EvertonBrighton

Everton v Brighton result

Full-time · Everton 2–0 Brighton

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Everton · Brighton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Everton 2–0 Brighton — Everton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.4% of 140 landed (95% range 48.2–64.4%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Everton: 1.82 to 2.08 in expected goals, 0.76 of Brighton’s from a penalty, from 11 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 57th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Everton beat Brighton 2–0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

Everton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Everton: Iliman Ndiaye (23’, assisted by Jack Grealish) and James Garner (52’, assisted by Jack Grealish).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Iliman Ndiaye’s goal on 23 minutes.

Discipline

S. Attwell showed seven yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Everton: Timothy Iroegbunam (39’), James Garner (63’), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (89’) and Beto (90+5’); Brighton: Maxim De Cuyper (28’), Mats Wieffer (40’) and Ferdi Kadıoğlu (90+1’).

What it changes

Everton move up from 14th to eighth (two league matches played). Everton have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Everton have conceded 44 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brighton move down from second to 17th (two league matches played). Brighton have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Brighton have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Pickford (Everton) 9.9, Jack Grealish (Everton) 9.7 and Iliman Ndiaye (Everton) 8.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 56.4% of the time in the last 90 days (79 of 140).

Next up

Everton next travel to Brentford on 21 November 2026.

Brighton next travel to Hull City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Everton: Brentford v Everton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Hull City v Brighton, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Everton 2–0 Brighton · Premier League
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool, Merseyside
  • Referee: S. Attwell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 2 · draws 2 · Brighton 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 3W 1D 1L · Brighton 3W 2D 0L

Everton 2–0 Brighton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.13
Corners
against 6 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.58 yellows
Referee · S. Attwell
22.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 19 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: S. Attwell — 4.58 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 22.11 fouls over 19 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pickford19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
4.18/6

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. O'Brien19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9077 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Tarkowski19090 min22 /9011 /9033 /9088 /9022 /9000 /90
James Garner19090 min22 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Keane19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
I. Gueye19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Gueye n 888.4
1.36/3
1.36/3
Y. Ayari
J. Tarkowski n 885.3
1.26/3
1.25/3
L. Dunk
I. Ndiaye n 868.9
12/2
1.35/2
—
Beto n 868.9
15/1
1.35/3
—
James Garner n 890
0.85/1
0.83/2
M. Wieffer
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Garner n 890
38/7
I. Gueye n 888.4
2.47/3
I. Ndiaye n 868.9
1.55/3
J. O'Brien n 890
1.45/4
J. Tarkowski n 885.3
1.36/3
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Gueye19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
I. Ndiaye19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
K. Dewsbury-Hall19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
C. Alcaraz18686 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9022.1 /90
J. O'Brien19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Beto n 868.9
2.15/4
14/2
I. Ndiaye n 868.9
1.13/3
13/2
James Garner n 890
0.83/3
0.43/0
M. Keane n 874.3
0.84/1
0.32/0
J. O'Brien n 890
0.32/0
00/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Ndiaye n 868.9
0.31/1
00/0
Beto n 868.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Keane n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
James Garner n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.96/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. van Hecke19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Dunk19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9099 /9000 /9000 /90
M. De Cuyper19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9000 /90
M. Wieffer19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /9099 /9011 /9000 /90
F. Kadıoğlu12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9028.6 /9014.3 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Ayari n 873.6
1.55/3
1.76/3
I. Gueye
M. Wieffer n 876.4
1.25/2
0.73/2
James Garner
J. van Hecke n 889.9
0.63/2
1.36/3
—
L. Dunk n 882.1
0.32/0
0.73/2
J. Tarkowski
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Wieffer n 876.4
5.98/7
Y. Ayari n 873.6
2.68/5
J. van Hecke n 889.9
16/1
L. Dunk n 882.1
0.54/0
M. O'Riley n 866.6
1.73/2
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Rutter16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
M. O'Riley18888 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033.1 /9000 /90
K. Mitoma18383 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
C. Baleba16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Y. Minteh16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9022.6 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ayari n 873.6
1.15/1
0.32/0
M. Wieffer n 876.4
0.63/1
0.42/1
J. van Hecke n 889.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Dunk n 882.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Wieffer n 876.4
00/0
0.32/0
Y. Ayari n 873.6
0.32/0
00/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 889.9
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 882.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EvertonBrighton
42%Possession58%
1.60Expected goals (xG)2.43
11Shots13
3Shots on target4
7Shots off target5
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box7
2Corners2
0Offsides6
7Fouls15
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves1
362Passes490
75%Pass accuracy84%

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000008.6
J. O'Brien9000000206.6
J. Tarkowski9000000006.9
M. Keane9000000207.2
James Garner90102121Y8.2
I. Gueye9000000207.5
K. Dewsbury-Hall90000040Y7.2
J. Grealish8902003308.6
T. Iroegbunam71001000Y6.9
I. Ndiaye6410220307.3
T. Barry6400200006.3
C. Alcaraz sub2700000206.9
Beto sub27001000Y6.5
D. McNeil sub2000201006.5
H. Armstrong sub10000000–

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000001006.2
J. van Hecke9000000006.3
L. Dunk9000000206.7
Y. Minteh9000004106.9
M. O'Riley9000311106.5
K. Mitoma9000103106.5
D. Welbeck9000210004.9
M. Wieffer85000007Y6.7
M. De Cuyper67000001Y6
Y. Ayari6700220306.2
C. Baleba4500001006.5
J. Hinshelwood sub4500000106.7
F. Kadıoğlu sub24000000Y6.7
D. Gómez sub2400000006.3
B. Gruda sub1300100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BrightonDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton 2 · 2 draws · Brighton 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-01-25 Brighton 0–1 Everton
  • 2024-08-17 Everton 0–3 Brighton
  • 2024-02-24 Brighton 1–1 Everton
  • 2023-11-04 Everton 1–1 Brighton
  • 2023-05-08 Brighton 1–5 Everton
  • 2023-01-03 Everton 1–4 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Everton#13 pos49 pts38 pl-3 GD
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1.24
Brighton scored1.37
Everton conceded1.32
Brighton conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Everton 1.82 xG from 11 shots, Brighton 2.08 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Danny Welbeck 76' · 0.76 xGDanny Welbeck 18' · 0.58 xGThierno Barry 57' · 0.53 xGMatt O'Riley 45' · 0.34 xGBeto 87' · 0.13 xGDwight McNeil 87' · 0.13 xGDwight McNeil 87' · 0.10 xGTim Iroegbunam 33' · 0.09 xGKaoru Mitoma 17' · 0.08 xGYasin Ayari 59' · 0.07 xGBrajan Gruda 92' · 0.07 xGIliman Ndiaye 3' · 0.06 xGYasin Ayari 31' · 0.05 xGYankuba Minteh 74' · 0.03 xGYasin Ayari 11' · 0.03 xGThierno Barry 20' · 0.03 xGMatt O'Riley 73' · 0.03 xGJames Garner 40' · 0.02 xGJan Paul van Hecke 37' · 0.02 xGJack Grealish 82' · 0.02 xGMatt O'Riley 27' · 0.01 xGYasin Ayari 36' · 0.01 xGIliman Ndiaye 22' · 0.68 xG · goalJames Garner 51' · 0.02 xG · goal
Everton (attacking right)Brighton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Everton1121.82
Brighton1302.08

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Everton 0.89, Brighton 1.13. At full time, xG was level: Everton 1.82, Brighton 2.08, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.63 xG to Brighton, in the 18th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Everton 22 minGoal - Everton 51 min
Everton 1.82 xGBrighton 2.08 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Everton v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Brighton was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Brighton?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 2, Brighton won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Brighton?
Recent form — Everton 3W 1D 1L; Brighton 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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