This Matchweek

FulhamHull City

Fulham v Hull City result

Full-time · Fulham 1–0 Hull City

Premier League · · Craven Cottage

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fulham 1–0 Hull City — Fulham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,038 of 1,386 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Fulham: 2.31 to 0.13 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Fulham beat Hull City 1–0 at Craven Cottage in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October. Hull City are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Fulham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fulham: Alexander Iwobi (33’, assisted by Sander Berge). R. Sessegnon (90+4’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Iwobi’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

Chris Kavanagh, England showed four yellow cards and one red — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fulham: Joshua King (27’) and Sander Berge (84’); Hull City: Lucas Herrington (22’) and Regan Slater (27’).

What it changes

Fulham move up from 19th to 15th (seven league matches played). Fulham have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Fulham have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Hull City stay ninth after this result (seven league matches played). Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexander Iwobi (Fulham) 6.8, Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City) 5.2 and Timothy Castagne (Fulham) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fulham are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Hull City.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fulham or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1327 of 1736).

Next up

Fulham next host Newcastle on 7 November 2026.

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fulham: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fulham 1–0 Hull City · Premier League
  • Venue: Craven Cottage · London
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fulham 4 · draws 1 · Hull City 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fulham 1W 2D 2L · Hull City 0W 3D 2L

Fulham 1–0 Hull City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.14
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.13 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 3.14
Cards
against 0.75 / 0.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · Chris Kavanagh, England
26.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFulham for / againstLineHull City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.14 for · 6.14 against n 7
Shots
15.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 13.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.57 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 8 against n 8
21.5standard
11.71 for · 6.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3.14 for · 0.71 against n 7

Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.67 red cards, 26.83 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fulham

Fulham Goalkeeper

Fulham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Leno690540 min193.2 /90101.7 /9000 /90
B. Lecomte290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
Fulham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Leno n 890
2.98/5
B. Lecomte n 890
1.55/1

Fulham Defensive

Fulham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Bassey781568 min111.7 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90294.6 /9061 /9020.3 /90
A. Robinson687521 min162.8 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90315.4 /9040.7 /9000 /90
T. Castagne683500 min101.8 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90193.4 /9091.6 /9020.4 /90
J. Andersen483332 min20.5 /9051.4 /9000 /90143.8 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
R. Sessegnon455219 min20.8 /9020.8 /9000 /9093.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gonzalo García n 869.1
1.15/2
0.52/1
—
Shea Charles n 861.5
0.21/0
0.72/1
R. Slater
Oscar Bobb n 861.3
0.63/0
25/4
Oliver McBurnie
C. Bassey n 882.3
15/1
15/2
J. Egan
Joshua King n 867.8
1.25/2
1.35/2
Oliver McBurnie
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Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 869.1
0.32/0
Shea Charles n 861.5
1.14/2
Oscar Bobb n 861.3
26/4
C. Bassey n 882.3
1.88/3
Joshua King n 867.8
1.56/3
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Fulham Attacking

Fulham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonzalo García869553 min20.3 /9000 /90132.1 /9050.8 /9040.7 /9061 /90
Kevin539196 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9094.1 /90
Rodrigo Muniz271141 min21.3 /9000 /9074.5 /9042.6 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
M. Zepa14545 min00 /9012 /9036 /9024 /9036 /9036 /90
Shea Charles862492 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9000 /9040.7 /9050.9 /90
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Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 869.1
2.17/4
0.84/1
Shea Charles n 861.5
0.42/0
00/0
Oscar Bobb n 861.3
0.94/1
0.42/0
C. Bassey n 882.3
0.43/0
0.43/0
Joshua King n 867.8
26/3
1.35/3
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Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 869.1
0.32/0
00/0
Shea Charles n 861.5
00/0
00/0
Oscar Bobb n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
C. Bassey n 882.3
00/0
00/0
Joshua King n 867.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Tzolakis690540 min213.5 /9061 /9010.2 /90
D. Phillips19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 690
3.55/5
D. Phillips n 391.7
2.63/2

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Egan782573 min91.4 /9081.3 /9071.1 /90233.6 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90
L. Coyle776531 min71.2 /9030.5 /9000 /90172.9 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
S. Ajayi686514 min81.4 /9071.2 /9000 /90223.9 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
R. Giles685509 min50.9 /9040.7 /9000 /90132.3 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
N. Mendy665388 min71.6 /9040.9 /9071.6 /90133 /9061.4 /9000 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Egan n 882.9
0.73/2
0.43/0
C. Bassey
R. Slater n 879
1.66/4
0.43/0
Shea Charles
L. Coyle n 877.5
0.74/1
0.73/2
—
K. Tzolakis n 690
00/0
0.84/1
—
Oliver McBurnie n 888.3
1.47/3
1.77/4
Joshua King
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Egan n 882.9
1.66/4
R. Slater n 879
2.47/4
L. Coyle n 877.5
1.36/2
Oliver McBurnie n 888.3
0.64/1
S. Ajayi n 886.8
1.26/3
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie689532 min00 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9030.5 /9071.2 /9071.2 /90
M. Cho349147 min10.6 /9000 /9053.1 /9021.2 /9031.8 /9010.6 /90
L. Millar22550 min11.8 /9000 /9035.4 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Slater778543 min00 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9020.3 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90
M. Belloumi671424 min30.6 /9020.4 /90122.5 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9091.9 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Egan n 882.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
R. Slater n 879
0.63/1
0.32/0
L. Coyle n 877.5
0.11/0
00/0
K. Tzolakis n 690
00/0
00/0
Oliver McBurnie n 888.3
1.56/4
0.84/2
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Egan n 882.9
00/0
00/0
R. Slater n 879
00/0
0.11/0
L. Coyle n 877.5
00/0
00/0
K. Tzolakis n 690
00/0
00/0
Oliver McBurnie n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FulhamHull City
77%Possession23%
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.16
18Shots5
6Shots on target0
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box1
10Corners2
1Offsides2
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Saves5
752Passes225
91%Pass accuracy64%

Fulham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Castagne9000000207.7
B. Leno9000000006.6
A. Iwobi9010423009.9
Shea Charles9000001307.6
S. Berge90010011Y6.9
A. Robinson9000001206.9
C. Bassey9000100307.9
D. Affengruber9000000207.2
Gonzalo García8500102006.3
Joshua King78002231Y7.3
Oscar Bobb7800313107
R. Sessegnon sub16000000R6.7
César Palacios sub1200001006.9
T. Cairney sub1200110107.2

Hull City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver McBurnie9000000006.5
M. Belloumi9000200407
J. Egan9000000207.7
S. Ajayi9000000106.3
L. Coyle9000100206.6
K. Tzolakis9000000005.9
R. Slater75001001Y6.6
S. Thomas6800000206.7
M. Crooks6800000206.3
B. Norton-Cuffy6800000006.5
L. Herrington45000002Y6.9
T. Iroegbunam sub4500000106.3
J. Gelhardt sub2200000006.2
R. Giles sub2200000106.9
R. Vaz sub2200000006.3
H. Morita sub1500001106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fulham v Hull City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FulhamLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Hull CityDLDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fulham 4 · 1 draw · Hull City 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2023-01-07 Hull City 0–2 Fulham
  • 2022-02-12 Hull City 0–1 Fulham
  • 2021-08-21 Fulham 2–0 Hull City
  • 2020-01-11 Hull City 0–1 Fulham
  • 2019-11-02 Fulham 0–3 Hull City
  • 2017-12-30 Hull City 2–2 Fulham
League standing · 2026/27
Fulham#15 pos9 pts9 pl-2 GD
Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Fulham scored1
Hull City scored1.22
Fulham conceded1.22
Hull City conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Fulham 2.31 xG from 18 shots, Hull City 0.13 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Gonzalo García 73' · 0.54 xGAlex Iwobi 57' · 0.37 xGJoshua King 52' · 0.35 xGCalvin Bassey 38' · 0.34 xGOscar Bobb 39' · 0.13 xGOscar Bobb 73' · 0.07 xGTom Cairney 92' · 0.07 xGOscar Bobb 22' · 0.07 xGJoshua King 41' · 0.06 xGJoshua King 15' · 0.06 xGOscar Bobb 6' · 0.05 xGSander Berge 24' · 0.04 xGLewie Coyle 60' · 0.03 xGRegan Slater 42' · 0.03 xGMohamed Belloumi 90' · 0.03 xGAlex Iwobi 2' · 0.03 xGAlex Iwobi 40' · 0.03 xGShea Charles 72' · 0.03 xGMohamed Belloumi 25' · 0.02 xGAlex Iwobi 69' · 0.02 xGOscar Bobb 77' · 0.02 xGMohamed Belloumi 78' · 0.01 xGAlex Iwobi 32' · 0.06 xG · goal
Fulham (attacking right)Hull City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Fulham1812.31
Hull City500.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fulham led on xG, 0.85 to 0.05. At full time, Fulham led on xG, 2.31 to 0.13. The widest gap was 2.18 xG to Fulham, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fulham 32 min
Fulham 2.31 xGHull City 0.13 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fulham v Hull City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fulham v Hull City was Home or Draw (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Hull City?
In their last 6 meetings, Fulham won 4, Hull City won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Hull City?
Recent form — Fulham 1W 2D 2L; Hull City 0W 3D 2L.

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