Tottenham v Burnley result

Full-time · Tottenham 3–0 Burnley

Premier League · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 15:00 BST · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tottenham · Burnley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tottenham 3–0 Burnley — Tottenham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.7% of 1351 landed (95% range 65.1–70.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Tottenham: 2.04 to 0.75 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 48th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Tottenham beat Burnley 3–0 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 16 August.

The goals

Tottenham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Tottenham: Richarlison (10’, assisted by Mohammed Kudus; 60’, assisted by Mohammed Kudus) and Brennan Johnson (66’, assisted by Pape Sarr).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Richarlison’s goal on 10 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed no yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Tottenham are first (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Burnley are 19th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Richarlison (Tottenham) 9.8, Mohammed Kudus (Tottenham) 9.0 and Pape Sarr (Tottenham) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Burnley, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.7% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1351).

Next up

Tottenham next travel to Chelsea on 24 October 2026.

Burnley next travel to Lincoln on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tottenham: Chelsea v Tottenham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Burnley: Lincoln v Burnley, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Tottenham 3–0 Burnley · Premier League
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London
Referee: M. Oliver
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 5 · draws 0 · Burnley 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Tottenham 1W 1D 3L · Burnley 5W 0D 0L

Tottenham 3–0 Burnley (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.63 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

2.75 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 2.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.3 yellows

Referee · M. Oliver

1.35 home / 1.96 away

over 23 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tottenham for / against	Line	Burnley for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	8.75 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 10.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	2.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.83 for · 14 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.3 yellow cards a game, 0.04 red cards, 22.78 fouls over 23 matches (1.35 to the home side, 1.96 to the away side).

Home 1.35Away 1.96

Tottenham

Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Kulusevski n 8	49.5	2.7 7/3	1.4 2/1	—
Y. Bissouma n 8	65.1	2.4 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
P. Sarr n 8	65.5	2.1 7/4	1.4 5/2	J. Laurent
M. Tel n 8	64.1	1.8 5/3	1.9 5/4	—
R. Bentancur n 8	73	1.7 5/3	0.2 1/0	—

Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kudus n 8	74.1	1.5 6/3	0.6 3/1
D. Solanke n 8	56.6	1.2 4/1	1 4/1
Richarlison n 8	46.1	1.2 3/2	0.7 2/1
Cristian Romero n 8	85.3	1.1 5/3	0.3 2/0
Y. Bissouma n 8	65.1	1 4/1	0.3 2/0

Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Solanke n 8	56.6	0.8 4/0	0 0/0
Pedro Porro n 8	79.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
M. Kudus n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
B. Johnson n 8	67.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Cristian Romero n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Reguilón n 8	60	3.2 5/4
D. Udogie n 8	88.5	2.8 7/5
Y. Bissouma n 8	65.1	2.8 7/4
João Palhinha n 8	36	2.8 4/2
R. Bentancur n 8	73	2.6 6/4

Burnley

Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Redmond n 8	11.4	4 4/0	0 0/0	—
L. Koleosho n 8	31.9	2.8 5/2	1.4 3/1	—
L. Foster n 8	34.6	2.3 5/1	1.3 3/1	—
J. Laurent n 8	41.8	2.2 4/2	0 0/0	P. Sarr
J. Worrall n 8	26	2.2 2/1	0.9 1/1	—

Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Flemming n 8	74.3	2.6 7/5	1.2 6/2
J. Anthony n 8	88	2 6/5	1.5 6/2
J. Sarmiento n 8	14.5	1.6 1/1	1.6 1/1
H. Mejbri n 8	53.4	1.5 5/2	0.8 4/0
J. Brownhill n 8	86.1	1.4 5/4	1 4/3

Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Sarmiento n 8	14.5	1.6 1/1	0 0/0
J. Brownhill n 8	86.1	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
N. Redmond n 8	11.4	0 0/0	1 1/0
Z. Flemming n 8	74.3	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
A. Barnes n 8	17.1	0 0/0	0.7 1/0

Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ramsey n 8	43.4	3.4 6/5
J. Sarmiento n 8	14.5	3.1 3/1
Lucas Pires n 8	90	2.3 6/6
J. Cullen n 8	90	2 7/3
J. Brownhill n 8	86.1	1.7 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tottenham		Burnley
67%	Possession	33%
2.32	Expected goals (xG)	0.94
16	Shots	14
6	Shots on target	4
9	Shots off target	7
1	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	7
6	Corners	5
0	Offsides	4
14	Fouls	8
4	Saves	3
511	Passes	246
88%	Pass accuracy	74%

Tottenham player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Guglielmo Vicario	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Pedro Porro	90	0	0	1	0	3	2	7.7
Cristian Romero	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
M. van de Ven	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	6.9
D. Spence	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	7.2
P. Sarr	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	7.9
M. Kudus	85	0	2	2	0	5	1	8.9
L. Bergvall	80	0	0	1	1	0	2	6.9
B. Johnson	80	1	0	2	1	2	1	7.6
A. Gray	71	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
Richarlison	71	2	0	4	3	0	0	9.3
R. Bentancur sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
D. Solanke sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.5
João Palhinha sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
W. Odobert sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Tel sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Burnley player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Dúbravka	90	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Walker	90	1	0	0	0	6.2
H. Ekdal	90	0	0	0	0	5.9
M. Estève	90	1	1	0	0	6.2
Q. Hartman	90	0	0	1	1	6
J. Cullen	90	0	0	5	3	7
J. Anthony	85	2	1	2	0	6.9
O. Sonne	74	1	0	1	0	6
L. Foster	74	1	0	2	0	6.9
H. Mejbri	63	1	0	0	0	6.3
J. Laurent	63	3	2	1	1	6.3
J. Bruun Larsen sub	27	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Ugochukwu sub	27	1	0	0	0	6.5
Z. Flemming sub	16	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Tchaouna sub	16	0	0	0	1	6.7
Marcus Edwards sub	9	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TottenhamLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

BurnleyWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tottenham 5 · 0 draws · Burnley 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2024-05-11 Tottenham 2–1 Burnley
2024-01-05 Tottenham 1–0 Burnley
2023-09-02 Burnley 2–5 Tottenham
2022-05-15 Tottenham 1–0 Burnley
2022-02-23 Burnley 1–0 Tottenham
2021-10-27 Burnley 0–1 Tottenham

League standing · 2025/26

Tottenham#17 pos41 pts38 pl-9 GD

Burnley#19 pos22 pts38 pl-37 GD

Goals per game

Tottenham scored1.26

Burnley scored1

Tottenham conceded1.5

Burnley conceded1.97

Shot map and expected goals

Tottenham 2.04 xG from 16 shots, Burnley 0.75 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tottenham (attacking right)Burnley (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Tottenham	16	3	2.04
Burnley	14	0	0.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Tottenham v Burnley?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Burnley was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Burnley?: In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 5, Burnley won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Burnley?: Recent form — Tottenham 1W 1D 3L; Burnley 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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