This Matchweek

EvertonManchester United

Everton v Manchester United result

Full-time · Everton 2–2 Manchester United

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Everton 2–2 Manchester United — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Everton 1.06, Manchester United 0.87 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 6 September. Everton are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester United: Bryan Mbeumo (46’, assisted by Kobbie Mainoo) and Benjamin Šeško (88’, assisted by Luke Shaw); Everton: Tyrique George (83’, assisted by Hayden Hackney) and Ainsley Maitland-Niles (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ainsley Maitland-Niles’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

John Brooks, England showed six yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Everton: Harrison Armstrong (13’), Brennan Johnson (34’) and Merlin Röhl (64’); Manchester United: Luke Shaw (62’), H. Maguire (79’) and Diogo Dalot (81’).

What it changes

Everton move down from second to eighth (three league matches played). Everton have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Everton have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United move down from 10th to 11th (three league matches played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tyrique George (Everton) 8.2, Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United) 6.6 and Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Everton next host Coventry on 6 November 2026.

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Everton: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Everton 2–2 Manchester United · Premier League
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool
  • Referee: John Brooks, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 1 · draws 1 · Manchester United 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 2W 1D 2L · Manchester United 3W 1D 1L

Everton 2–2 Manchester United (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineManchester United for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: John Brooks, England.

Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pickford390270 min93 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
2.33/3

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tarkowski390270 min20.7 /9072.3 /9031 /90186 /9010.3 /9000 /90
V. Mykolenko390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9041.3 /90113.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Röhl389266 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90103.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Keane19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9099 /9000 /9000 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tarkowski n 890
1.16/3
1.36/3
L. Shaw
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.54/0
0.64/1
H. Maguire
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
0.41/1
—
M. Röhl n 884.4
1.96/5
0.85/1
L. Shaw
H. Armstrong n 868
1.75/3
2.25/3
—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tarkowski n 890
1.67/3
V. Mykolenko n 890
1.35/3
H. Armstrong n 868
2.27/4
M. Röhl n 884.4
1.77/4
I. Ndiaye n 888.9
1.56/3
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Barry377231 min41.6 /9010.4 /90124.7 /9083.1 /9072.7 /9010.4 /90
B. Johnson22754 min11.7 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /90
T. Dibling16464 min00 /9000 /9034.2 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Beto12020 min00 /9000 /9014.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Armstrong389266 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.65/0
0.43/0
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Armstrong n 868
0.84/1
0.32/0
M. Röhl n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
V. Mykolenko n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Armstrong n 868
00/0
0.21/0
M. Röhl n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens290180 min52.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
38/5

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Maguire290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90115.5 /9021 /9000 /90
L. Shaw282163 min52.8 /9031.7 /9000 /9095 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Mazraoui24997 min10.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9043.7 /9010.9 /9000 /90
A. Heaven19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
Lisandro Martínez19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Maguire n 888.5
0.94/3
0.53/1
V. Mykolenko
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.84/2
0.32/0
—
B. Mbeumo n 873.1
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Shaw n 884.8
1.25/2
1.26/2
M. Röhl
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Maguire n 888.5
1.46/4
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.95/2
B. Mbeumo n 873.1
0.83/1
L. Shaw n 884.8
2.37/4
Matheus Cunha n 883.8
0.95/2
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha280160 min00 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9021.1 /9042.3 /9000 /90
B. Mbeumo290180 min10.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Bruno Fernandes290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9042 /9063 /9031.5 /90
Y. Tielemans279157 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9042.3 /9010.6 /90
M. Rashford263125 min00 /9000 /9042.9 /9021.4 /9075 /9032.2 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 873.1
1.85/4
0.84/1
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
1.67/3
0.95/1
H. Maguire n 888.5
0.84/2
0.42/1
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Shaw n 884.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.52/1
0.65/0
B. Mbeumo n 873.1
0.53/0
00/0
H. Maguire n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Shaw n 884.8
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EvertonManchester United
45%Possession55%
1.01Expected goals (xG)0.69
18Shots14
6Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
7Blocked shots6
14Shots inside the box6
4Corners3
3Offsides1
7Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves4
418Passes527
86%Pass accuracy87%

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000005.9
T. Barry9000201006.7
Tyrique George9010113008.3
K. Dewsbury-Hall9000222406.9
H. Armstrong90001001Y6.2
V. Mykolenko9000000306.6
Jarrad Branthwaite9000220107
J. Tarkowski9000100307.2
James Garner7700002106.9
M. Röhl75000010Y6.7
B. Johnson66000021Y6.3
J. Grealish sub2400001107.3
H. Hackney sub1501102106.9
A. Maitland-Niles sub1310110007.2

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Lammens9000000006.2
Bruno Fernandes9000202006.3
B. Mbeumo9010111006.9
Y. Tielemans9000111006.6
Lisandro Martínez9000000006.9
H. Maguire90000000Y6.3
L. Shaw89011011Y7.2
K. Mainoo8401002207.7
Diogo Dalot84000022Y6
Matheus Cunha7000100206.2
M. Rashford7000001007
Benjamin Šeško sub2010210007.2
P. Dorgu sub2000000106
Andrey Santos sub1300000006.7
Leny Yoro sub1300000206.5
N. Mazraoui sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Manchester UnitedDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton 1 · 1 draw · Manchester United 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-23 Everton 0–1 Manchester United
  • 2025-11-24 Manchester United 0–1 Everton
  • 2025-02-22 Everton 2–2 Manchester United
  • 2024-12-01 Manchester United 4–0 Everton
  • 2024-03-09 Manchester United 2–0 Everton
  • 2023-11-26 Everton 0–3 Manchester United
League standing · 2026/27
Everton#7 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1
Manchester United scored1.11
Everton conceded1
Manchester United conceded1.67

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Everton 1.06 xG from 18 shots, Manchester United 0.87 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Thierno Barry 42' · 0.34 xGThierno Barry 58' · 0.11 xGMatheus Cunha 21' · 0.09 xGBrennan Johnson 56' · 0.07 xGBryan Mbeumo 73' · 0.07 xGBruno Fernandes 7' · 0.07 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 58' · 0.06 xGHarrison Armstrong 72' · 0.05 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 72' · 0.05 xGJarrad Branthwaite 46' · 0.05 xGHayden Hackney 93' · 0.05 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 66' · 0.04 xGHarrison Armstrong 53' · 0.04 xGLuke Shaw 65' · 0.04 xGJarrad Branthwaite 81' · 0.03 xGYouri Tielemans 64' · 0.03 xGThierno Barry 41' · 0.03 xGBruno Fernandes 48' · 0.02 xGBenjamin Sesko 85' · 0.02 xGBruno Fernandes 19' · 0.02 xGJack Grealish 89' · 0.02 xGMatheus Cunha 18' · 0.02 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 8' · 0.02 xGDiogo Dalot 20' · 0.02 xGBruno Fernandes 64' · 0.02 xGYouri Tielemans 17' · 0.01 xGJames Tarkowski 69' · 0.01 xGThierno Barry 39' · 0.01 xGBenjamin Sesko 87' · 0.41 xG · goalTyrique George 82' · 0.05 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo 46' · 0.04 xG · goalAinsley Maitland-Niles 95' · 0.03 xG · goal
Everton (attacking right)Manchester United (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Everton1821.06
Manchester United1420.87

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Everton 0.39, Manchester United 0.22. At full time, xG was level: Everton 1.06, Manchester United 0.87. The widest gap was 0.52 xG to Everton, in the 82nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester United 46 minGoal - Everton 82 minGoal - Manchester United 87 minGoal - Everton 95 min
Everton 1.06 xGManchester United 0.87 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Everton v Manchester United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Manchester United was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Manchester United?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 1, Manchester United won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Manchester United?
Recent form — Everton 2W 1D 2L; Manchester United 3W 1D 1L.

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