Celtic v Kilmarnock prediction

Premiership · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Celtic Park

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 19:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celtic · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Celtic v Kilmarnock, Premiership on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 162 of 248 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celtic host Kilmarnock in the Premiership on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celtic to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Celtic have scored 27 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celtic have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs.

Celtic have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Celtic have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.25.

Nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Kilmarnock have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Celtic (first) and Kilmarnock (11th) are 19 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celtic the stronger side, 517 rating points above Kilmarnock (Celtic 1967, Kilmarnock 1450, after at least 309 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celtic are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Kilmarnock, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic.

Team news

Predicted Celtic XI (4-2-3-1): S. Johnstone, L. Scales, D. Murray, K. Tierney, C. Donovan, C. McGregor, M. Baur, B. Nygren, C. Duran, C. Osmand, K. Høgh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yang Hyun-Jun (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and C. Duran (5.2 per match over 16 appearances, 10 goals and five assists) have been Celtic’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celtic (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Yang Hyun-Jun averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. C. Duran averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1213 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Kilmarnock XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ferrie, G. Stanger, C. McCarthy, M. Schjønning-Larsen, J. Brandon, T. Lowery, A. Tshibola, G. Kiltie, E. Ring, T. John-Jules, J. Hugill — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Greg Kiltie (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and George Stanger (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Kilmarnock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kilmarnock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Greg Kiltie averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. George Stanger averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1112 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Premiership · Celtic Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Celtic 6 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 0 · 4.5 goals/game
Recent form: Celtic 2W 1D 2L · Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L

Celtic v Kilmarnock (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

7.63 / 5.57

Corners

against 4.13 / 7 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.63 / 3.71

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 2.29

Cards

against 1.75 / 0.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Celtic for / against	Line	Kilmarnock for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.57 for · 7 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	16.25 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.57 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.71 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.86 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5

Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Sinisalo	11	90994 min	403.6 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
S. Johnstone	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Sinisalo n 8	90	3.1 6/5
S. Johnstone n 4	90	2.3 3/2

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Colby Donovan	14	821144 min	403.1 /90	171.3 /90	40.3 /90	695.4 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90
K. Tierney	12	81973 min	181.7 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90	373.4 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
L. Scales	11	90986 min	181.6 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	605.5 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
A. Trusty	9	83744 min	81 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	323.9 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
C. Carter-Vickers	9	82741 min	141.7 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90	657.9 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Duran n 8	77.6	1.4 5/3	2.3 7/3	—
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	1.6 5/3	—
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0.9 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	2.3 8/6	0.5 3/1	—
M. Baur n 8	81.5	1.7 5/3	0.6 3/1	—
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	1 6/1
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.8 3/1
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	2.1 6/3
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	3.4 7/7
M. Baur n 8	81.5	3 7/6
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Duran	15	731091 min	100.8 /90	50.4 /90	453.7 /90	252.1 /90	121 /90	100.8 /90
Kasper Høgh	12	60716 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	192.4 /90	81 /90	111.4 /90	20.3 /90
S. Tounekti	8	38303 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.7 /90	41.2 /90	82.4 /90	61.8 /90
Jota	4	33132 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	42.7 /90	10.7 /90	64.1 /90	42.7 /90
Shumaira Mheuka	3	1649 min	00 /90	00 /90	35.5 /90	23.7 /90	11.8 /90	11.8 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	3.2 7/6	1.6 7/3
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	2.1 5/3	1 4/1
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	0.7 5/0	0.5 4/0
M. Baur n 8	81.5	1.5 7/3	1.2 7/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	0.7 5/0	0.3 1/1
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Baur n 8	81.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90
C. Ferrie	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90
Nico Mantl	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4
C. Ferrie n 4	90	4 3/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Stanger	12	881061 min	242 /90	141.2 /90	100.8 /90	655.5 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen	12	83993 min	70.6 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	302.7 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Brandon	11	67742 min	121.5 /90	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	263.2 /90	192.3 /90	30.4 /90
C. McCarthy	10	89885 min	141.4 /90	212.1 /90	60.6 /90	484.9 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	4	50199 min	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	52.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3	0.9 6/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.6 4/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.4 2/1	1.1 6/3	—
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.4 2/1	1.7 6/5	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.8 6/0	0.6 3/1	—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
G. Stanger n 8	90	2.4 8/4
T. Lowery n 8	89	1.6 6/5
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.7 4/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	1 5/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	12	891066 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
T. John-Jules	11	69756 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	182.1 /90	50.6 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90
D. Daniels	5	46229 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
N. Cleșcenco	5	35174 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	21 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.5 5/4	0.9 4/2
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	2.1 6/5	1 4/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celtic v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CelticLWLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

KilmarnockLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Celtic 6 · 0 draws · Kilmarnock 0 · 4.5 goals/game

2026-08-09 Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic
2026-02-15 Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic
2025-11-09 Celtic 4–0 Kilmarnock
2025-09-14 Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic
2025-04-12 Celtic 5–1 Kilmarnock
2025-01-18 Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock

League standing · 2026/27

Celtic#1 pos28 pts11 pl+19 GD

Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Celtic scored2.45

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Celtic conceded0.73

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Celtic v Kilmarnock?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Kilmarnock is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Kilmarnock?: In their last 6 meetings, Celtic won 6, Kilmarnock won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Kilmarnock?: Recent form — Celtic 2W 1D 2L; Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 19:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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