Manchester City v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST · Etihad Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Liverpool · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Liverpool, Premier League on Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester City host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 8 May (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Manchester City have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.63. Manchester City have scored 21 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Manchester City (second) and Liverpool (sixth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 31 rating points above Manchester City (Liverpool 1759, Manchester City 1728, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Liverpool. The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City.

Team news

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, A. Khusanov, R. Dias, M. Guéhi, N. O'Reilly, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, I. Ndiaye, P. Foden, E. Haaland — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (5.5 per match over 14 appearances, 14 goals) and Elliot Anderson (5.0 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2150 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Elliot Anderson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2281 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, R. Araújo, K. Tsimikas, A. Mac Allister, T. Nyoni, F. Wirtz, B. Barcola, R. Gravenberch, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Florian Wirtz (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 1598 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 1857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST · Premier League · Etihad Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 4 · draws 0 · Liverpool 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City 1W 1D 3L · Liverpool 2W 1D 2L

Manchester City v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.13

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.57 / 7.86

Corners

against 3.14 / 3.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.29 / 5.29

Shots on target

against 4.57 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.29 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.57 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Manchester City for / against	Line	Liverpool for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.57 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	19.14 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.29 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	15	901350 min	392.6 /90	140.9 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	2.9 6/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rúben Dias	14	861208 min	100.7 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	463.4 /90	191.4 /90	00 /90
J. Gvardiol	14	721002 min	302.7 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	766.8 /90	141.3 /90	50.4 /90
M. Guéhi	13	791027 min	70.6 /90	100.9 /90	50.4 /90	474.1 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
A. Khusanov	12	861031 min	332.9 /90	221.9 /90	40.3 /90	585.1 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	10	73728 min	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	313.8 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.5 2/1	1.1 5/1	—
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.6 2/2	0.4 3/0	—
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	2 6/5	0.1 1/0	—
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.5 7/3	3 8/7	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.8 3/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.9 4/2
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	2.9 8/6
J. Gvardiol n 8	64.9	2.8 5/4
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	14	871213 min	141 /90	00 /90	513.8 /90	292.2 /90	80.6 /90	70.5 /90
R. McAidoo	3	3194 min	11 /90	11 /90	32.9 /90	21.9 /90	21.9 /90	43.8 /90
F. Samba	2	76152 min	21.2 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Omar Marmoush	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
R. Cherki	15	62927 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	232.2 /90	131.3 /90	292.8 /90	161.6 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	2.5 7/5	1.1 6/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	3.5 8/8	1.9 8/5
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.3 6/3	0.3 2/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	1 6/2	0 0/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	13	901170 min	282.2 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	1.6 4/1
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	14	811136 min	312.5 /90	241.9 /90	110.9 /90	695.5 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
V. van Dijk	13	851108 min	90.7 /90	141.1 /90	20.2 /90	574.6 /90	90.7 /90	30.2 /90
R. Araújo	12	71850 min	111.2 /90	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	515.4 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
M. Kerkez	11	83913 min	212.1 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	504.9 /90	181.8 /90	40.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.9 6/1	0.7 3/2	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1 4/3	0.7 3/2	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 5/3	0.9 4/3	—
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2 6/3	1.7 5/4	—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	2.7 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 7/4
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.2 6/4
R. Araújo n 8	72.3	1.2 4/3
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	11	72797 min	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	232.6 /90	101.1 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Mac Allister	13	771007 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	80.7 /90	191.7 /90	80.7 /90
F. Wirtz	13	73954 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	201.9 /90	70.7 /90	312.9 /90	121.1 /90
B. Barcola	12	64772 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	192.2 /90	80.9 /90	101.2 /90	172 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.1 5/2	0.3 1/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	2.4 7/5	0.8 5/1
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.5 5/3	0.7 2/2
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester CityLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

LiverpoolWWDLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City 4 · 0 draws · Liverpool 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-10-11 Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City
2026-04-04 Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool
2026-02-08 Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
2025-11-09 Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool
2025-02-23 Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool
2024-12-01 Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester City#2 pos21 pts10 pl+8 GD

Liverpool#6 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City scored2.1

Liverpool scored1.22

Manchester City conceded1.3

Liverpool conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Liverpool?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 4, Liverpool won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Liverpool?: Recent form — Manchester City 1W 1D 3L; Liverpool 2W 1D 2L.

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