This Matchweek

CelticFalkirk

Celtic v Falkirk result

Full-time · Celtic 2–1 Falkirk

Premiership · · Celtic Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celtic · Falkirk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celtic 2–1 Falkirk — Celtic won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.24 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1 at Celtic Park in the Premiership on Saturday 29 August. Celtic have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Celtic led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Celtic: C. Duran (4’; 29’, assisted by Kieran Tierney) and an own goal by Colby Donovan (72’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Celtic 2.87, Falkirk 0.53, from 19 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Graham showed five yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celtic: Colby Donovan (45+2’); Falkirk: Lewis Neilson (35’), Leon McCann (44’), C. McLeod (77’) and Aodhan Doherty (82’).

What it changes

Celtic stay first after this result (three league matches played). Celtic have scored 27 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Celtic have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk move down from ninth to 10th (three league matches played). Falkirk have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Duran (Celtic) 8.6, Yang Hyun-Jun (Celtic) 6.6 and Alexander Oxlade-Chamberlain (Celtic) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Celtic are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Falkirk, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Celtic to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).

Next up

Celtic next host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celtic: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celtic 2–1 Falkirk · Premiership
  • Venue: Celtic Park · Glasgow
  • Referee: C. Graham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celtic 6 · draws 0 · Falkirk 0 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celtic 4W 0D 1L · Falkirk 1W 2D 2L

Celtic 2–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5
Corners
against 4 / 4.2 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
6.67 / 2.4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.4 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.83 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.4 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
2.86 yellows
Referee · C. Graham
22.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCeltic for / againstLineFalkirk for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
5 for · 4.2 against n 5
Shots
15.33 for · 11.33 against n 6
19.5standard
9.2 for · 11 against n 5
Shots on target
6.67 for · 4.5 against n 6
8.5standard
2.4 for · 3.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
9.67 for · 8.83 against n 6
21.5standard
15 for · 12.8 against n 5
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.5 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: C. Graham — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Sinisalo391274 min154.9 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
2.96/4

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Trusty391274 min41.3 /9041.3 /9051.6 /90103.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
C. Carter-Vickers391274 min31 /9062 /9010.3 /90216.9 /9010.3 /9000 /90
K. Tierney383249 min51.8 /9041.4 /9010.4 /9072.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90
A. Johnston270139 min31.9 /9021.3 /9000 /9063.9 /9010.6 /9000 /90
Colby Donovan264128 min21.4 /9010.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McGregor n 889
1.36/3
0.54/0
—
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
1.15/1
0.73/2
L. Henderson
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.84/2
0.52/1
—
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
—
Kasper Høgh n 388.7
1.73/2
1.42/1
—
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McGregor n 889
1.57/4
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
1.26/2
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.64/1
Kasper Høgh n 388.7
0.72/0
K. Tierney n 880.8
1.34/3
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kasper Høgh389266 min31 /9000 /90113.7 /9051.7 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Tounekti22142 min00 /9000 /9024.3 /9012.1 /9024.3 /9012.1 /90
C. McGregor391274 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
B. Nygren382247 min31.1 /9020.7 /9051.8 /9041.5 /90103.6 /9020.7 /90
Yang Hyun-Jun376228 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9052 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McGregor n 889
0.63/2
0.32/0
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
0.43/0
00/0
A. Trusty n 888.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Kasper Høgh n 388.7
3.72/2
1.71/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McGregor n 889
00/0
0.11/0
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
00/0
00/0
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
A. Trusty n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Kasper Høgh n 388.7
11/1
00/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain290180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
2.97/4

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Henderson290180 min31.5 /9063 /9010.5 /90105 /9031.5 /9000 /90
R. Strain290180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /90178.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
D. Meļņiks19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
L. McCann19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /901010 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Neilson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Henderson n 885.4
1.47/3
1.26/2
C. Carter-Vickers
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Yeats n 872.8
1.25/2
0.83/1
—
E. Ross n 840.4
1.74/1
2.56/3
—
R. MacIver n 853.8
1.53/2
0.42/0
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Henderson n 885.4
1.35/3
F. Yeats n 872.8
1.94/4
E. Ross n 840.4
1.42/1
R. MacIver n 853.8
14/1
Ben Parkinson n 736.6
00/0
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. MacIver24692 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Ben Parkinson24488 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Sibbald268135 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
F. Yeats268135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
E. Ross255110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.5 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 885.4
00/0
00/0
F. Yeats n 872.8
0.52/1
0.32/0
E. Ross n 840.4
1.74/1
0.31/0
R. MacIver n 853.8
1.75/3
0.84/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 885.4
00/0
00/0
F. Yeats n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
E. Ross n 840.4
00/0
00/0
R. MacIver n 853.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CelticFalkirk
56%Possession44%
2.87Expected goals (xG)0.53
19Shots5
8Shots on target1
7Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box3
6Corners3
2Offsides3
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves6
583Passes459
91%Pass accuracy85%

Celtic Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Baur9000111407.3
V. Sinisalo9000000006.9
L. Scales9000003107.6
B. Nygren9000621107.2
Colby Donovan90000003Y6.5
C. Carter-Vickers9000000006.7
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain7800111007.3
Yang Hyun-Jun7800101407.2
K. Tierney7001001008.3
C. Duran7020322008.9
H. Hassan6300001007.2
J. Forrest sub2700111006.9
A. Trusty sub2000000006.5
C. Osmand sub2000210006.7
S. Tounekti sub1200001006.6
L. McCowan sub1200000006.7

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Strain9000002206.2
B. Spencer9000000307.2
L. Neilson90000000Y6.2
Finley Frank Barbrook9000100306.9
Scott Bain9000000008.9
L. Henderson9000000106.3
Ben Krauhaus7800000306.2
B. Krauhaus7800000306.2
E. Ross6900002106.5
L. McCann69000000Y5.7
C. Fodrey6900100006.2
Ben Parkinson6000100006.3
Jacob Murrell sub3000110006.5
A. Doherty sub21000000Y6.2
S. Tanser sub2100000106.7
C. McLeod sub21000011Y6.3
D. Meļņiks sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celtic v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CelticWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FalkirkLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celtic 6 · 0 draws · Falkirk 0 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Celtic 3–1 Falkirk
  • 2026-02-01 Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
  • 2026-01-14 Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
  • 2025-10-29 Celtic 4–0 Falkirk
  • 2025-08-15 Celtic 4–1 Falkirk
  • 2024-09-22 Celtic 5–2 Falkirk
League standing · 2026/27
Celtic#1 pos28 pts12 pl+17 GD
Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Celtic scored2.25
Falkirk scored1.25
Celtic conceded0.83
Falkirk conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celtic v Falkirk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Falkirk was Home win (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Falkirk?
In their last 6 meetings, Celtic won 6, Falkirk won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Falkirk?
Recent form — Celtic 4W 0D 1L; Falkirk 1W 2D 2L.

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