This Matchweek

Manchester UnitedIpswich

Manchester United v Ipswich result

Full-time · Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich

Premier League · · Old Trafford

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester United · Ipswich

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich — Manchester United won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.53 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester United: 5.08 to 1.81 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 33 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 51st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester United beat Ipswich 5–2 at Old Trafford in the Premier League on Sunday 30 August. Ipswich have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Ipswich: Leif Davis (29’, assisted by A. Fatawu), an own goal by Jacob Greaves (56’) and Chuba Akpom (90’, assisted by J. Enciso); Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes (40’, assisted by Matheus Cunha; 61’ pen; 68’) and Bryan Mbeumo (82’, assisted by Bruno Fernandes).

Discipline

Craig Pawson, England showed four yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Manchester United: Bryan Mbeumo (90+3’); Ipswich: Saša Lukić (33’), A. Fatawu (37’) and Jacob Greaves (60’).

What it changes

Manchester United move up from 19th to 10th (two league matches played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Ipswich move down from fourth to 12th (two league matches played). Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) 19.2, Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) 6.4 and Youri Tielemans (Manchester United) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich · Premier League
  • Venue: Old Trafford · Manchester
  • Referee: Craig Pawson, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Manchester United 1 · draws 1 · Ipswich 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester United 3W 1D 1L · Ipswich 3W 2D 0L

Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester United for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
15.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Craig Pawson, England.

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
38/5

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Heaven19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
H. Maguire19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Shaw19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Mazraoui18080 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /90
B. Mbeumo19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Shaw n 886.9
1.46/3
1.26/2
Dara O'Shea
H. Maguire n 888.5
0.84/2
0.53/1
Leif Davis
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.63/2
0.32/0
—
A. Heaven n 884.5
0.53/1
1.26/3
—
B. Mbeumo n 864.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
—
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Heaven n 884.5
2.58/5
L. Shaw n 886.9
1.97/4
H. Maguire n 888.5
1.56/5
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
15/3
B. Mbeumo n 864.4
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha18080 min00 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.1 /9022.3 /9000 /90
M. Rashford14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9048 /9012 /90
B. Mbeumo19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
Bruno Fernandes19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /90
P. Dorgu14545 min00 /9000 /9036 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 864.4
1.74/3
0.73/1
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
1.16/2
0.54/0
H. Maguire n 888.5
0.63/2
0.42/1
L. Shaw n 886.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
A. Heaven n 884.5
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.11/0
0.65/0
B. Mbeumo n 864.4
0.32/0
00/0
H. Maguire n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
L. Shaw n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Christian Walton19090 min77 /9011 /9000 /90
K. Scherpen19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 890
3.97/5

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea290180 min21 /9021 /9052.5 /90136.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Leif Davis259117 min00 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Cédric Kipré19090 min33 /9011 /9022 /9055 /9033 /9011 /90
Darnell Furlong19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Diop19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.54/0
1.47/4
L. Shaw
Marcelino Núñez n 864.6
1.25/1
0.32/0
—
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.83/2
1.16/2
H. Maguire
Chuba Akpom n 842
0.52/0
2.75/3
—
Kasey McAteer n 855.6
1.88/1
1.44/1
—
See more players · Pro
Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.84/2
Marcelino Núñez n 864.6
1.43/3
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.83/2
Chuba Akpom n 842
1.13/1
Kasey McAteer n 855.6
1.67/1
See more players · Pro

Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chuba Akpom257114 min00 /9010.8 /9032.4 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Emersonn16666 min11.4 /9000 /9034.1 /9022.7 /9022.7 /9022.7 /90
Marcelino Núñez285169 min21.1 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /90
Kasey McAteer252104 min00 /9000 /9032.6 /9021.7 /9000 /9010.9 /90
Jack Clarke250100 min10.9 /9010.9 /9032.7 /9021.8 /9032.7 /9021.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
Marcelino Núñez n 864.6
0.73/1
0.52/1
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Chuba Akpom n 842
1.63/2
0.82/1
Kasey McAteer n 855.6
1.85/3
1.24/2
See more players · Pro
Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcelino Núñez n 864.6
0.31/1
00/0
Leif Davis n 881.5
00/0
00/0
Chuba Akpom n 842
00/0
0.31/0
Kasey McAteer n 855.6
0.42/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester UnitedIpswich
60%Possession40%
4.56Expected goals (xG)2.01
33Shots9
11Shots on target5
10Shots off target3
12Blocked shots1
19Shots inside the box6
8Corners4
0Offsides1
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves6
546Passes359
89%Pass accuracy83%

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Lammens9000000007.7
H. Maguire9000100106.7
Lisandro Martínez9000100006.3
Y. Tielemans9000224208.2
B. Mbeumo90102133Y8
Bruno Fernandes90314331010
K. Mainoo8000000307.9
M. Rashford8000423306.9
Matheus Cunha8001212007
Diogo Dalot7400313006.9
L. Shaw7300000407
N. Mazraoui sub1700000006.2
Leny Yoro sub1600000006.2
P. Dorgu sub1000211106.3
Andrey Santos sub1000000306.7
Benjamin Šeško sub1000001006.3

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Scherpen9000000008.3
Dara O'Shea9000100005
I. Diop9000000007.2
Jacob Greaves90000001Y4.9
Leif Davis9010221006.3
J. Enciso9001311107
A. Fatawu83010031Y6.5
S. Lukić73000013Y6.7
D. Maeda7300110106.3
Marcelino Núñez6200001106
Emersonn4500001006.3
Chuba Akpom sub4510110007.2
E. Palacios sub2800001106.3
Darnell Furlong sub1700000006
A. Ouattara sub1700000006.2
Kasey McAteer sub1500000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester UnitedWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
IpswichDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Manchester United 1 · 1 draw · Ipswich 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-26 Manchester United 3–2 Ipswich
  • 2024-11-24 Ipswich 1–1 Manchester United
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Manchester United scored1.11
Ipswich scored1.56
Manchester United conceded1.67
Ipswich conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester United 5.08 xG from 33 shots, Ipswich 1.81 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bryan Mbeumo 51' · 0.94 xGJulio Enciso 12' · 0.52 xGLeif Davis 30' · 0.35 xGMarcus Rashford 63' · 0.30 xGPatrick Dorgu 85' · 0.19 xGYouri Tielemans 51' · 0.17 xGDaizen Maeda 22' · 0.11 xGBruno Fernandes 13' · 0.10 xGPatrick Dorgu 96' · 0.10 xGDiogo Dalot 11' · 0.09 xGBruno Fernandes 80' · 0.09 xGMatheus Cunha 76' · 0.08 xGMarcus Rashford 26' · 0.08 xGKobbie Mainoo 52' · 0.07 xGBryan Mbeumo 55' · 0.07 xGDiogo Dalot 52' · 0.07 xGBryan Mbeumo 67' · 0.06 xGBryan Mbeumo 75' · 0.05 xGDiogo Dalot 63' · 0.05 xGBruno Fernandes 25' · 0.04 xGBruno Fernandes 76' · 0.04 xGSasa Lukic 31' · 0.04 xGKobbie Mainoo 52' · 0.04 xGMarcus Rashford 19' · 0.03 xGHarry Maguire 55' · 0.03 xGMatheus Cunha 6' · 0.03 xGKobbie Mainoo 67' · 0.02 xGJulio Enciso 49' · 0.02 xGYouri Tielemans 53' · 0.02 xGDiogo Dalot 44' · 0.02 xGDara O'Shea 22' · 0.02 xGLisandro Martínez 45' · 0.01 xGJulio Enciso 90' · 0.01 xGYouri Tielemans 16' · 0.01 xGBruno Fernandes 69' · 0.01 xGMarcus Rashford 5' · 0.01 xGJacob Greaves 55' · 0.00 xGBruno Fernandes 60' · 0.76 xG · goalBruno Fernandes 67' · 0.59 xG · goalBruno Fernandes 39' · 0.57 xG · goalChuba Akpom 90' · 0.43 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo 81' · 0.34 xG · goalLeif Davis 28' · 0.31 xG · goal
Manchester United (attacking right)Ipswich (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Manchester United3345.08
Ipswich1021.81

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Manchester United 1.01, Ipswich 1.34. At full time, Manchester United led on xG, 5.08 to 1.81, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 3.62 xG to Manchester United, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.12.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Ipswich 28 minGoal - Manchester United 39 minGoal - Manchester United 60 minGoal - Manchester United 67 minGoal - Manchester United 81 minGoal - Ipswich 90 min
Manchester United 5.08 xGIpswich 1.81 xGdots = goals · 43 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester United v Ipswich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Ipswich was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.53 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Ipswich?
In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Ipswich won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and Ipswich?
Recent form — Manchester United 3W 1D 1L; Ipswich 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+