Newcastle v Sunderland prediction

Premier League · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Sunderland, Premier League on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Sunderland have scored eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Form and the table

Eight of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newcastle have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Newcastle have scored 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Newcastle have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Sunderland have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Newcastle are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Newcastle (12th) and Sunderland (19th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newcastle the stronger side, 42 rating points above Sunderland (Newcastle 1534, Sunderland 1492, after at least 48 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland.

Team news

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, L. Hall, A. Dedić, D. Burn, M. Thiaw, H. Barnes, N. González, J. Willock, J. Murphy, Joelinton, W. Osula — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1462 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1087 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sunderland XI (4-2-3-1): R. Roefs, Reinildo, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, N. Mukiele, N. Sadiki, E. Le Fée, J. Ahoka, G. Xhaka, C. Rigg, B. Brobbey — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Enzo Le Fée (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Jocelin Ta Bi (4.3 per match over three appearances, two assists) have been Sunderland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sunderland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Enzo Le Fée averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1061 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League
Head-to-head (last 3): Newcastle 1 · draws 0 · Sunderland 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Newcastle 1W 1D 3L · Sunderland 2W 1D 2L

Newcastle v Sunderland (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.13

Corners

against 4.75 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Newcastle for / against	Line	Sunderland for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Horníček	12	901080 min	413.4 /90	131.1 /90	00 /90
E. Jaouen	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lewis Hall	13	901169 min	282.2 /90	241.8 /90	110.8 /90	816.2 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Dedić	11	77850 min	161.7 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	373.9 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
S. Botman	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	596.6 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Thiaw	9	89805 min	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	121.3 /90	374.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
F. Schär	5	77384 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	92.1 /90	174 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.8 4/2	2.3 8/5	—
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	1.1 6/1	—
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.7 2/2	1.3 4/2	—
L. Horníček n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	1.6 5/3	1.2 3/2	—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1.9 7/3
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.8 5/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	1.6 8/1
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0
A. Dedić n 8	72.5	1.4 5/3
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Wissa	12	69833 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	272.9 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo	7	49345 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90
W. Osula	6	65387 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
B. Touré	6	30181 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90
N. Woltemade	2	55109 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	21.7 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 5/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	2.4 8/7	1.1 6/2
J. Willock n 8	61.8	2 7/4	0.9 4/1
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	3.3 8/5	0.8 4/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Roefs	14	901260 min	282 /90	141 /90	00 /90
M. Ellborg	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 8	90	2.5 5/4
M. Ellborg n 6	90	2.5 4/4

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Hume	13	71919 min	272.6 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90	646.3 /90	161.6 /90	30.3 /90
Reinildo	12	80959 min	161.5 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	595.5 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90
T. Meunier	12	55661 min	111.5 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	223 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90
N. Mukiele	11	79866 min	232.4 /90	212.2 /90	80.8 /90	586 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90
K. Danso	9	81731 min	70.9 /90	81 /90	60.7 /90	283.4 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	1.2 7/1	1.4 5/4	—
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1 4/2	1.9 7/2	—
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0.7 4/1	1.6 6/3	—
T. Hume n 8	70.8	1.6 5/4	1 5/1	—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	1.7 6/5
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1.4 4/2
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1.6 6/4
T. Hume n 8	70.8	1.7 5/2
Reinildo n 8	74.9	1.2 5/2
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Isidor	11	43473 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	163 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
B. Brobbey	10	67672 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	162.1 /90	81.1 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90
Timur Tuterov	5	64319 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
N. Sadiki	14	791099 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	90.7 /90	40.3 /90	100.8 /90	90.7 /90
E. Le Fée	14	761061 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	232 /90	90.8 /90	242 /90	181.5 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1.5 6/3	0.7 4/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1 4/2	0.6 3/1
T. Hume n 8	70.8	0.8 4/1	0 0/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Hume n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NewcastleLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

SunderlandDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Newcastle 1 · 0 draws · Sunderland 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-03-22 Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland
2025-12-14 Sunderland 1–0 Newcastle
2024-01-06 Sunderland 0–3 Newcastle

League standing · 2026/27

Newcastle#12 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Sunderland#19 pos8 pts10 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Newcastle scored1.3

Sunderland scored0.8

Newcastle conceded1.6

Sunderland conceded1.7

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Sunderland?: In their last 3 meetings, Newcastle won 1, Sunderland won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Sunderland?: Recent form — Newcastle 1W 1D 3L; Sunderland 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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