West HamLeeds

West Ham v Leeds result

Full-time · West Ham 3–0 Leeds

Premier League · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

West Ham 3–0 Leeds — West Ham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said West Ham: 2.74 to 1.99 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 66th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

West Ham beat Leeds 3–0 at London Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — West Ham: V. Castellanos (67’, assisted by Jarrod Bowen), Jarrod Bowen (79’, assisted by Mateus Fernandes) and Callum Wilson (90’, assisted by C. Summerville).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with V. Castellanos’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

A. Taylor showed three yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leeds: Jaka Bijol (10’), Brenden Aaronson (25’) and Ethan Ampadu (87’).

What it changes

West Ham stay 18th after this result (38 league matches played). West Ham have scored 46 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). West Ham have conceded 65 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Leeds move down from 13th to 14th (38 league matches played). Leeds have scored 49 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Leeds have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) 9.0, Mateus Fernandes (West Ham) 8.0 and C. Summerville (West Ham) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, West Ham or Leeds (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Ham 3–0 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: London Stadium · London
  • Referee: A. Taylor
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 2 · draws 2 · Leeds 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 1W 1D 3L · Leeds 2W 2D 1L

West Ham 3–0 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.43 / 4
Corners
against 4.29 / 8.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 4.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 2.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.36 yellows
Referee · A. Taylor
21.32 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4 for · 8.14 against n 7
Shots
11.86 for · 14.43 against n 7
19.5standard
12.57 for · 13.71 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 8.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10.71 for · 11.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.43 against n 7

Referee: A. Taylor — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.32 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Areola21901897 min803.8 /90401.9 /9000 /90
M. Hermansen17901530 min523.1 /90281.6 /9000 /90
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Areola n 890
3.97/7
M. Hermansen n 890
35/5

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Diouf32852718 min431.4 /90321.1 /90130.4 /901334.4 /90280.9 /9060.2 /90
K. Mavropanos29872523 min381.4 /90521.9 /90291 /901334.7 /90120.4 /9020.1 /90
A. Wan-Bissaka25832084 min341.5 /90391.7 /9070.3 /90843.6 /90231 /9040.2 /90
J. Todibo23831902 min391.8 /90180.9 /90160.8 /90723.4 /9090.4 /9050.2 /90
M. Kilman19831581 min160.9 /9090.5 /90241.4 /90724.1 /90160.9 /9040.2 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bowen n 889.5
0.43/0
0.43/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Mateus Fernandes n 889.4
1.86/4
1.35/2
E. Ampadu
E. Diouf n 888
15/2
15/2
J. Rodon
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
P. Struijk
C. Summerville n 888.3
2.27/6
2.87/5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
1.57/4
Mateus Fernandes n 889.4
2.98/6
E. Diouf n 888
1.87/4
K. Mavropanos n 890
1.86/4
C. Summerville n 888.3
1.77/4
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Wilson25461158 min40.3 /9010.1 /90231.8 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90120.9 /90
V. Castellanos17771307 min50.3 /9000 /90382.6 /90201.4 /90120.8 /9020.1 /90
Pablo1264770 min00 /9010.1 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90111.3 /9050.6 /90
N. Füllkrug757396 min00 /9000 /9071.6 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9000 /90
Luis Guilherme33296 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9021.9 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
0.96/1
0.54/0
Mateus Fernandes n 889.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
E. Diouf n 888
0.54/0
0.32/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.95/2
0.63/2
C. Summerville n 888.3
1.36/4
0.32/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
00/0
0.63/2
Mateus Fernandes n 889.4
00/0
00/0
E. Diouf n 888
00/0
00/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.42/1
00/0
C. Summerville n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Darlow22901980 min592.7 /90251.1 /9000 /90
Lucas Perri18901620 min422.3 /90301.7 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Darlow n 890
35/3
Lucas Perri n 890
2.15/3

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Struijk34872949 min391.2 /90310.9 /90180.5 /901775.4 /90270.8 /9060.2 /90
J. Rodon34862907 min351.1 /90280.9 /90220.7 /901384.3 /90170.5 /9030.1 /90
J. Bogle34832827 min662.1 /90321 /9060.2 /901384.4 /90401.3 /9070.2 /90
G. Gudmundsson34832819 min702.2 /90280.9 /9080.3 /901906.1 /90321 /9060.2 /90
J. Bijol26792058 min261.1 /90281.2 /90130.6 /901175.1 /90210.9 /9030.1 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
2.18/5
1.36/3
Mateus Fernandes
B. Aaronson n 867.9
0.32/0
1.76/3
—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 889.8
1.86/4
14/2
C. Summerville
P. Struijk n 884.9
1.15/2
0.84/2
K. Mavropanos
J. Rodon n 878.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
E. Diouf
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.36/5
B. Aaronson n 867.9
1.85/2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 889.8
0.11/0
P. Struijk n 884.9
1.26/2
J. Rodon n 878.8
0.94/2
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Aaronson36682461 min40.1 /9050.2 /90281 /90170.6 /90331.2 /90311.1 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin35782747 min140.5 /9010 /90662.2 /90341.1 /90190.6 /9080.3 /90
N. Okafor27631708 min80.4 /9010.1 /90291.5 /90160.8 /90231.2 /90392.1 /90
L. Nmecha26441155 min40.3 /9030.2 /90262 /90151.2 /90131 /9060.5 /90
W. Gnonto1738645 min10.1 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9060.8 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
B. Aaronson n 867.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 889.8
1.97/4
1.17/2
P. Struijk n 884.9
0.85/1
0.11/0
J. Rodon n 878.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Aaronson n 867.9
00/0
0.32/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 889.8
0.54/0
00/0
P. Struijk n 884.9
00/0
00/0
J. Rodon n 878.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West HamLeeds
42%Possession58%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.59
16Shots13
9Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box9
6Corners4
0Offsides1
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves5
316Passes453
76%Pass accuracy83%

West Ham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hermansen9000000007.2
K. Walker-Peters9000000006.9
K. Mavropanos9000000107.7
A. Disasi9000000006.6
E. Diouf9000001107.3
T. Souček9000320007.2
Mateus Fernandes9001112507.7
J. Bowen9011112107.6
C. Summerville9001002407.6
V. Castellanos8810420007.6
Pablo4500212006.7
C. Wilson sub4510221008.3
M. Kanté sub20000000–

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Darlow9000000007.7
J. Rodon9000001206.2
P. Struijk9000000206
E. Ampadu90000012Y6.9
J. Justin9000101307
L. Nmecha9000102107.2
B. Aaronson89002111Y6.6
J. Bogle7800101407.2
A. Tanaka7800000306.6
J. Bijol70000001Y6.9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin6900112006.2
W. Gnonto sub2100000006.2
D. James sub2000000106.7
F. Buonanotte sub1200001006.9
J. Piroe sub1200210106.7
S. Bornauw sub10010000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
LeedsDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Ham 2 · 2 draws · Leeds 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 West Ham 2–2 Leeds
  • 2025-10-24 Leeds 2–1 West Ham
  • 2023-05-21 West Ham 3–1 Leeds
  • 2023-01-04 Leeds 2–2 West Ham
  • 2022-01-16 West Ham 2–3 Leeds
  • 2022-01-09 West Ham 2–0 Leeds
League standing · 2025/26
West Ham#18 pos39 pts38 pl-19 GD
Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
West Ham scored1.21
Leeds scored1.29
West Ham conceded1.71
Leeds conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

West Ham 2.74 xG from 16 shots, Leeds 1.99 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin 34' · 0.66 xGLukas Nmecha 6' · 0.65 xGCallum Wilson 92' · 0.52 xGValentín Castellanos 46' · 0.51 xGPablo 46' · 0.40 xGBrenden Aaronson 50' · 0.15 xGSebastiaan Bornauw 90' · 0.13 xGTomas Soucek 45' · 0.13 xGTomas Soucek 45' · 0.13 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 38' · 0.12 xGCrysencio Summerville 52' · 0.08 xGValentín Castellanos 52' · 0.07 xGPablo 15' · 0.06 xGJarrod Bowen 92' · 0.06 xGBrenden Aaronson 50' · 0.06 xGTomas Soucek 15' · 0.05 xGCallum Wilson 64' · 0.04 xGJames Justin 6' · 0.04 xGBrenden Aaronson 46' · 0.04 xGFacundo Buonanotte 83' · 0.03 xGJoël Piroe 86' · 0.03 xGValentín Castellanos 42' · 0.03 xGJoël Piroe 84' · 0.03 xGJayden Bogle 39' · 0.02 xGBrenden Aaronson 23' · 0.02 xGMateus Fernandes 22' · 0.01 xGValentín Castellanos 66' · 0.46 xG · goalJarrod Bowen 78' · 0.15 xG · goalCallum Wilson 93' · 0.03 xG · goal
West Ham (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
West Ham1632.74
Leeds1301.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Leeds led on xG, 1.52 to 0.41. At full time, West Ham led on xG, 2.74 to 1.99. The widest gap was 1.40 xG to Leeds, in the 39th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.71.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - West Ham 66 minGoal - West Ham 78 minGoal - West Ham 93 min
West Ham 2.74 xGLeeds 1.99 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Leeds was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 2, Leeds won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Leeds?
Recent form — West Ham 1W 1D 3L; Leeds 2W 2D 1L.

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