Newcastle v Leeds result
Team pages: Newcastle · Leeds · Head-to-head
Newcastle 4–3 Leeds — Newcastle won this Premier League match.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Newcastle 2.48, Leeds 2.35 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Newcastle beat Leeds 4–3 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Wednesday 7 January. It is Newcastle’s first win over Leeds since 22 January 2022, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Newcastle came from behind: Leeds led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Leeds: Brenden Aaronson (32’, assisted by Dominic Calvert-Lewin; 79’, assisted by Ilia Gruev) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (45’ pen); Newcastle: Harvey Barnes (36’, assisted by Nick Woltemade; 90’, assisted by Sven Botman), Joelinton (54’, assisted by Bruno Guimarães) and Bruno Guimarães (90’ pen).
Discipline
M. Salisbury showed five yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newcastle: Malick Thiaw (7’), Anthony Gordon (45+3’) and Joelinton (45+6’); Leeds: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (22’) and Ethan Ampadu (90+10’).
What it changes
Newcastle move up from eighth to sixth (21 league matches played). Newcastle have scored 53 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Newcastle have conceded 55 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.
Leeds stay 16th after this result (21 league matches played). Leeds have scored 49 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Leeds have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.
With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 21, across 10 matches. Newcastle have won their last three matches in all competitions. Leeds are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) 12.1, Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) 11.9 and Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) 10.0 led the match.
Head-to-head
Newcastle are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Leeds.
Next up
Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.
Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Newcastle 4–3 Leeds · Premier League
- Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
- Referee: M. Salisbury
- Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 1 · draws 4 · Leeds 1 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Newcastle 3W 1D 1L · Leeds 1W 4D 0L
Newcastle 4–3 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Newcastle for / against | Line | Leeds for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 7.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Salisbury — 4.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.8 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Newcastle
Newcastle Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pope | 19 | 891697 min | 633.3 /90 | 181 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Ramsdale | 10 | 91907 min | 262.6 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Pope n 8 | 88.4 | 3.8 |
| A. Ramsdale n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Newcastle Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thiaw | 25 | 882188 min | 351.4 /90 | 331.4 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 1255.1 /90 | 160.7 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| D. Burn | 22 | 851863 min | 331.6 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 1296.2 /90 | 311.5 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| T. Livramento | 17 | 801356 min | 211.4 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 513.4 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| F. Schär | 17 | 771317 min | 141 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 151 /90 | 765.2 /90 | 221.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Lewis Hall | 16 | 661048 min | 302.6 /90 | 171.5 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 897.6 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 2.3 | — |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 49.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | G. Gudmundsson |
| M. Thiaw n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0 | J. Rodon |
| S. Tonali n 8 | 66.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | — |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 72 | 0.8 | 0.5 | G. Gudmundsson |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 49.9 | 0.5 |
| M. Thiaw n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| S. Tonali n 8 | 66.5 | 1.4 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 72 | 0.9 |
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Newcastle Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Woltemade | 24 | 691663 min | 90.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 251.4 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 120.6 /90 |
| A. Gordon | 21 | 701464 min | 70.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 311.9 /90 | 181.1 /90 | 211.3 /90 | 332 /90 |
| J. Murphy | 21 | 611277 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 261.8 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 211.5 /90 | 181.3 /90 |
| A. Elanga | 18 | 54971 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 131.2 /90 | 80.7 /90 |
| W. Osula | 7 | 45316 min | 20.6 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 72 /90 | 51.4 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 41.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 49.9 | 2 | 1.8 |
| M. Thiaw n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| S. Tonali n 8 | 66.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 72 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 49.9 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Thiaw n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| S. Tonali n 8 | 66.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 72 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
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Leeds
Leeds Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri | 15 | 901350 min | 352.3 /90 | 251.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Darlow | 5 | 90450 min | 132.6 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| K. Darlow n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Leeds Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson | 20 | 831654 min | 462.5 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 1166.3 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| J. Bogle | 18 | 881578 min | 372.1 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 774.4 /90 | 181 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| J. Rodon | 18 | 871561 min | 181 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 824.7 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| P. Struijk | 17 | 901530 min | 201.2 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 875.1 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| J. Bijol | 11 | 81895 min | 141.4 /90 | 161.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 494.9 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 81.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | N. Woltemade |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 88.3 | 0.9 | 1 | — |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 82.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | M. Thiaw |
| A. Stach n 8 | 81.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 74.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 81.1 | 2.9 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 88.3 | 1.4 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 82.6 | 1.4 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 81.6 | 2.5 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 74.1 | 0.6 |
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Leeds Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 18 | 681227 min | 80.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 342.5 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| B. Aaronson | 18 | 641160 min | 20.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 171.3 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 181.4 /90 | 120.9 /90 |
| N. Okafor | 16 | 641022 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 111 /90 | 282.5 /90 |
| L. Nmecha | 12 | 47568 min | 30.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.7 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| D. James | 8 | 42337 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 71.9 /90 | 30.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 81.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 88.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 82.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 81.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 74.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 81.1 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 82.6 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Stach n 8 | 81.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8 | 74.1 | 1.1 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Newcastle | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 2.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.89 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 12 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 545 | Passes | 334 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
Newcastle Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pope | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Miley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Joelinton | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.5 |
| H. Barnes | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 |
| A. Gordon | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| F. Schär | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Woltemade | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Thiaw | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.2 |
| S. Tonali | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Botman sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Livramento sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. Wissa sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ramsey sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Murphy sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Leeds Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bijol | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Struijk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Ampadu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| J. Justin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Gudmundsson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Rodon | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Ilia Gruev | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| B. Aaronson | 89 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9.2 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 87 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| A. Stach | 80 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Nmecha sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Okafor sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Bornauw sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| A. Tanaka sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| W. Gnonto sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Newcastle v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-30 Leeds 0–0 Newcastle
- 2023-05-13 Leeds 2–2 Newcastle
- 2022-12-31 Newcastle 0–0 Leeds
- 2022-01-22 Leeds 0–1 Newcastle
- 2021-09-17 Newcastle 1–1 Leeds
- 2021-01-26 Newcastle 1–2 Leeds
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Newcastle 2.48 xG from 18 shots, Leeds 2.35 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 18 | 4 | 2.48 |
| Leeds | 14 | 3 | 2.35 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Newcastle 0.89, Leeds 0.76. At full time, xG was level: Newcastle 2.48, Leeds 2.35, including 1.52 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.94 xG to Leeds, in the 78th minute (level on open-play xG).
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Leeds?
- In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 1, Leeds won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Newcastle and Leeds?
- Recent form — Newcastle 3W 1D 1L; Leeds 1W 4D 0L.
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