Nottingham Forest v Leeds result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds

Premier League · Sun, 09 Nov 2025 14:00 GMT · Wembley Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Leeds · Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds — Nottingham Forest won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nottingham Forest: 2.49 to 0.42 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nottingham Forest beat Leeds 3–1 at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 9 November.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Leeds: Lukas Nmecha (13’, assisted by Brenden Aaronson); Nottingham Forest: Ibrahim Sangaré (15’), Morgan Gibbs-White (68’, assisted by O. Hutchinson) and Elliot Anderson (90’ pen).

Discipline

J. Gillett showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Ibrahim Sangaré (33’) and Murillo (41’); Leeds: Sean Longstaff (71’).

What it changes

Nottingham Forest move down from 18th to 19th (11 league matches played).

Leeds move down from 15th to 16th (11 league matches played).

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest) 8.3, Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) 6.8 and Neco Williams (Nottingham Forest) 6.2 led the match.

Next up

Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.

Leeds next travel to Sunderland on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Leeds: Sunderland v Leeds, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds · Premier League
Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
Referee: J. Gillett
Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 3 · draws 2 · Leeds 1 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 2L · Leeds 1W 1D 3L

Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.25

Corners

against 5.13 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.63

Cards

against 2 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.65 yellows

Referee · J. Gillett

2 home / 1.65 away

over 17 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nottingham Forest for / against	Line	Leeds for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Gillett — 3.65 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20 fouls over 17 matches (2 to the home side, 1.65 to the away side).

Home 2Away 1.65

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Yates n 8	50.3	2.7 5/5	1.8 4/2	—
E. Anderson n 8	87.3	1.8 7/4	3.6 8/7	E. Ampadu
D. Ndoye n 8	74	1.8 7/4	1.5 5/3	L. Nmecha
A. Kalimuendo n 8	26	1.7 3/1	1.7 2/1	—
I. Sangaré n 8	47.8	1.6 3/3	0.2 1/0	A. Stach

Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Wood n 8	48.4	3 5/3	1.2 5/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 8	58.9	1.7 5/2	0.8 3/1
O. Hutchinson n 8	47.3	1.7 4/3	0.7 2/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	79.6	1.4 7/3	0.8 6/0
Igor Jesus n 8	49.9	1.4 6/0	0.7 3/0

Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	79.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Jair n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
D. Ndoye n 8	74	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
N. Savona n 8	71.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Douglas Luiz n 8	53.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 8	61	2.8 7/4
I. Sangaré n 8	47.8	2.8 4/3
Morato n 8	82.8	2.7 8/5
O. Zinchenko n 8	81.1	2.6 7/5
N. Williams n 8	86.8	2.5 6/5

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	90	2.9 6/4
John n 8	90.5	2.5 6/2

Leeds

Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Tanaka n 8	35.1	2.6 4/2	0 0/0	—
E. Ampadu n 8	85.6	2 7/5	0.5 4/0	E. Anderson
J. Bijol n 8	78.8	1.7 8/3	0.3 2/0	—
L. Nmecha n 8	20.1	1.7 2/1	1.7 2/1	D. Ndoye
A. Stach n 8	69.4	1.6 5/3	1.1 5/2	I. Sangaré

Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Gnonto n 8	59.5	2.5 6/5	1.1 4/2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	74.9	2.3 8/4	1.1 5/1
J. Piroe n 8	62.1	2 6/3	1.1 3/1
J. Harrison n 8	30.3	1.9 3/2	0.7 2/0
L. Nmecha n 8	20.1	1.7 2/1	1.1 2/0

Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Gnonto n 8	59.5	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
J. Piroe n 8	62.1	0.7 1/1	0.2 1/0
J. Rodon n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
S. Longstaff n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Stach n 8	69.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Longstaff n 8	85.4	4 7/7
J. Bogle n 8	87.4	3 6/6
E. Ampadu n 8	85.6	2.6 8/7
W. Gnonto n 8	59.5	2.5 5/3
B. Aaronson n 8	73.6	2.3 7/4

Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Darlow n 8	90	2.5 6/4
Lucas Perri n 8	90	2 5/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nottingham Forest		Leeds
46%	Possession	54%
2.55	Expected goals (xG)	0.69
14	Shots	10
6	Shots on target	3
2	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	2
10	Shots inside the box	5
6	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
348	Passes	435
80%	Pass accuracy	81%

Nottingham Forest player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Sels	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
N. Savona	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
N. Milenković	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Murillo	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.6
N. Williams	90	0	0	0	0	2	6	0	7.2
E. Anderson	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.5
D. Ndoye	90	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	7.6
Morgan Gibbs-White	88	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	7.3
I. Sangaré	59	1	0	1	1	1	2	Y	7.7
N. Domínguez	59	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	6.9
Igor Jesus	59	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
R. Yates sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
O. Hutchinson sub	31	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
T. Awoniyi sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Morato sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Leeds player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Lucas Perri	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Bogle	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Rodon	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
E. Ampadu	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
A. Stach	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7
N. Okafor	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Bijol	82	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
G. Gudmundsson	82	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Longstaff	74	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.3
B. Aaronson	74	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	7.2
L. Nmecha	74	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.6
D. James sub	16	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
Dominic Calvert-Lewin sub	16	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.2
J. Piroe sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
P. Struijk sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Harrison sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LeedsDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nottingham Forest 3 · 2 draws · Leeds 1 · 2.67 goals/game

2023-04-04 Leeds 2–1 Nottingham Forest
2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds
2020-02-08 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leeds
2019-08-10 Leeds 1–1 Nottingham Forest
2019-01-01 Nottingham Forest 4–2 Leeds
2018-10-27 Leeds 1–1 Nottingham Forest

League standing · 2025/26

Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD

Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Nottingham Forest scored1.26

Leeds scored1.29

Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Leeds conceded1.47

Shot map and expected goals

Nottingham Forest 2.49 xG from 14 shots, Leeds 0.42 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nottingham Forest (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Nottingham Forest	14	3	2.49
Leeds	10	1	0.42

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Leeds?: In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 3, Leeds won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Leeds?: Recent form — Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 2L; Leeds 1W 1D 3L.

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