Nottingham Forest v Manchester City prediction

Premier League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Wembley Stadium

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 20:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Manchester City · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Premier League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nottingham Forest host Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest have scored six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Nottingham Forest are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Nottingham Forest have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 1.00. Nottingham Forest have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

11 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Manchester City have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.83. Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest (19th) and Manchester City (second) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City the stronger side, 388 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Manchester City 1845, Nottingham Forest 1456, after at least 161 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nottingham Forest. The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest.

Team news

Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, N. Milenković, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, R. Yates, L. Delap — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.5 per match over 10 appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 771 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1496 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, A. Khusanov, M. Guéhi, R. Dias, N. O'Reilly, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, P. Foden, I. Ndiaye, E. Haaland — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (5.8 per match over 13 appearances, 14 goals) and Elliot Anderson (5.0 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2060 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Elliot Anderson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2191 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Premier League · Wembley Stadium
Referee: Samuel Barrott
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 1 · Manchester City 4 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Nottingham Forest 0W 1D 4L · Manchester City 2W 1D 2L

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.88 / 6.43

Corners

against 4.38 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.63 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.57

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Nottingham Forest for / against	Line	Manchester City for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.14 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Samuel Barrott.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Sels	10	90900 min	202 /90	121.2 /90	00 /90

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	90	1.9 5/2

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Murillo	10	84838 min	212.3 /90	151.6 /90	30.3 /90	434.6 /90	131.4 /90	40.4 /90
Jair	8	89715 min	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	20.3 /90	324 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90
N. Milenković	6	90540 min	101.7 /90	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	396.5 /90	111.8 /90	20.3 /90
O. Diomande	5	81403 min	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	224.9 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
L. Netz	3	2060 min	11.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	46 /90	34.5 /90	00 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Williams n 8	89.3	0.9 3/2	1.4 6/3	—
Murillo n 8	89.9	1.4 4/3	0.3 2/0	—
X. Schlager n 8	81.4	1.4 7/3	0.7 5/0	—
D. Ndoye n 8	67.3	1.2 4/2	1.3 6/2	—
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Williams n 8	89.3	1.9 7/3
Murillo n 8	89.9	2.4 7/5
X. Schlager n 8	81.4	3.9 6/6
D. Ndoye n 8	67.3	0.2 1/0
J. McAtee n 8	87.4	2.3 7/4
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Ndoye	10	63630 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	162.3 /90	40.6 /90	81.1 /90	71 /90
Morgan Gibbs-White	8	90720 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90	212.6 /90	111.4 /90
L. Delap	8	74593 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	192.9 /90	30.5 /90	81.2 /90	101.5 /90
Igor Jesus	6	53316 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
C. Wood	6	32194 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Williams n 8	89.3	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
Murillo n 8	89.9	1.4 6/4	0.5 3/1
X. Schlager n 8	81.4	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
D. Ndoye n 8	67.3	2.7 7/5	0.7 3/1
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Williams n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Murillo n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
X. Schlager n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Ndoye n 8	67.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	14	901260 min	372.6 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	3.1 6/4

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rúben Dias	13	861118 min	100.8 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	453.6 /90	181.4 /90	00 /90
J. Gvardiol	13	74957 min	282.6 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90	726.8 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90
M. Guéhi	12	82982 min	70.6 /90	100.9 /90	40.4 /90	433.9 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Khusanov	11	86941 min	323.1 /90	222.1 /90	30.3 /90	545.2 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	9	76683 min	101.3 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	283.7 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.3 1/1	1 4/1	—
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.6 2/2	0.6 4/1	—
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	1.9 5/5	0.1 1/0	—
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.4 7/2	3.3 8/7	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.9 3/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.9 4/2
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	3 8/6
J. Gvardiol n 8	70.5	2.9 5/4
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	13	861123 min	141.1 /90	00 /90	473.8 /90	272.2 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90
J. Doku	8	53422 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.9 /90	40.9 /90	163.4 /90	326.8 /90
R. McAidoo	3	3194 min	11 /90	11 /90	32.9 /90	21.9 /90	21.9 /90	43.8 /90
F. Samba	2	76152 min	21.2 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Omar Marmoush	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	2.9 7/5	1.2 6/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	3.3 8/8	1.8 8/4
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.1 5/3	0.1 1/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	65.6	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	1.1 7/2	0 0/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Manchester CityWLDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nottingham Forest 1 · 1 draw · Manchester City 4 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-04 Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest
2025-12-27 Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City
2025-04-27 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City
2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester City
2024-12-04 Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest
2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City

League standing · 2026/27

Nottingham Forest#19 pos6 pts9 pl-6 GD

Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Nottingham Forest scored0.67

Manchester City scored2.22

Nottingham Forest conceded1.33

Manchester City conceded1.11

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest v Manchester City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Manchester City is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City?: In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Manchester City?: Recent form — Nottingham Forest 0W 1D 4L; Manchester City 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 20:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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