This Matchweek

SunderlandArsenal

Sunderland v Arsenal result

Full-time · Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal

Premier League · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sunderland · Arsenal

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal — Arsenal won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,907 of 2,553 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Sunderland 2.07, Arsenal 1.99 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Arsenal won 2–0 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Bruno Guimarães (58’, assisted by Declan Rice) and Bukayo Saka (90’ pen). Reinildo (90+6’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Guimarães’s goal on 58 minutes.

Discipline

John Brooks, England showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Sunderland: Reinildo (28’), Dan Ballard (66’), Granit Xhaka (69’), Brian Brobbey (81’), N. Mukiele (90+1’) and Reinildo (90+6’); Arsenal: Gabriel Magalhães (90+1’) and Kai Havertz (90+3’).

What it changes

Sunderland move down from 10th to 14th (four league matches played). Sunderland have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal move up from second to first (four league matches played). Arsenal have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, David Raya (Arsenal) 9.7, Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) 8.7 and Declan Rice (Arsenal) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sunderland, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sunderland or Arsenal (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal · Premier League
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: John Brooks, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Sunderland 0 · draws 1 · Arsenal 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 3W 1D 1L · Arsenal 5W 0D 0L

Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.57
Corners
against 5.13 / 2.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.88 / 5.71
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 2.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.75 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.57 for · 2.43 against n 7
Shots
12.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.43 for · 7.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.71 for · 2.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
10.14 for · 13.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: John Brooks, England.

Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs390270 min20.7 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Ellborg19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
24/2
M. Ellborg n 590
2.23/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Hume472286 min154.7 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90299.1 /9051.6 /9000 /90
T. Meunier467269 min20.7 /9041.3 /9000 /9062 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Dan Ballard390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90248 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Reinildo390270 min72.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90196.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
N. Mukiele290180 min63 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90168 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Hume n 876.9
1.56/3
14/2
—
T. Meunier n 467.3
0.72/0
0.31/0
Martin Ødegaard
W. Isidor n 831
1.12/1
3.36/2
—
Reinildo n 882.1
1.14/3
15/2
Ben White
Dan Ballard n 870.6
1.15/2
1.16/1
Gabriel Magalhães
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Hume n 876.9
2.96/6
T. Meunier n 467.3
0.71/1
W. Isidor n 831
0.41/0
Reinildo n 882.1
2.17/4
G. Xhaka n 890
1.56/4
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Isidor439154 min10.6 /9000 /9084.7 /9021.2 /9000 /9021.2 /90
B. Brobbey374221 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9000 /90
G. Xhaka390270 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Le Fée386259 min10.3 /9000 /9072.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9041.4 /90
N. Sadiki385254 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9041.4 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Hume n 876.9
0.62/2
0.11/0
T. Meunier n 467.3
13/0
13/0
W. Isidor n 831
3.65/3
1.13/0
Dan Ballard n 870.6
0.82/1
0.31/1
G. Xhaka n 890
0.54/0
00/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Hume n 876.9
0.11/0
00/0
T. Meunier n 467.3
00/0
0.31/0
W. Isidor n 831
0.41/0
00/0
G. Xhaka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya590450 min122.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.15/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães590450 min30.6 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90132.6 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Ben White588442 min112.2 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90244.9 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Riccardo Calafiori475298 min41.2 /9010.3 /9000 /9092.7 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
Cristhian Mosquera386259 min20.7 /9020.7 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Piero Hincapié348143 min42.5 /9000 /9000 /9063.8 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.26/3
1.16/2
Dan Ballard
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Ben White n 880.4
0.63/1
0.74/1
Reinildo
Martin Ødegaard n 867.6
0.32/0
1.35/2
T. Meunier
Declan Rice n 881
0.84/2
0.32/0
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.74/1
Ben White n 880.4
1.76/3
Martin Ødegaard n 867.6
1.35/2
Declan Rice n 881
1.95/3
Bukayo Saka n 872.3
1.65/2
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz570350 min30.8 /9000 /9051.3 /9051.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Noni Madueke33399 min00 /9000 /9032.7 /9021.8 /9054.5 /9021.8 /90
Viktor Gyökeres24488 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9044.1 /9000 /90
Martin Ødegaard580398 min40.9 /9000 /9081.8 /9051.1 /90153.4 /9061.4 /90
Declan Rice576378 min00 /9010.2 /9041 /9000 /9041 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.16/2
0.42/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Ben White n 880.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 867.6
1.56/2
0.84/1
Declan Rice n 881
0.62/2
00/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Ben White n 880.4
00/0
0.11/0
Martin Ødegaard n 867.6
0.74/0
0.21/0
Declan Rice n 881
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandArsenal
43%Possession57%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.88
12Shots11
3Shots on target5
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box8
4Corners2
2Offsides2
18Fouls11
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
3Saves2
284Passes386
76%Pass accuracy83%

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000006.9
N. Sadiki9000100306.6
N. Mukiele90002103Y6.7
Reinildo90000001RY6.2
E. Le Fée9000312006.2
K. Danso9000001006.6
B. Brobbey90000010Y6.2
Dan Ballard90001011Y6.3
G. Xhaka90000031Y7.5
T. Meunier7600110006.6
N. Angulo7000000206.2
W. Isidor sub2000000106.2
M. Fofana sub1400000006.5

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bukayo Saka9010331108.2
E. Konsa9000000207.2
K. Havertz90003110Y6.3
Gabriel Magalhães90001001Y8
Riccardo Calafiori9000000006.6
David Raya9000000008.9
Martin Ødegaard8500005107.3
C. Tzolis8100000106.9
Declan Rice8101003207.9
Ben White4500000206.9
Myles Lewis-Skelly4500000006.5
Bruno Guimarães sub4510210107.9
J. Timber sub4500000106.6
Mikel Merino sub1400000006.5
Eberechi Eze sub900000006.3
Martín Zubimendi sub900000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ArsenalWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Sunderland 0 · 1 draw · Arsenal 2 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Arsenal 3–0 Sunderland
  • 2025-11-08 Sunderland 2–2 Arsenal
  • 2021-12-21 Arsenal 5–1 Sunderland
League standing · 2026/27
Sunderland#20 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD
Arsenal#1 pos24 pts9 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Sunderland scored0.78
Arsenal scored1.56
Sunderland conceded1.89
Arsenal conceded0.56

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sunderland 2.07 xG from 12 shots, Arsenal 1.99 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Enzo Le Fée 55' · 0.76 xGNordi Mukiele 75' · 0.49 xGNordi Mukiele 83' · 0.48 xGKai Havertz 30' · 0.38 xGBukayo Saka 12' · 0.36 xGBukayo Saka 73' · 0.13 xGNordi Mukiele 82' · 0.10 xGRiccardo Calafiori 6' · 0.09 xGKai Havertz 32' · 0.08 xGBukayo Saka 71' · 0.06 xGThomas Meunier 46' · 0.05 xGThomas Meunier 41' · 0.05 xGBruno Guimarães 74' · 0.05 xGThomas Meunier 63' · 0.04 xGKai Havertz 74' · 0.04 xGNoah Sadiki 47' · 0.03 xGDan Ballard 15' · 0.02 xGNordi Mukiele 34' · 0.02 xGEnzo Le Fée 43' · 0.02 xGGabriel 22' · 0.02 xGEnzo Le Fée 5' · 0.01 xGBukayo Saka 96' · 0.76 xG · goalBruno Guimarães 57' · 0.03 xG · goal
Sunderland (attacking right)Arsenal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sunderland1202.07
Arsenal1121.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Arsenal led on xG, 0.92 to 0.12. At full time, xG was level: Sunderland 2.07, Arsenal 1.99, including 1.52 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.89 xG to Arsenal, in the 32nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Arsenal 57 minGoal - Arsenal 96 min
Sunderland 2.07 xGArsenal 1.99 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Arsenal was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Arsenal?
In their last 3 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Arsenal won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Arsenal?
Recent form — Sunderland 3W 1D 1L; Arsenal 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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