EvertonManchester City

Everton v Manchester City result

Full-time · Everton 3–3 Manchester City

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Everton 3–3 Manchester City — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Everton 1.72, Manchester City 1.44 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Everton and Manchester City drew 3–3 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 4 May. Everton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester City have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Manchester City: Jérémy Doku (43’, assisted by R. Cherki; 90’, assisted by M. Guéhi) and Erling Haaland (83’, assisted by Mateo Kovačić); Everton: Thierno Barry (68’, 81’) and J. O'Brien (73’, assisted by James Garner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jérémy Doku’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Everton: Michael Keane (45’), Beto (48’), James Tarkowski (53’) and J. O'Brien (86’); Manchester City: Gianluigi Donnarumma (73’).

What it changes

Everton move up from 11th to 10th (35 league matches played).

Manchester City move down from first to second (34 league matches played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 35, across 10 matches. Everton are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) 15.5, Thierno Barry (Everton) 9.5 and M. Guéhi (Manchester City) 7.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Everton, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Everton next travel to Brentford on 21 November 2026.

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Everton: Brentford v Everton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Everton 3–3 Manchester City · Premier League
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool, Merseyside
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 0 · draws 1 · Manchester City 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 1W 1D 3L · Manchester City 5W 0D 0L

Everton 3–3 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 9
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 6.38
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
22.77 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
9 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
19.25 for · 8.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.77 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pickford34903060 min922.7 /90411.2 /9010 /90
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
2.66/4

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tarkowski35903150 min441.3 /90300.9 /90461.3 /902216.3 /90290.8 /9060.2 /90
J. O'Brien33872883 min531.7 /90130.4 /90190.6 /901805.6 /90160.5 /9030.1 /90
V. Mykolenko30902687 min451.5 /90280.9 /9090.3 /901284.3 /90270.9 /9050.2 /90
M. Keane29842430 min321.2 /90361.3 /90240.9 /901435.3 /90170.6 /9000 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite883664 min131.8 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90435.8 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
James Garner n 890
1.16/3
0.94/3
Bernardo Silva
J. Tarkowski n 890
15/3
1.37/2
N. O'Reilly
J. Pickford n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
J. O'Brien n 884.3
0.42/1
0.84/1
N. O'Reilly
T. Barry n 841
37/3
0.31/0
—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Garner n 890
3.67/5
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.84/2
J. O'Brien n 884.3
26/4
T. Barry n 841
0.52/0
V. Mykolenko n 889.9
27/6
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Barry33561856 min60.3 /9000 /90301.5 /90120.6 /90110.5 /9080.4 /90
Beto25551367 min80.5 /9010.1 /90312 /90171.1 /90120.8 /90120.8 /90
Tyrique George528141 min00 /9000 /9053.2 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
James Garner36903234 min20.1 /9060.2 /90351 /90130.4 /90501.4 /90170.5 /90
I. Ndiaye29852458 min60.2 /9030.1 /90271 /90180.7 /90271 /90632.3 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
James Garner n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.54/0
0.54/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
J. O'Brien n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Barry n 841
1.43/1
0.82/1
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
James Garner n 890
00/0
0.43/0
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
J. O'Brien n 884.3
00/0
00/0
T. Barry n 841
0.31/0
00/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma39903510 min902.3 /90370.9 /9020.1 /90
J. Trafford14901260 min332.4 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
A. Ramsdale19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
2.15/3
J. Trafford n 890
2.67/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. O'Reilly50743717 min1012.4 /90300.7 /90140.3 /902245.4 /90621.5 /9070.2 /90
Matheus Nunes45823687 min731.8 /90431 /90100.2 /901934.7 /90300.7 /9060.1 /90
Rúben Dias32832646 min220.7 /90260.9 /90200.7 /901063.6 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
A. Khusanov31782407 min532 /90542 /90110.4 /901013.8 /90240.9 /9060.2 /90
J. Gvardiol24781870 min281.3 /90251.2 /90120.6 /90864.1 /90241.2 /9020.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Haaland n 875.3
0.63/1
0.43/0
—
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
27/4
0.73/2
J. O'Brien
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.54/0
0.94/3
—
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
1.36/2
0.43/0
James Garner
T. Reijnders n 851.1
1.54/3
0.73/0
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 875.3
0.31/1
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
2.35/4
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
14/3
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
2.15/5
T. Reijnders n 851.1
0.73/0
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland50793929 min370.8 /9080.2 /901433.3 /90841.9 /90350.8 /90190.4 /90
Sávio26541399 min40.3 /9030.2 /90271.7 /90181.2 /90241.5 /90473 /90
Omar Marmoush22541197 min40.3 /9030.2 /90302.3 /90141.1 /90191.4 /90131 /90
R. McAidoo279158 min10.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9052.8 /90
A. Elanga14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /9024 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 875.3
3.67/6
1.96/3
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
1.35/2
1.25/2
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
0.75/0
0.43/0
T. Reijnders n 851.1
2.94/3
0.93/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 875.3
0.94/1
00/0
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
00/0
0.32/0
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
0.11/0
00/0
T. Reijnders n 851.1
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EvertonManchester City
25%Possession75%
2.72Expected goals (xG)1.54
14Shots21
6Shots on target4
2Shots off target8
6Blocked shots9
10Shots inside the box13
5Corners9
4Offsides0
15Fouls5
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
201Passes629
69%Pass accuracy90%

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000001006.5
J. O'Brien90101102Y6.6
J. Tarkowski90000001Y7.2
M. Keane90000002Y7
V. Mykolenko9000000305.9
James Garner9001002406.9
I. Ndiaye9000331206.6
T. Iroegbunam8900000607
M. Röhl8900000106.3
K. Dewsbury-Hall8900201306.9
Beto64000020Y6.3
T. Barry sub2620220208.9
N. Patterson sub10000000–
H. Armstrong sub10000000–
C. Alcaraz sub10000000–

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Donnarumma90000010Y6.6
Matheus Nunes9000000506.3
A. Khusanov9000100306.7
M. Guéhi9001002106.6
N. O'Reilly9000001106
R. Cherki9001412106.5
J. Doku9020224209.9
E. Haaland9010110007.3
Bernardo Silva8700002106.9
Nico González7500001106.5
A. Semenyo7400201206.7
P. Foden sub1600100006.3
M. Kovačić sub1501103106.9
Omar Marmoush sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Manchester CityWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton 0 · 1 draw · Manchester City 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Manchester City 2–0 Everton
  • 2025-04-19 Everton 0–2 Manchester City
  • 2024-12-26 Manchester City 1–1 Everton
  • 2024-02-10 Manchester City 2–0 Everton
  • 2023-12-27 Everton 1–3 Manchester City
  • 2023-05-14 Everton 0–3 Manchester City
League standing · 2025/26
Everton#13 pos49 pts38 pl-3 GD
Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1.24
Manchester City scored2.03
Everton conceded1.32
Manchester City conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Everton 1.72 xG from 14 shots, Manchester City 1.44 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Iliman Ndiaye 64' · 0.15 xGIliman Ndiaye 75' · 0.14 xGErling Haaland 15' · 0.14 xGNico O'Reilly 17' · 0.12 xGMathis Cherki 38' · 0.11 xGIliman Ndiaye 59' · 0.10 xGNico O'Reilly 17' · 0.09 xGIliman Ndiaye 71' · 0.08 xGNico O'Reilly 45' · 0.08 xGMerlin Röhl 80' · 0.08 xGMathis Cherki 78' · 0.08 xGBeto 31' · 0.08 xGBeto 46' · 0.07 xGAntoine Semenyo 20' · 0.06 xGAntoine Semenyo 17' · 0.05 xGMathis Cherki 17' · 0.05 xGMarc Guehi 47' · 0.05 xGJéremy Doku 33' · 0.04 xGOmar Marmoush 88' · 0.04 xGMateo Kovacic 83' · 0.03 xGBernardo Silva 45' · 0.03 xGMathis Cherki 6' · 0.03 xGMichael Keane 25' · 0.02 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 24' · 0.02 xGPhil Foden 86' · 0.01 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 51' · 0.01 xGAbduqodir Khusanov 27' · 0.01 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 65' · 0.01 xGThierno Barry 80' · 0.45 xG · goalThierno Barry 67' · 0.43 xG · goalErling Haaland 82' · 0.32 xG · goalJake O'Brien 72' · 0.08 xG · goalJéremy Doku 42' · 0.06 xG · goalJéremy Doku 96' · 0.02 xG · goal
Everton (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Everton1431.72
Manchester City2031.44

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 0.88 to 0.12. At full time, xG was level: Everton 1.72, Manchester City 1.44. The widest gap was 0.76 xG to Manchester City, in the 45th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 42 minGoal - Everton 67 minGoal - Everton 72 minGoal - Everton 80 minGoal - Manchester City 82 minGoal - Manchester City 96 min
Everton 1.72 xGManchester City 1.44 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Everton v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Manchester City?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 0, Manchester City won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Manchester City?
Recent form — Everton 1W 1D 3L; Manchester City 5W 0D 0L.

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