This Matchweek

NewcastleBournemouth

Newcastle v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth

Premier League · · St. James' Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home cards yellow under 3.5.

Free pick
Home cards yellow under 3.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 1.68 to 0.78 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the eighth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Newcastle and Bournemouth drew 2–2 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September. Bournemouth have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (9’); Newcastle: an own goal by Malick Thiaw (35’), Harvey Barnes (37’, assisted by Lewis Hall) and Jacob Ramsey (88’).

Discipline

The bookings — Newcastle: Anthony Elanga (28’) and Yoane Wissa (57’); Bournemouth: Justin Kluivert (66’), Adrien Truffert (87’) and Adam Smith (90+4’).

What it changes

Newcastle move down from third to fifth (shared) (three league matches played). Newcastle have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Newcastle have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth move down from 12th to 14th (three league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Bournemouth are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) 8.1, Lewis Hall (Newcastle) 6.1 and Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Newcastle, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Newcastle cards yellow under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth · Premier League
  • Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Referee: Robert Jones, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 0 · draws 4 · Bournemouth 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle 3W 1D 1L · Bournemouth 1W 3D 1L

Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNewcastle for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Robert Jones, England.

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček290180 min94.5 /9021 /9000 /90
E. Jaouen19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Dedić390270 min72.3 /9010.3 /9031 /90155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Lewis Hall390270 min93 /9041.3 /9062 /90175.7 /9062 /9000 /90
M. Thiaw390270 min00 /9020.7 /9093 /90103.3 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Botman390270 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.7 /90134.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
H. Barnes375224 min31.2 /9000 /9000 /90104 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Dedić n 390
1.72/2
1.33/1
Adrien Truffert
Lewis Hall n 875.9
1.25/2
1.34/4
A. Smith
M. Thiaw n 890
0.65/0
0.63/1
J. Hill
S. Botman n 890
0.43/0
1.36/2
J. Hill
H. Barnes n 852.4
0.63/0
1.54/2
M. Tavernier
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 875.9
2.57/6
A. Dedić n 390
2.33/3
S. Botman n 890
1.16/3
M. Thiaw n 890
1.15/3
H. Barnes n 852.4
0.62/1
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Wissa366197 min10.5 /9010.5 /9073.2 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
N. Woltemade255109 min00 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.7 /9021.7 /90
W. Osula15656 min00 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
H. Barnes375224 min20.8 /9000 /9041.6 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
L. Miley364191 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.4 /9020.9 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 875.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
M. Thiaw n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Botman n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Dedić n 390
00/0
00/0
H. Barnes n 852.4
1.76/1
1.34/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dedić n 390
00/0
12/1
M. Thiaw n 890
00/0
0.11/0
S. Botman n 890
00/0
00/0
Lewis Hall n 875.9
00/0
00/0
H. Barnes n 852.4
0.93/1
0.21/0
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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović290180 min94.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.87/4

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Smith290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Adrien Truffert290180 min42 /9021 /9021 /9094.5 /9042 /9000 /90
António Silva290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9063 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Hill290180 min42 /9021 /9000 /90147 /9031.5 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier290180 min63 /9000 /9000 /90136.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Smith n 876.9
1.58/1
1.25/2
Lewis Hall
J. Hill n 890
1.15/3
0.32/0
S. Botman
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.94/1
1.36/2
A. Dedić
M. Tavernier n 887.8
0.64/1
1.26/2
H. Barnes
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.87/7
A. Smith n 876.9
28/4
J. Hill n 890
1.67/3
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.46/3
Rayan n 875.3
0.74/1
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson278156 min00 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9000 /90
D. Jebbison11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier290180 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
Rayan290179 min00 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Alex Scott289177 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Tavernier n 887.8
1.46/4
0.85/1
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
J. Hill n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Smith n 876.9
00/0
00/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Tavernier n 887.8
0.43/0
00/0
A. Smith n 876.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Hill n 890
00/0
00/0
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NewcastleBournemouth
58%Possession42%
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.37
8Shots17
2Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box9
4Corners3
1Offsides1
19Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves0
459Passes335
82%Pass accuracy76%

Newcastle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Dedić9000100006.2
L. Horníček9000000007.9
S. Botman9000000106.7
M. Thiaw9000001005.9
H. Barnes9010210007.7
Y. Wissa90000000Y6.9
Lewis Hall8901101106.6
Nico González7700001006.5
A. Elanga77000032Y6.6
L. Miley6300000006.3
J. Willock6300100106.5
M. Fernandez-Pardo sub2700000006.5
J. Ramsey sub2710110007.3
J. Murphy sub1300000006.6
Sean Steur sub1300000006.6
T. Livramento sub10000000–

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Evanilson9000200006.7
Adrien Truffert90000013Y6.2
J. Hill9000003006.2
António Silva9000110106.9
A. Smith90000021Y6.3
Đ. Petrović9000000006.5
M. Tavernier8910541108.2
Rayan8900100106.3
Alex Scott8900002006.7
J. Kluivert76001001Y6.2
T. Adams7600001307.2
L. Cook sub1400000006.3
D. Brooks sub1400000006.5
D. Jebbison sub800000006.7
B. Doak sub800000106.7
R. Christie sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NewcastleWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BournemouthWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle 0 · 4 draws · Bournemouth 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth
  • 2026-01-10 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2025-09-21 Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle
  • 2025-01-18 Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth
  • 2024-08-25 Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-02-17 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
League standing · 2026/27
Newcastle#13 pos11 pts9 pl-3 GD
Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle scored1.33
Bournemouth scored1.56
Newcastle conceded1.67
Bournemouth conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Newcastle 0.78 xG from 9 shots, Bournemouth 1.68 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Joe Willock 51' · 0.42 xGEvanilson 11' · 0.38 xGMarcus Tavernier 25' · 0.14 xGAmar Dedic 7' · 0.11 xGEvanilson 16' · 0.07 xGHarvey Barnes 87' · 0.07 xGAlex Scott 8' · 0.07 xGEvanilson 51' · 0.06 xGBen Doak 91' · 0.06 xGMarcus Tavernier 3' · 0.06 xGRayan 47' · 0.05 xGAmar Dedic 95' · 0.05 xGJustin Kluivert 34' · 0.03 xGLewis Hall 59' · 0.03 xGJustin Kluivert 30' · 0.02 xGMarcus Tavernier 83' · 0.02 xGAdam Smith 30' · 0.02 xGAdrien Truffert 32' · 0.02 xGAntónio Silva 14' · 0.02 xGJoe Willock 37' · 0.02 xGMarcus Tavernier 15' · 0.01 xGAlex Scott 61' · 0.01 xGMalick Thiaw 34' · 0.00 xGMarcus Tavernier 8' · 0.63 xG · goalJacob Ramsey 87' · 0.06 xG · goalHarvey Barnes 36' · 0.02 xG · goal
Newcastle (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Newcastle920.78
Bournemouth1711.68

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.47 to 0.15. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.68 to 0.78. The widest gap was 1.37 xG to Bournemouth, in the 47th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 8 minGoal - Newcastle 36 minGoal - Newcastle 87 min
Newcastle 0.78 xGBournemouth 1.68 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newcastle v Bournemouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Bournemouth was Home cards yellow under 3.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 0, Bournemouth won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Newcastle 3W 1D 1L; Bournemouth 1W 3D 1L.

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