Fulham v Chelsea result
Team pages: Fulham · Chelsea · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Fulham 2–3 Chelsea — Chelsea won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
What xG said
xG said Chelsea: 2.61 to 1.46 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 0th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Chelsea won 3–2 at Craven Cottage in the Premier League on Monday 24 August.
The goals
Chelsea led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea: João Pedro (1’, assisted by Cole Palmer), Morgan Rogers (41’, assisted by Maxence Lacroix) and Cole Palmer (49’, assisted by João Pedro); Fulham: Joshua King (23’, assisted by Timothy Castagne) and Gonzalo García (54’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Morgan Rogers’s goal on 41 minutes.
Discipline
J. Brooks showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fulham: C. Bassey (76’) and Timothy Castagne (88’); Chelsea: Levi Colwill (5’), Roméo Lavia (12’) and Reece James (75’).
What it changes
Fulham are 12th after this result (one league match played). Fulham have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Fulham have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Chelsea are sixth after this result (one league match played). Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across 10 matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cole Palmer (Chelsea) 12.7, Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) 9.2 and Maxence Lacroix (Chelsea) 8.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Fulham or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).
Next up
Fulham next host Newcastle on 7 November 2026.
Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Fulham: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Fulham 2–3 Chelsea · Premier League
- Venue: Craven Cottage · London
- Referee: J. Brooks
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Fulham 2 · draws 0 · Chelsea 4 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Fulham 2W 1D 2L · Chelsea 1W 1D 3L
Fulham 2–3 Chelsea (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Fulham for / against | Line | Chelsea for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Brooks — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 18.91 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Match Statistics & Details
| Fulham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Possession | 38% |
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.24 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 13 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 639 | Passes | 394 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
Fulham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Leno | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Castagne | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Bassey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Jorge Cuenca | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Joshua King | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Iwobi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Gonzalo García | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Robinson | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Berge | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| César Palacios | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Oscar Bobb | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Shea Charles sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Sessegnon sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Kevin sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Muniz sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Chelsea Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Joshua Kofi Acheampong | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Lacroix | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Levi Colwill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6 |
| R. James | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| João Pedro | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Palmer | 83 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| M. Rogers | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8.5 |
| M. Gusto | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Lavia | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Hato | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pep Chavarría sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Fernández sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pedro Neto sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Estêvão sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Fulham v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-07 Fulham 2–1 Chelsea
- 2025-08-30 Chelsea 2–0 Fulham
- 2025-04-20 Fulham 1–2 Chelsea
- 2024-12-26 Chelsea 1–2 Fulham
- 2024-01-13 Chelsea 1–0 Fulham
- 2023-10-02 Fulham 0–2 Chelsea
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Fulham 1.46 xG from 14 shots, Chelsea 2.61 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 14 | 2 | 1.46 |
| Chelsea | 18 | 3 | 2.61 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Chelsea led on xG, 2.06 to 0.43. At full time, Chelsea led on xG, 2.61 to 1.46. The widest gap was 2.09 xG to Chelsea, in the 48th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Fulham v Chelsea?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Fulham v Chelsea was Home or Draw (best price 1.91 at Unibet).
- What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Chelsea?
- In their last 6 meetings, Fulham won 2, Chelsea won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Fulham and Chelsea?
- Recent form — Fulham 2W 1D 2L; Chelsea 1W 1D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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