FulhamAston Villa

Fulham v Aston Villa result

Full-time · Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa

Premier League · · Craven Cottage

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fulham · Aston Villa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa — Fulham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Fulham: 1.32 to 0.91 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Fulham beat Aston Villa 1–0 at Craven Cottage in the Premier League on Saturday 25 April. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fulham, every meeting checked.

The goals

Fulham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fulham: R. Sessegnon (43’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Sessegnon’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fulham: Timothy Castagne (46’) and Harry Wilson (90+1’); Aston Villa: Pau Torres (49’) and Douglas Luiz (90+4’).

What it changes

Fulham move up from 12th to 10th (34 league matches played).

Aston Villa stay fourth after this result (34 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Sessegnon (Fulham) 7.9, Joachim Andersen (Fulham) 6.0 and Youri Tielemans (Aston Villa) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fulham or Aston Villa (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Fulham next host Newcastle on 7 November 2026.

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fulham: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa · Premier League
  • Venue: Craven Cottage · London
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fulham 0 · draws 0 · Aston Villa 6 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fulham 1W 2D 2L · Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L

Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
22.77 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFulham for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.77 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fulham

Fulham Goalkeeper

Fulham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Leno33902970 min842.5 /90461.4 /9000 /90
B. Lecomte690540 min101.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Fulham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Leno n 890
2.46/4
B. Lecomte n 690
1.74/1

Fulham Defensive

Fulham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Andersen32892832 min421.3 /90321 /90190.6 /901414.5 /90311 /9070.2 /90
R. Sessegnon27721952 min502.3 /90241.1 /9080.4 /90793.6 /90331.5 /9000 /90
C. Bassey25842112 min532.3 /90170.7 /90190.8 /901275.4 /90251.1 /9050.2 /90
K. Tete23821892 min683.2 /90271.3 /9070.3 /901356.4 /90281.3 /9020.1 /90
T. Castagne22821799 min341.7 /90301.5 /90120.6 /90713.6 /90180.9 /9050.3 /90
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Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Wilson n 883.8
0.11/0
0.85/1
E. Buendía
B. Leno n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Berge n 886.4
1.26/2
0.95/2
—
J. Andersen n 890
0.94/2
0.32/0
E. Konsa
E. Smith Rowe n 866.6
0.51/1
0.51/1
M. Rogers
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Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Wilson n 883.8
0.74/1
S. Berge n 886.4
2.27/6
J. Andersen n 890
1.55/3
E. Smith Rowe n 866.6
1.97/3
R. Jiménez n 863.5
2.37/4
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Fulham Attacking

Fulham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Jiménez31732250 min80.3 /9030.1 /90492 /90190.8 /90230.9 /90110.4 /90
Kevin24511214 min30.2 /9020.1 /90261.9 /90131 /90161.2 /90382.8 /90
Rodrigo Muniz1948915 min10.1 /9010.1 /90242.4 /9070.7 /90101 /9040.4 /90
S. Chukwueze1853949 min30.3 /9040.4 /90131.2 /9060.6 /90201.9 /90141.3 /90
Adama Traoré1143478 min00 /9000 /9071.3 /9040.8 /9061.1 /9061.1 /90
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Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wilson n 883.8
1.78/3
0.74/1
B. Leno n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Berge n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
J. Andersen n 890
0.63/2
0.42/1
E. Smith Rowe n 866.6
1.25/2
0.53/0
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Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Wilson n 883.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
B. Leno n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Berge n 886.4
00/0
00/0
J. Andersen n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Smith Rowe n 866.6
00/0
00/0
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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez37883241 min1022.8 /90411.1 /9010 /90
M. Bizot1283991 min474.3 /90111 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
37/7
M. Bizot n 878.9
46/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Konsa41863540 min270.7 /90280.7 /90340.9 /901213.1 /90170.4 /9010 /90
M. Cash40823265 min681.9 /90270.7 /90140.4 /901504.1 /90471.3 /90100.3 /90
L. Digne35662302 min431.7 /90160.6 /9050.2 /901013.9 /90261 /9060.2 /90
Pau Torres29832413 min261 /90150.6 /90261 /90782.9 /90140.5 /9000 /90
I. Maatsen28681899 min472.2 /90150.7 /9020.1 /901095.2 /90150.7 /9030.1 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rogers n 883.8
1.67/3
1.68/3
E. Smith Rowe
O. Watkins n 872.4
1.26/2
1.67/3
—
E. Konsa n 890
0.31/1
15/2
J. Andersen
M. Cash n 875
1.87/3
1.15/2
—
E. Buendía n 864.5
2.14/3
2.47/4
H. Wilson
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.8
0.52/2
O. Watkins n 872.4
0.85/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.53/1
M. Cash n 875
2.35/5
E. Buendía n 864.5
2.16/5
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Watkins46693164 min150.4 /9030.1 /90611.7 /90401.1 /90280.8 /90270.8 /90
D. Malen22461001 min50.4 /9020.2 /90282.5 /90141.3 /9080.7 /90161.4 /90
T. Abraham937336 min20.5 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9030.8 /9071.9 /9000 /90
Alysson Edward22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Rogers47833910 min120.3 /9080.2 /90711.6 /90410.9 /90671.5 /90581.3 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.8
27/5
1.14/2
O. Watkins n 872.4
1.76/3
1.25/3
E. Konsa n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
M. Cash n 875
0.63/1
0.21/0
E. Buendía n 864.5
1.45/2
0.32/0
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
O. Watkins n 872.4
1.15/2
0.32/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Cash n 875
00/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 864.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FulhamAston Villa
39%Possession61%
1.18Expected goals (xG)0.93
13Shots10
6Shots on target1
2Shots off target8
5Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box6
2Corners5
7Offsides0
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
337Passes529
82%Pass accuracy86%

Fulham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Leno9000000007.2
T. Castagne90000010Y6.9
J. Andersen9000001408
C. Bassey9000000107
S. Lukić9000221206.6
S. Berge9000101107.2
H. Wilson90001001Y7
R. Sessegnon8110110307.5
E. Smith Rowe7600000306.9
S. Chukwueze7600112007.5
R. Jiménez6600112006.3
Rodrigo Muniz sub2400000207
Joshua King sub1400001106.6
Oscar Bobb sub1400110006.6
A. Robinson sub900000006.6

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007.6
M. Cash9000002406.5
E. Konsa9000000006.9
Pau Torres90000001Y7.7
L. Digne9000100106.3
M. Rogers9000200105.6
O. Watkins8000311006.5
L. Bogarde7400000106.2
Y. Tielemans7400100407.2
J. McGinn7400005007
E. Buendía7400100106.5
R. Barkley sub1600000006.5
J. Sancho sub1600000006.3
L. Bailey sub1600000006.5
Douglas Luiz sub16000010Y6.5
T. Abraham sub1000100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fulham v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FulhamLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Aston VillaWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fulham 0 · 0 draws · Aston Villa 6 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-28 Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham
  • 2025-05-03 Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham
  • 2024-10-19 Fulham 1–3 Aston Villa
  • 2024-02-17 Fulham 1–2 Aston Villa
  • 2023-11-12 Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham
  • 2023-04-25 Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham
League standing · 2025/26
Fulham#11 pos52 pts38 pl-4 GD
Aston Villa#4 pos65 pts38 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Fulham scored1.24
Aston Villa scored1.47
Fulham conceded1.34
Aston Villa conceded1.29

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Fulham 1.32 xG from 13 shots, Aston Villa 0.91 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tammy Abraham 82' · 0.42 xGSasa Lukic 41' · 0.20 xGRodrigo Muniz 87' · 0.13 xGRaúl Jiménez 6' · 0.10 xGHarry Wilson 36' · 0.09 xGMorgan Rogers 33' · 0.08 xGYouri Tielemans 69' · 0.08 xGOllie Watkins 59' · 0.07 xGHarry Wilson 47' · 0.07 xGOscar Bobb 85' · 0.07 xGMorgan Rogers 71' · 0.06 xGOllie Watkins 34' · 0.06 xGEmile Smith-Rowe 64' · 0.06 xGEmiliano Buendía 7' · 0.06 xGSamuel Chukwueze 24' · 0.05 xGSasa Lukic 10' · 0.05 xGSander Berge 31' · 0.05 xGSander Berge 49' · 0.04 xGMorgan Rogers 28' · 0.03 xGOllie Watkins 10' · 0.03 xGLucas Digne 85' · 0.02 xGHarry Wilson 9' · 0.02 xGRyan Sessegnon 42' · 0.40 xG · goal
Fulham (attacking right)Aston Villa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Fulham1311.32
Aston Villa1000.91

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fulham led on xG, 0.95 to 0.26. At full time, Fulham led on xG, 1.32 to 0.91. The widest gap was 0.81 xG to Fulham, in the 49th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fulham 42 min
Fulham 1.32 xGAston Villa 0.91 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fulham v Aston Villa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fulham v Aston Villa was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Aston Villa?
In their last 6 meetings, Fulham won 0, Aston Villa won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Aston Villa?
Recent form — Fulham 1W 2D 2L; Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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