Motherwell v Falkirk result

Full-time · Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk

Premiership · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 15:00 BST · Fir Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · Falkirk

The model’s pre-match pick

Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk — Falkirk won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,987 of 2,656 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Falkirk won 3–2 at Fir Park in the Premiership on Saturday 4 April. Falkirk have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Falkirk led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Falkirk: B. Stewart (3’, assisted by Calvin Miller), Benjamin Broggio (45’) and Calvin Miller (62’ pen); Motherwell: E. Watt (34’) and Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise (90’, assisted by Elijah Just).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Benjamin Broggio’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Motherwell 1.31, Falkirk 1.92, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Nicolson showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Motherwell: Thomas Sparrow (25’) and Ibrahim Said (61’); Falkirk: Liam Henderson (42’), K. Adams (56’) and Brad Spencer (85’).

What it changes

Motherwell have scored 59 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 36 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Falkirk have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 62 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Motherwell are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Calvin Miller (Falkirk) 11.1, E. Watt (Motherwell) 8.9 and Elijah Just (Motherwell) 8.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Motherwell or Falkirk (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Motherwell next host Rangers on 21 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Motherwell: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk · Premiership
Venue: Fir Park · Motherwell
Referee: D. Nicolson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Motherwell 0 · draws 1 · Falkirk 1 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Motherwell 2W 1D 2L · Falkirk 2W 1D 2L

Motherwell 2–3 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 5.29

Corners

against 2.88 / 4.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.38 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.86

Cards

against 4.38 / 1.86 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4 yellows

Referee · D. Nicolson

21.87 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Motherwell for / against	Line	Falkirk for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.57 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.86 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: D. Nicolson — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.87 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Ward	31	902790 min	862.8 /90	230.7 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Ward n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. McGinn	29	872522 min	411.5 /90	190.7 /90	140.5 /90	1354.8 /90	70.2 /90	30.1 /90
M. Emmanuel	27	782097 min	311.3 /90	231 /90	80.3 /90	934 /90	220.9 /90	30.1 /90
S. O'Donnell	25	651637 min	201.1 /90	130.7 /90	70.4 /90	553 /90	150.8 /90	10.1 /90
Stephen Welsh	21	851776 min	211.1 /90	331.7 /90	50.3 /90	985 /90	70.4 /90	20.1 /90
J. Koutroumbis	20	681350 min	281.9 /90	161.1 /90	70.5 /90	765.1 /90	130.9 /90	10.1 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
P. McGinn n 8	86.5	0.3 1/1	0.7 4/1	L. Henderson
I. Said n 8	63.9	2.3 5/4	1.4 5/1	C. Miller
L. Fadinger n 8	78.3	1.4 5/3	1.7 5/4	B. Spencer
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	88.1	1.1 5/2	1.1 6/2	—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. McGinn n 8	86.5	1.8 6/6
I. Said n 8	63.9	1.2 3/2
L. Fadinger n 8	78.3	2 6/5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	88.1	0.5 4/0
E. Just n 8	78.6	1.7 6/3
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	28	822284 min	160.6 /90	20.1 /90	542.1 /90	351.4 /90	150.6 /90	271.1 /90
A. Stamatelopoulos	18	48861 min	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	222.3 /90	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	70.7 /90
C. Hendry	14	50699 min	00 /90	00 /90	192.4 /90	101.3 /90	60.8 /90	40.5 /90
R. Charles-Cook	11	57622 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
E. Björgólfsson	7	27191 min	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	73.3 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. McGinn n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
I. Said n 8	63.9	0.9 5/0	0.4 2/0
L. Fadinger n 8	78.3	0.9 2/2	0.6 2/2
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	88.1	2.9 8/5	1.8 6/4
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. McGinn n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Said n 8	63.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Fadinger n 8	78.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	88.1	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Scott Bain	30	892684 min	913.1 /90	391.3 /90	10 /90
N. Hogarth	2	53106 min	43.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 8	90	2.4 8/2

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Henderson	29	892589 min	281 /90	331.1 /90	120.4 /90	1886.5 /90	220.8 /90	20.1 /90
F. Lissah	23	851944 min	653 /90	311.4 /90	130.6 /90	1848.5 /90	421.9 /90	60.3 /90
L. McCann	21	871834 min	472.3 /90	211 /90	40.2 /90	994.9 /90	100.5 /90	50.2 /90
K. Adams	19	881679 min	482.6 /90	231.2 /90	80.4 /90	975.2 /90	140.8 /90	30.2 /90
C. Allan	18	851532 min	342 /90	261.5 /90	110.6 /90	754.4 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Spencer n 8	83.9	1.2 7/1	2 8/4	L. Fadinger
C. Miller n 8	81.6	0.7 3/2	1.1 6/1	I. Said
D. Tait n 8	71.5	1.1 5/2	1.7 6/2	—
L. Henderson n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	1 5/3	P. McGinn
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Spencer n 8	83.9	3 8/7
C. Miller n 8	81.6	1 5/2
D. Tait n 8	71.5	2.7 7/6
L. Henderson n 8	87.4	1.3 6/4
F. Lissah n 8	90	2.6 7/5
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ethan Williams	20	521036 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	171.5 /90	60.5 /90	201.7 /90	111 /90
Brian Graham	17	42719 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	121.5 /90	101.3 /90	81 /90	50.6 /90
E. Ross	17	38647 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	71 /90
A. Agyeman	16	32505 min	00 /90	00 /90	112 /90	40.7 /90	91.6 /90	50.9 /90
B. Stewart	12	82989 min	70.6 /90	20.2 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Spencer n 8	83.9	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
C. Miller n 8	81.6	1.4 5/3	0.4 2/1
D. Tait n 8	71.5	1.1 4/2	0.6 3/1
L. Henderson n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Spencer n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Miller n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
D. Tait n 8	71.5	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
L. Henderson n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Motherwell		Falkirk
62%	Possession	38%
1.31	Expected goals (xG)	1.92
14	Shots	12
7	Shots on target	5
5	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	7
6	Corners	2
0	Offsides	3
15	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
525	Passes	324
83%	Pass accuracy	74%

Motherwell Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Ward	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
P. McGinn	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.2
Stephen Welsh	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
E. Watt	90	1	0	2	1	1	4	0	8.3
E. Just	90	0	1	3	3	3	4	0	7.2
I. Said	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	6.5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	90	1	0	2	2	0	2	0	7.7
M. Emmanuel	79	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
S. O'Donnell	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Fadinger	73	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Sparrow	63	0	0	2	1	0	1	Y	6.2
S. Nicholson sub	27	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
O. Priestman sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
J. McGhee sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
L. Ross sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3

Falkirk Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Scott Bain	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Adams	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	Y	6.2
F. Lissah	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.5
L. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7
L. McCann	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
D. Tait	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
B. Spencer	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	Y	7.3
C. Miller	84	1	1	3	3	1	2	0	7.3
B. Stewart	79	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	8.2
B. Broggio	71	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	7.2
F. Yeats	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
E. Ross sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Kyrell Wilson sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
B. Graham sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Ben Parkinson sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MotherwellWWLLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

FalkirkLWWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Motherwell 0 · 1 draw · Falkirk 1 · 1.5 goals/game

2025-12-03 Falkirk 0–0 Motherwell
2025-10-18 Motherwell 1–2 Falkirk

League standing · 2025/26

Motherwell#4 pos61 pts38 pl+23 GD

Falkirk#6 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Motherwell scored1.55

Falkirk scored1.32

Motherwell conceded0.95

Falkirk conceded1.63

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Motherwell v Falkirk?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v Falkirk was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Falkirk?: In their last 2 meetings, Motherwell won 0, Falkirk won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and Falkirk?: Recent form — Motherwell 2W 1D 2L; Falkirk 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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