Chelsea v Leeds prediction

Premier League · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Stamford Bridge

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Leeds · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Leeds, Premier League on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Leeds are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Chelsea have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.11 points per game, scoring 2.56 and conceding 1.44. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Leeds have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Leeds have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Chelsea (fourth) and Leeds (12th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chelsea the stronger side, 60 rating points above Leeds (Chelsea 1671, Leeds 1611, after at least 161 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Chelsea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Leeds. The most recent meeting, on 9 September 2026, finished Chelsea 6–3 Leeds.

Team news

Predicted Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, J. Acheampong, M. Lacroix, W. Fofana, M. Caicedo, P. Neto, M. Rogers, J. Henderson, C. Palmer, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.8 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1727 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, J. Justin, N. Elvedi, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, A. Stach, H. Wilson, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1012 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1649 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Stamford Bridge
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 4 · draws 1 · Leeds 1 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 3W 1D 1L · Leeds 0W 3D 2L

Chelsea v Leeds (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.43 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.43 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.29 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 5 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 2

Cards

against 3.14 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Leeds for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.43 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.14 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13.63 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	5	75375 min	112.6 /90	20.5 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 5	75	2.6 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
Levi Colwill	9	86778 min	91 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	384.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	9	55494 min	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	00 /90	173.1 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/4	2 7/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.2 6/3	1.6 6/4	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.2 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.6 6/4
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	2.1 8/4
M. Lacroix n 8	90	1.3 8/2
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Rogers	11	82906 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	131.3 /90	70.7 /90	232.3 /90	191.9 /90
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
D. Welbeck	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	11	85933 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	323.1 /90	141.4 /90	272.6 /90	181.7 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.7 6/5	1.1 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.4 6/3	0.8 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.8 8/3	1.5 7/3
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	0.5 4/0	0.4 1/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Trafford	10	90900 min	353.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
M. Zetterer	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 8	90	3.8 8/7

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Muharemović	11	90990 min	90.8 /90	151.4 /90	80.7 /90	655.9 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Justin	11	88973 min	323 /90	131.2 /90	50.5 /90	696.4 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90
N. Elvedi	8	85682 min	81.1 /90	81.1 /90	50.7 /90	304 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Bijol	5	69344 min	61.6 /90	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	246.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
J. Rodon	3	71214 min	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	93.8 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2.1 6/5	0.9 6/1	—
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.9 4/3	—
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.8 4/2	1.2 7/2	—
A. Stach n 8	65.1	2.1 5/4	0.9 3/2	—
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2.3 8/6
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 4/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	2.9 8/7
A. Stach n 8	65.1	1.9 5/5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	10	80800 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	141.6 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90
N. Okafor	10	56563 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	61 /90	172.7 /90
H. Wilson	9	48428 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	122.5 /90	20.4 /90
L. Nmecha	6	38228 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	52 /90
E. Ampadu	11	90990 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
A. Stach n 8	65.1	1.6 6/3	0.3 2/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Stach n 8	65.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

LeedsDLDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 4 · 1 draw · Leeds 1 · 4 goals/game

2026-09-09 Chelsea 6–3 Leeds
2026-04-26 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds
2026-02-10 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds
2025-12-03 Leeds 3–1 Chelsea
2024-02-28 Chelsea 3–2 Leeds
2023-03-04 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds

League standing · 2026/27

Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Leeds#12 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored2.11

Leeds scored1

Chelsea conceded1.67

Leeds conceded0.89

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Leeds?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 4, Leeds won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Leeds?: Recent form — Chelsea 3W 1D 1L; Leeds 0W 3D 2L.

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