Newcastle v Liverpool result
Team pages: Newcastle · Liverpool · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
What xG said
xG said Liverpool: 3.14 to 1.64 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 27 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 46th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
Newcastle and Liverpool drew 2–2 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Sunday 23 August. Liverpool have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Newcastle led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Newcastle: Anthony Elanga (5’, assisted by William Osula) and Joseph Willock (57’, assisted by Yoane Wissa); Liverpool: Cody Gakpo (55’, assisted by Ryan Gravenberch) and Dominik Szoboszlai (90’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dominik Szoboszlai’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
S. Attwell showed eight yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newcastle: Yoane Wissa (25’), Lewis Miley (34’), Jacob Ramsey (64’), Jacob Murphy (79’) and Lukáš Horníček (90+3’); Liverpool: Jeremie Frimpong (30’), Miloš Kerkez (30’) and Virgil van Dijk (90’).
What it changes
Newcastle are ninth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Newcastle have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Newcastle have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Liverpool are ninth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Liverpool are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) 8.8, Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) 8.4 and Yoane Wissa (Newcastle) 6.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.
Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool · Premier League
- Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
- Referee: S. Attwell
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 1 · draws 1 · Liverpool 4 · 4.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Newcastle 2W 1D 2L · Liverpool 1W 2D 2L
Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Newcastle for / against | Line | Liverpool for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Attwell — 4.68 yellow cards a game, 0.16 red cards, 22.05 fouls over 19 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Newcastle | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Possession | 61% |
| 1.58 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.98 |
| 13 | Shots | 27 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 16 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 296 | Passes | 445 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
Newcastle Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| A. Dedić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Thiaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Botman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Barnes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. Wissa | 89 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Miley | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| A. Elanga | 76 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Sean Steur | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| W. Osula | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Willock sub | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Ramsey sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| A. Bamba sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Murphy sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| F. Schär sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Liverpool Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson Becker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| V. van Dijk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| M. Kerkez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6 |
| D. Szoboszlai | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Gakpo | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Isak | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Gravenberch | 78 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jérémy Jacquet | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Rio Ngumoha | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| F. Wirtz | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Mac Allister sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Víctor Muñoz sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Araújo sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Koumas sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Newcastle v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-31 Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle
- 2025-08-25 Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool
- 2025-03-16 Liverpool 1–2 Newcastle
- 2025-02-26 Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle
- 2024-12-04 Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool
- 2024-01-01 Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Newcastle 1.64 xG from 13 shots, Liverpool 3.14 from 27. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 13 | 2 | 1.64 |
| Liverpool | 27 | 2 | 3.14 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Newcastle 0.41, Liverpool 0.37. At full time, Liverpool led on xG, 3.14 to 1.64, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.51 xG to Liverpool, in the 65th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Newcastle v Liverpool?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Liverpool was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Liverpool?
- In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 1, Liverpool won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Newcastle and Liverpool?
- Recent form — Newcastle 2W 1D 2L; Liverpool 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.