xGZian Flemming 44' · 0.07 xGHee-Chan Hwang 50' · 0.06 xGJaidon Anthony 61' · 0.06 xGHugo Bueno 85' · 0.06 xGMateus Mané 50' · 0.05 xGMateus Mané 30' · 0.05 xGJacob Bruun Larsen 87' · 0.04 xGLadislav Krejcí 2' · 0.04 xGMateus Mané 88' · 0.04 xGLucas Pires 78' · 0.03 xGMarcus Edwards 76' · 0.03 xGJaidon Anthony 45' · 0.03 xGLucas Pires 88' · 0.03 xGLadislav Krejcí 34' · 0.02 xGYerson Mosquera 27' · 0.02 xGAndré 53' · 0.02 xGFlorentino Luís 51' · 0.02 xGLoum Tchaouna 45' · 0.01 xGLucas Pires 59' · 0.01 xGRodrigo Gomes 62' · 0.01 xGLucas Pires 9' · 0.01 xGAdam Armstrong 4' · 0.76 xG · goalZian Flemming 46' · 0.05 xG · goal
Burnley (attacking right)Wolves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Burnley1611.28
Wolves1612.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Wolves led on xG, 1.71 to 0.20, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, Wolves led on xG, 2.86 to 1.28, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.62 xG to Wolves, in the 34th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.91.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Wolves 4 minGoal - Burnley 46 min
Burnley 1.28 xGWolves 2.86 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burnley v Wolves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Wolves was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Wolves?
In their last 6 meetings, Burnley won 2, Wolves won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Wolves?
Recent form — Burnley 0W 1D 4L; Wolves 0W 2D 3L.

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