This Matchweek

HibernianAberdeen

Hibernian v Aberdeen result

Full-time · Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Premiership · · Easter Road Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hibernian and Aberdeen drew 1–1 at Easter Road Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hibernian out-shot Aberdeen 12 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.43 xG to 0.77 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Aberdeen led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Aberdeen: Kevin Nisbet (17’, assisted by Gavin Molloy); Hibernian: Martin Boyle (62’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Martin Boyle’s goal on 62 minutes.

Discipline

N. Walsh showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Adam Mayor (70’) and M. Chaiwa (84’); Aberdeen: Kevin Nisbet (34’) and Jack Milne (59’).

What it changes

Hibernian move down from eighth to ninth (seven league matches played). Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen move up from eighth to sixth (seven league matches played). Aberdeen have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Aremu (Aberdeen) 7.8, Kevin Nisbet (Aberdeen) 7.2 and Gavin Molloy (Aberdeen) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or Aberdeen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen · Premiership
  • Venue: Easter Road Stadium · Edinburgh
  • Referee: N. Walsh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 4 · draws 0 · Aberdeen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 2W 0D 3L · Aberdeen 1W 2D 2L

Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.71 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.43 / 7.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.86 / 2.67
Shots on target
against 4 / 6.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.29 / 3.5
Cards
against 1.57 / 2.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.23 yellows
Referee · N. Walsh
23.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineAberdeen for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.71 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 7.33 against n 6
Shots
13.14 for · 8.14 against n 7
19.5standard
10 for · 17.5 against n 6
Shots on target
4.86 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
2.67 for · 6.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
9.29 for · 8 against n 7
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
3.5 for · 2.33 against n 6

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger790630 min263.7 /90131.9 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.98/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr790630 min101.4 /90101.4 /9071 /90557.9 /9030.4 /9000 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
G. Hanley481323 min72 /9061.7 /9010.3 /90215.9 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
W. O'Hora390270 min41.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Iredale262123 min53.7 /9000 /9000 /90107.3 /9021.5 /9021.5 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 790
0.43/0
0.94/1
—
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 882.5
28/7
0.42/1
N. Guinness-Walker
N. Lowe n 767.4
1.35/2
1.35/2
—
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.53/1
0.84/2
N. Guinness-Walker
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 790
1.44/4
J. Mulligan n 882.5
3.38/7
N. Lowe n 767.4
0.62/1
F. Passlack n 889.9
2.17/6
A. Mayor n 677.3
2.56/5
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Lowe767472 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.9 /9040.8 /9081.5 /9051 /90
M. Boyle664382 min20.5 /9000 /9081.9 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9000 /90
A. Šuto538189 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9041.9 /9010.5 /90
T. Klidje346139 min00 /9000 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Owen Elding264127 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9053.5 /9010.7 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 790
0.93/2
0.63/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 882.5
1.56/3
0.73/2
N. Lowe n 767.4
1.95/2
0.83/1
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kerr n 790
0.11/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 882.5
00/0
0.32/0
N. Lowe n 767.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Müller690540 min294.8 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Müller n 690
4.86/6

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Cadden687523 min101.7 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90203.4 /9050.9 /9020.3 /90
N. Guinness-Walker686517 min152.6 /9081.4 /9050.9 /90427.3 /9020.3 /9000 /90
L. Mayo678470 min51 /9071.3 /9040.8 /90183.4 /9071.3 /9051 /90
D. Happe490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90287 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
G. Molloy451204 min31.3 /9020.9 /9000 /9094 /9020.9 /9000 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Müller n 690
00/0
0.21/0
—
C. Cadden n 687.2
0.93/2
0.53/0
—
N. Guinness-Walker n 686.2
0.32/0
1.75/2
F. Passlack
L. Mayo n 678.3
1.36/1
0.21/0
—
K. Nisbet n 876
0.62/1
1.26/2
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cadden n 687.2
1.75/2
N. Guinness-Walker n 686.2
2.66/5
L. Mayo n 678.3
15/0
K. Nisbet n 876
0.11/0
T. Olusanya n 876.1
0.95/1
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet675450 min20.4 /9020.4 /90102 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
T. Olusanya672429 min00 /9000 /9010.2 /9000 /9071.5 /9000 /90
A. Mouloua631185 min10.5 /9000 /9041.9 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
L. Smith539196 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9031.4 /90
M. Ntelo351153 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 690
00/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 687.2
0.32/0
0.21/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 686.2
0.32/0
0.21/0
L. Mayo n 678.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
K. Nisbet n 876
1.86/4
0.64/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 690
00/0
0.21/0
C. Cadden n 687.2
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 686.2
00/0
00/0
L. Mayo n 678.3
0.21/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 876
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HibernianAberdeen
52%Possession48%
1.43Expected goals (xG)0.77
12Shots9
2Shots on target2
3Shots off target6
7Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box3
6Corners9
2Offsides3
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
450Passes422
83%Pass accuracy79%

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000006.9
J. Mulligan9000001106.2
A. Mayor90000021Y6.6
J. Kerr9000000107.2
J. Iredale9000001106.9
G. Hanley9000000307.7
M. Chaiwa90002000Y6.5
F. Passlack9000001007.3
C. Wright7900111107.2
M. Boyle7210110007
Owen Elding7200000006.3
A. Šuto sub1800101106
N. Lowe sub1800000006.7
J. Newell sub1100000006.6

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Nisbet90102104Y8.2
G. Molloy9001002306.9
M. Knoester9000000107.5
N. Guinness-Walker9000100306.9
C. Cadden9000000206.2
A. Aremu9000101707.9
M. Müller9000000006.5
J. Milne80001100Y5.9
Findlay Marshall8000101206.9
T. Olusanya7400101105.9
C. Ronan5900100206.6
S. Armstrong sub3100001106.6
A. Mouloua sub1600000206.5
Alexander Briedl sub1000000306.9
D. Happe sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AberdeenLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hibernian 4 · 0 draws · Aberdeen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-12-30 Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-10-26 Aberdeen 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-04-26 Aberdeen 1–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-02-01 Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2024-12-21 Aberdeen 1–3 Hibernian
League standing · 2026/27
Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD
Aberdeen#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1
Aberdeen scored1.09
Hibernian conceded1.55
Aberdeen conceded1.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Aberdeen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Aberdeen was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Aberdeen?
In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 4, Aberdeen won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Aberdeen?
Recent form — Hibernian 2W 0D 3L; Aberdeen 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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