Leeds v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · Fri, 06 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT · Elland Road

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leeds · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest — Leeds won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Leeds: 3.60 to 1.66 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 23rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Leeds beat Nottingham Forest 3–1 at Elland Road in the Premier League on Friday 6 February.

The goals

Leeds led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Leeds: Jayden Bogle (26’, assisted by Ilia Gruev), Noah Okafor (30’, assisted by James Justin) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (49’, assisted by Ilia Gruev); Nottingham Forest: Lorenzo Lucca (86’, assisted by O. Hutchinson).

Discipline

P. Bankes showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leeds: Noah Okafor (61’); Nottingham Forest: Ibrahim Sangaré (62’).

What it changes

Leeds stay 16th after this result (25 league matches played).

Nottingham Forest stay 17th after this result (25 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ilia Gruev (Leeds) 8.7, James Justin (Leeds) 8.4 and Jayden Bogle (Leeds) 7.9 led the match.

Next up

Leeds next travel to Sunderland on 25 October 2026.

Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leeds: Sunderland v Leeds, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
Venue: Elland Road · Leeds, West Yorkshire
Referee: P. Bankes
Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 1 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Leeds 2W 1D 2L · Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L

Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.63

Corners

against 5.88 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.76 yellows

Referee · P. Bankes

1.76 home / 2 away

over 17 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 February 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Leeds for / against	Line	Nottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: P. Bankes — 3.76 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.59 fouls over 17 matches (1.76 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Home 1.76Away 2

Leeds

Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Buonanotte n 8	51.5	1.7 5/3	1.3 3/2	—
A. Tanaka n 8	25.9	1.7 2/1	0.9 1/1	—
W. Gnonto n 8	20.6	1.6 3/0	1.6 1/1	—
L. Nmecha n 8	45.9	1.5 5/1	2.2 6/1	—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.3	1.4 5/3	1.1 5/3	Igor Jesus

Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Piroe n 8	21.6	3.1 2/1	2.1 1/1
L. Nmecha n 8	45.9	2.9 5/5	1.7 5/2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.3	1.6 6/4	1 5/1
N. Okafor n 8	49	1.6 4/2	0.7 3/0
B. Aaronson n 8	72.8	1.4 5/3	0.9 4/1

Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Gnonto n 8	20.6	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.3	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
B. Aaronson n 8	72.8	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
L. Nmecha n 8	45.9	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
F. Buonanotte n 8	51.5	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Stach n 8	75.9	3.9 7/7
A. Tanaka n 8	25.9	3.5 4/3
S. Longstaff n 8	59.5	2.8 6/5
E. Ampadu n 8	89.6	2.3 8/5
J. Justin n 8	68.8	2.3 5/4

Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Perri n 8	90	2.3 5/3
K. Darlow n 8	90	1.5 3/1

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Douglas Luiz n 8	54.3	2.5 7/3	1.2 2/2	—
I. Sangaré n 8	74	2.3 6/4	1.1 4/2	—
Igor Jesus n 8	79.4	2 7/3	0.9 4/2	Dominic Calvert-Lewin
R. Yates n 8	46.6	1.9 3/3	2.4 6/3	—
Z. Abbott n 8	59.5	1.5 5/2	0.4 2/0	—

Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Awoniyi n 8	24.6	2.7 4/2	1.8 3/1
Igor Jesus n 8	79.4	2 6/3	0.7 3/2
D. Ndoye n 8	52.4	1.9 5/2	1.1 4/1
R. Yates n 8	46.6	1.9 4/2	1.2 3/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	79.9	1.8 6/5	1.1 5/2

Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Igor Jesus n 8	79.4	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	79.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
T. Awoniyi n 8	24.6	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 8	60.5	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
R. Yates n 8	46.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 8	67.6	3.3 7/6
E. Anderson n 8	82	2.9 7/6
Douglas Luiz n 8	54.3	2.7 5/5
I. Sangaré n 8	74	2.3 7/3
N. Williams n 8	70.9	2.1 6/4

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	78.4	2 4/3
John n 8	88.5	1.4 3/1

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leeds		Nottingham Forest
56%	Possession	44%
2.50	Expected goals (xG)	1.33
14	Shots	16
5	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	4
13	Shots inside the box	9
5	Corners	10
1	Offsides	4
9	Fouls	12
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	2
477	Passes	350
83%	Pass accuracy	78%

Leeds player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Darlow	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
J. Justin	90	0	1	2	1	4	2	0	7.6
J. Rodon	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
P. Struijk	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
E. Ampadu	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
Ilia Gruev	90	0	2	1	1	4	0	0	8.2
G. Gudmundsson	90	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	7.5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.5
J. Bogle	89	1	0	1	1	0	5	0	7.7
N. Okafor	82	1	0	2	1	0	3	Y	8.3
B. Aaronson	78	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
D. James sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Longstaff sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Bornauw sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Nottingham Forest player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Ortega	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Milenković	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Morato	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
O. Aina	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
I. Sangaré	90	0	0	2	1	1	3	Y	6.5
E. Anderson	90	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	7
Z. Abbott	76	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Morgan Gibbs-White	67	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.6
C. Hudson-Odoi	67	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
N. Domínguez	54	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
Igor Jesus	54	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.5
O. Hutchinson sub	36	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
L. Lucca sub	36	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
D. Ndoye sub	23	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.5
R. Yates sub	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
L. Netz sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leeds v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeedsLWWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Nottingham ForestDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Leeds 1 · 1 draw · Nottingham Forest 4 · 3 goals/game

2025-11-09 Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds
2023-04-04 Leeds 2–1 Nottingham Forest
2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds
2020-02-08 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leeds
2019-08-10 Leeds 1–1 Nottingham Forest
2019-01-01 Nottingham Forest 4–2 Leeds

League standing · 2025/26

Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD

Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Leeds scored1.29

Nottingham Forest scored1.26

Leeds conceded1.47

Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Shot map and expected goals

Leeds 3.60 xG from 14 shots, Nottingham Forest 1.66 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Leeds (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Leeds	14	3	3.60
Nottingham Forest	16	1	1.66

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Nottingham Forest?: In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 1, Nottingham Forest won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Nottingham Forest?: Recent form — Leeds 2W 1D 2L; Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L.

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