Chelsea v Newcastle prediction

Premier League · Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT · Stamford Bridge

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Newcastle · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Newcastle, Premier League on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 2 January (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Chelsea have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.50. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Chelsea have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Newcastle have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Newcastle have scored 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Newcastle have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Chelsea (fifth) and Newcastle (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chelsea the stronger side, 70 rating points above Newcastle (Chelsea 1604, Newcastle 1534, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Newcastle are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Chelsea. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle.

Team news

Predicted Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, W. Fofana, J. Acheampong, M. Lacroix, M. Caicedo, J. Henderson, M. Rogers, C. Palmer, R. Lavia, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.6 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1817 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, L. Hall, A. Dedić, D. Burn, M. Thiaw, H. Barnes, N. González, J. Willock, J. Murphy, Joelinton, W. Osula — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1462 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1087 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Stamford Bridge
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 2 · draws 1 · Newcastle 3 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 2W 1D 2L · Newcastle 1W 1D 3L

Chelsea v Newcastle (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.29 / 5

Corners

against 5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.71 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 4.43 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 2.63

Cards

against 3.86 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Newcastle for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.57 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.71 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	6	78465 min	122.3 /90	20.4 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 6	77.5	2.3 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Levi Colwill	10	82823 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	40.4 /90	434.7 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	10	57573 min	101.6 /90	91.4 /90	00 /90	193 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.1 5/3	1.9 6/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.1 6/2	2 7/5	—
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1.1 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.7 7/4
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	2 7/4
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
Estêvão	5	55275 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	103.3 /90	103.3 /90
D. Welbeck	4	66262 min	31 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	12	851023 min	50.4 /90	30.3 /90	332.9 /90	151.3 /90	292.6 /90	181.6 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.4 6/4	0.9 5/2
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.2 6/3	0.8 5/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.9 8/3	1.7 8/3
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 1/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Horníček	12	901080 min	413.4 /90	131.1 /90	00 /90
E. Jaouen	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lewis Hall	13	901169 min	282.2 /90	241.8 /90	110.8 /90	816.2 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Dedić	11	77850 min	161.7 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	373.9 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
S. Botman	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	596.6 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Thiaw	9	89805 min	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	121.3 /90	374.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
F. Schär	5	77384 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	92.1 /90	174 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.8 4/2	2.3 8/5	—
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	1.1 6/1	—
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.7 2/2	1.3 4/2	—
L. Horníček n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	1.6 5/3	1.2 3/2	—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1.9 7/3
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.8 5/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	1.6 8/1
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0
A. Dedić n 8	72.5	1.4 5/3
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Wissa	12	69833 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	272.9 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo	7	49345 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90
W. Osula	6	65387 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
B. Touré	6	30181 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90
N. Woltemade	2	55109 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	21.7 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 5/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	2.4 8/7	1.1 6/2
J. Willock n 8	61.8	2 7/4	0.9 4/1
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	3.3 8/5	0.8 4/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

NewcastleLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 2 · 1 draw · Newcastle 3 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-03-14 Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle
2025-12-20 Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea
2025-05-11 Newcastle 2–0 Chelsea
2024-10-30 Newcastle 2–0 Chelsea
2024-10-27 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle
2024-03-11 Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle

League standing · 2026/27

Chelsea#5 pos16 pts10 pl+3 GD

Newcastle#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored1.9

Newcastle scored1.3

Chelsea conceded1.6

Newcastle conceded1.6

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Newcastle?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 2, Newcastle won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Newcastle?: Recent form — Chelsea 2W 1D 2L; Newcastle 1W 1D 3L.

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