This Matchweek

IpswichLiverpool

Ipswich v Liverpool result

Full-time · Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool

Premier League · · Portman Road Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool — Liverpool won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.42 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Ipswich 0.60, Liverpool 0.74 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Liverpool won 2–0 at Portman Road Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 4 September. Liverpool have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Liverpool led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Liverpool: Alexander Isak (6’, assisted by Cody Gakpo; 9’, assisted by Cody Gakpo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Isak’s goal on 6 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Ipswich: J. Enciso (41’); Liverpool: Alexis Mac Allister (10’), Jérémy Jacquet (52’) and Miloš Kerkez (57’).

What it changes

Ipswich move down from 12th to 13th (three league matches played). Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool move up from 10th to fifth (three league matches played). Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across 10 matches. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) 10.8, Alexander Isak (Liverpool) 8.9 and Exequiel Palacios (Ipswich) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool · Premier League
  • Venue: Portman Road Stadium · Ipswich
  • Referee: Darren England, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Ipswich 0 · draws 0 · Liverpool 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ipswich 3W 1D 1L · Liverpool 0W 4D 1L

Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.63 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIpswich for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: Darren England, England.

Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Scherpen290180 min84 /9063 /9000 /90
Christian Walton19090 min77 /9011 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 890
3.97/5

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9051.7 /90134.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Leif Davis369207 min00 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9000 /90
I. Diop290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Jacob Greaves290180 min42 /9000 /9042 /90126 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Darnell Furlong254107 min00 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.84/1
1.16/3
V. van Dijk
Marcelino Núñez n 869.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
—
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.83/2
0.85/1
V. van Dijk
Chuba Akpom n 838.5
0.62/0
2.35/2
—
Kasey McAteer n 850.3
1.87/1
1.33/1
—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.63/2
Marcelino Núñez n 869.5
1.54/3
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.72/2
Chuba Akpom n 838.5
1.23/1
Kasey McAteer n 850.3
1.66/1
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chuba Akpom353159 min10.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Emersonn256111 min10.8 /9000 /9032.4 /9021.6 /9032.4 /9021.6 /90
Marcelino Núñez377231 min20.8 /9000 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
Kasey McAteer340119 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9021.5 /9000 /9010.8 /90
S. Lukić282163 min00 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
Marcelino Núñez n 869.5
0.63/1
0.52/1
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.63/1
0.42/1
Chuba Akpom n 838.5
1.53/1
0.92/1
Kasey McAteer n 850.3
25/3
1.34/2
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcelino Núñez n 869.5
0.31/1
00/0
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
Chuba Akpom n 838.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Kasey McAteer n 850.3
0.42/0
00/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.34/3

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. van Dijk290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /90105 /9000 /9010.5 /90
Jeremie Frimpong281161 min31.7 /9000 /9000 /9052.8 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
M. Kerkez281161 min42.2 /9021.1 /9031.7 /9095 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
Jérémy Jacquet274147 min42.4 /9042.4 /9010.6 /90138 /9010.6 /9000 /90
J. Jacquet17777 min33.5 /9033.5 /9000 /90910.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.98/5
0.85/1
—
V. van Dijk n 890
0.54/0
0.42/1
Leif Davis
A. Isak n 854.4
0.21/0
0.62/1
—
Alisson Becker n 890
0.11/0
0.31/1
—
C. Gakpo n 883.3
1.55/3
0.95/1
—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.66/5
A. Isak n 854.4
0.42/0
V. van Dijk n 890
0.31/1
Jeremie Frimpong n 854.6
1.65/2
M. Kerkez n 862.1
1.14/1
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Isak290180 min10.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Rio Ngumoha24182 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.2 /90
D. Szoboszlai290180 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9021 /90
C. Gakpo281161 min10.6 /9010.6 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9052.8 /9010.6 /90
F. Wirtz277153 min00 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Isak n 854.4
1.96/2
1.46/1
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.16/3
0.65/0
V. van Dijk n 890
16/2
0.64/1
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Gakpo n 883.3
1.84/4
0.83/2
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.32/0
0.53/1
A. Isak n 854.4
0.63/0
00/0
V. van Dijk n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Gakpo n 883.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IpswichLiverpool
45%Possession55%
0.75Expected goals (xG)0.69
14Shots10
5Shots on target7
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box5
4Corners3
5Offsides4
6Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves5
428Passes531
83%Pass accuracy89%

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dara O'Shea9000000306.2
I. Diop9000001206.9
Jacob Greaves9000001106.3
Leif Davis9000102206.7
S. Lukić9000001106.3
J. Enciso90004220Y6.5
K. Scherpen9000000007.2
A. Fatawu7900202207.2
E. Palacios7800002407.7
D. Maeda6600110205.9
Emersonn6600000106.6
Jack Clarke sub2400001006.3
Z. Flemming sub2400110006.3
A. Ouattara sub1200001006.6
Kasey McAteer sub1100110006.3

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Gakpo9002003307.9
D. Szoboszlai9000332007.3
M. Kerkez90000002Y6.9
V. van Dijk9000000308
Jérémy Jacquet90000013Y7.9
R. Araújo9000000107.5
Alisson Becker9000000008.3
F. Wirtz8900112005.9
A. Mac Allister84002113Y6.9
A. Isak6420220008.6
Víctor Muñoz6400000006.2
R. Gravenberch sub2600000006.7
B. Barcola sub2600001006.7
T. Nyoni sub1200000006.7
L. Koumas sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IpswichDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
LiverpoolDLDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Ipswich 0 · 0 draws · Liverpool 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-01-25 Liverpool 4–1 Ipswich
  • 2024-08-17 Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Liverpool#5 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Ipswich scored1.56
Liverpool scored1.22
Ipswich conceded2
Liverpool conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Ipswich 0.60 xG from 14 shots, Liverpool 0.74 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Florian Wirtz 46' · 0.12 xGCody Gakpo 76' · 0.12 xGEmersonn 25' · 0.11 xGLeif Davis 29' · 0.08 xGDominik Szoboszlai 22' · 0.07 xGJulio Enciso 59' · 0.06 xGDominik Szoboszlai 19' · 0.06 xGDaizen Maeda 34' · 0.06 xGJulio Enciso 94' · 0.06 xGJulio Enciso 11' · 0.05 xGAlexis Mac Allister 30' · 0.05 xGJulio Enciso 28' · 0.04 xGAlexis Mac Allister 46' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 18' · 0.03 xGJack Clarke 85' · 0.03 xGFlorian Wirtz 41' · 0.03 xGKasey McAteer 93' · 0.02 xGAbdul Fatawu 10' · 0.02 xGDominik Szoboszlai 39' · 0.02 xGAbdul Fatawu 55' · 0.01 xGZian Flemming 75' · 0.01 xGJulio Enciso 37' · 0.01 xGAlexander Isak 8' · 0.13 xG · goalAlexander Isak 5' · 0.12 xG · goal
Ipswich (attacking right)Liverpool (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Ipswich1400.60
Liverpool1020.74

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Ipswich 0.40, Liverpool 0.47. At full time, xG was level: Ipswich 0.60, Liverpool 0.74.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.70.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Liverpool 5 minGoal - Liverpool 8 min
Ipswich 0.60 xGLiverpool 0.74 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v Liverpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Liverpool was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Liverpool?
In their last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 0, Liverpool won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Liverpool?
Recent form — Ipswich 3W 1D 1L; Liverpool 0W 4D 1L.

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