Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian result

Full-time · Aberdeen 2–1 Heart of Midlothian

Premiership · Sat, 01 Aug 2026 17:30 BST · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aberdeen · Heart of Midlothian · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aberdeen 2–1 Heart of Midlothian — Aberdeen won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,999 of 2,672 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Aberdeen beat Heart of Midlothian 2–1 at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 1 August. Aberdeen have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aberdeen came from behind: Heart of Midlothian led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Heart of Midlothian: Oisin McEntee (35’); Aberdeen: Lewis Mayo (90’, assisted by Kevin Nisbet) and Kevin Nisbet (90’ pen). Stuart Findlay (90+3’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lewis Mayo’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Aberdeen 2.66, Heart of Midlothian 1.34, from 11 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Dickinson showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aberdeen: Bradley Lyons (34’), A. Aremu (71’) and Kevin Nisbet (90+6’); Heart of Midlothian: Jordi Altena (41’) and Harry Milne (89’).

What it changes

Aberdeen are second after this result (one league match played).

Heart of Midlothian are 11th after this result (one league match played).

Aberdeen have won their last five matches in all competitions. Heart of Midlothian have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kevin Nisbet (Aberdeen) 8.3, Oisin McEntee (Heart Of Midlothian) 7.1 and Lewis Mayo (Aberdeen) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aberdeen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Heart of Midlothian, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aberdeen or Heart of Midlothian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Heart of Midlothian next host Falkirk on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aberdeen: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Heart of Midlothian: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Aberdeen 2–1 Heart of Midlothian · Premiership
Venue: Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen
Referee: D. Dickinson
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Aberdeen 2 · draws 2 · Heart of Midlothian 2 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Aberdeen 4W 0D 1L · Heart of Midlothian 1W 1D 3L

Aberdeen 2–1 Heart of Midlothian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.6 / 7

Corners

against 3.2 / 4 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3.2 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 3.4 / 3.63 · 0 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 5 matches

0.6 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.6 / 2.88 · 0 of the last 2 over 3.5

over 5 matches

4.14 yellows

Referee · D. Dickinson

22.95 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 21 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Aberdeen for / against	Line	Heart of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.6 for · 3.2 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.2 for · 9 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.2 for · 3.4 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.2 for · 12.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.6 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Dickinson — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.95 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian Goalkeeper

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Schwolow	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 8	90	2.1 5/1

Heart of Midlothian Defensive

Heart of Midlothian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Milne	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	157.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. Fagan-Walcott	2	90180 min	21 /90	21 /90	21 /90	115.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
C. Borchgrevink	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90
J. Altena	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	11 /90	88 /90	11 /90	00 /90
J. McCart	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	11 /90	1010 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.3	1.3 7/2	2 6/4	—
H. Milne n 8	80.5	0.8 5/1	1.7 7/3	—
A. Schwolow n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
O. McEntee n 8	83.5	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
B. Spittal n 8	62.8	0.5 2/1	0.4 2/0	—
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Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Milne n 8	80.5	2.1 6/6
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.3	0.9 4/2
O. McEntee n 8	83.5	1.9 6/4
B. Spittal n 8	62.8	2.2 7/3
A. Kyziridis n 8	64.3	1.8 5/3
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Heart of Midlothian Attacking

Heart of Midlothian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cláudio Braga	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
P. Kabore	2	4080 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	22.3 /90	33.4 /90
A. Ba-Sy	2	2652 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	23.5 /90	35.2 /90
Sabah Kerjota	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	25.8 /90	00 /90
O. McEntee	2	87174 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.3	2.3 7/3	0.7 5/0
H. Milne n 8	80.5	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
A. Schwolow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. McEntee n 8	83.5	0.5 4/0	0.5 4/0
B. Spittal n 8	62.8	1.1 5/1	0.5 3/0
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Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 28 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	77.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Schwolow n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Milne n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. McEntee n 8	83.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Spittal n 8	62.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aberdeen		Heart of Midlothian
51%	Possession	49%
2.66	Expected goals (xG)	1.34
11	Shots	19
3	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	7
4	Blocked shots	8
7	Shots inside the box	12
4	Corners	6
3	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	17
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	1
359	Passes	350
76%	Pass accuracy	73%

Aberdeen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Müller	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Mayo	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.7
D. Happe	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7.9
B. Lyons	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7.2
T. Olusanya	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
K. Nisbet	90	1	1	2	1	1	0	Y	7.9
N. Guinness-Walker	83	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.6
C. Cadden	73	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7
C. Ronan	73	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Tony Yogane	73	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Aremu	72	0	0	1	0	0	3	Y	7.3
S. Armstrong sub	18	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Alexander Briedl sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Smith sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
A. Mouloua sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
G. Molloy sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Heart of Midlothian Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Beau Reus	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Altena	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
O. McEntee	90	1	1	1	0	2	0	8.2
S. Findlay	90	0	1	0	0	0	R	5.9
H. Milne	90	0	1	0	2	4	Y	6.7
C. Miller	90	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.3
Cláudio Braga	90	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.2
B. Spittal	80	0	2	1	3	1	0	7.2
L. Mendy	75	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Sabah Kerjota	74	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Ba-Sy	60	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
P. Kabore sub	30	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
S. Guendouz sub	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. McCart sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Magnússon sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AberdeenLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Heart of MidlothianDWLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Aberdeen 2 · 2 draws · Heart of Midlothian 2 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-02-28 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Aberdeen
2025-11-23 Aberdeen 1–0 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-08-04 Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Aberdeen
2025-04-19 Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 Aberdeen
2025-01-12 Aberdeen 0–0 Heart Of Midlothian
2024-12-01 Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Aberdeen

League standing · 2026/27

Aberdeen#11 pos11 pts12 pl-6 GD

Heart of Midlothian#3 pos20 pts11 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Aberdeen scored1

Heart of Midlothian scored2.18

Aberdeen conceded1.5

Heart of Midlothian conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Heart of Midlothian?: In their last 6 meetings, Aberdeen won 2, Heart of Midlothian won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Heart of Midlothian?: Recent form — Aberdeen 4W 0D 1L; Heart of Midlothian 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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