Kilmarnock v Dundee prediction

Premiership · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Rugby Park

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · Dundee · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee, Premiership on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kilmarnock host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Dundee have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Kilmarnock have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.25. Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Dundee have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Dundee have scored 18 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Kilmarnock (12th) and Dundee (fifth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dundee the stronger side, 138 rating points above Kilmarnock (Dundee 1591, Kilmarnock 1453, after at least 244 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 October 2026, finished Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock.

Team news

Predicted Kilmarnock XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ferrie, G. Stanger, C. McCarthy, M. Schjønning-Larsen, J. Brandon, T. Lowery, A. Tshibola, G. Kiltie, E. Ring, T. John-Jules, J. Hugill — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Greg Kiltie (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and George Stanger (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Kilmarnock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kilmarnock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Greg Kiltie averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. George Stanger averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1112 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dundee XI (4-4-2): O. Goodman, R. Astley, I. Samuels, D. Wright, O. Bevan, E. Hamilton, A. Forrest, C. Jones, J. Bevan, A. Hay, B. Fink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Astley (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) and Owen Bevan (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Dundee’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dundee (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Astley averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 1084 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Owen Bevan averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 994 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · Rugby Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 1 · draws 2 · Dundee 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L · Dundee 2W 1D 2L

Kilmarnock v Dundee (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.57 / 5.38

Corners

against 7 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.29 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.63

Cards

against 0.86 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Kilmarnock for / against	Line	Dundee for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.57 for · 7 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90
C. Ferrie	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90
Nico Mantl	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4
C. Ferrie n 4	90	4 3/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Stanger	12	881061 min	252.1 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	665.6 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen	12	83993 min	80.7 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	312.8 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Brandon	11	67742 min	121.5 /90	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	263.2 /90	192.3 /90	30.4 /90
C. McCarthy	10	89885 min	131.3 /90	212.1 /90	60.6 /90	474.8 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	4	50199 min	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	52.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3	0.9 6/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.6 4/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.4 2/1	1.1 6/3	—
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.4 2/1	1.7 6/5	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.8 6/0	0.6 3/1	—
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
G. Stanger n 8	90	2.5 8/5
T. Lowery n 8	89	1.6 6/5
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.7 4/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	1.1 6/1
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	12	891066 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
T. John-Jules	11	69755 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	192.3 /90	60.7 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90
D. Daniels	5	46230 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
N. Cleșcenco	5	35173 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	84.2 /90	21 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.5 5/4	0.9 4/2
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	2.2 6/5	1 4/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Goodman	12	901084 min	443.7 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90

Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 8	90	3.6 8/6

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Astley	12	901084 min	171.4 /90	221.8 /90	161.3 /90	776.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
D. Wright	12	83994 min	151.4 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90	423.8 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
O. Bevan	11	90994 min	100.9 /90	171.5 /90	141.3 /90	766.9 /90	151.4 /90	10.1 /90
I. Samuels	7	90627 min	71 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90	233.3 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
I. Odutayo	5	91454 min	20.4 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	214.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.6 7/3	2.5 7/7	—
R. Astley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0.6 4/0	1.3 6/2	—
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	1.2 5/1	0.4 2/0	—
See more players · Pro

Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Astley n 8	90	2 7/5
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.8 7/4
D. Wright n 8	80.5	1.1 5/1
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	0.2 1/0
O. Bevan n 8	90	0.9 4/1
See more players · Pro

Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Fink	10	63628 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	162.3 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90
J. Westley	8	75599 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
Ashley Hay	7	73509 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	193.4 /90	101.8 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90
B. Wales	4	44177 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
S. Murray	2	63125 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.9 6/4	0.4 3/0
R. Astley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0.3 1/1	0.3 1/1
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	1 2/2	0.6 2/1
See more players · Pro

Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
R. Astley n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KilmarnockLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

DundeeWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kilmarnock 1 · 2 draws · Dundee 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-28 Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
2026-05-12 Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee
2026-04-11 Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee
2026-01-17 Kilmarnock 1–2 Dundee
2025-12-30 Dundee 2–1 Kilmarnock
2025-08-23 Kilmarnock 0–0 Dundee

League standing · 2026/27

Kilmarnock#12 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Dundee#5 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Dundee scored1.5

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

Dundee conceded1.25

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Dundee?: In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Dundee?: Recent form — Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L; Dundee 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.