ST MirrenCeltic

ST Mirren v Celtic result

Full-time · ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic

Premiership · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Celtic · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic — Celtic won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 545 of 849 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Celtic won 2–1 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 5 September. ST Mirren have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Celtic have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Celtic came from behind: ST Mirren led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Mirren: Nikolas Agrafiotis (22’ pen); Celtic: Liam Scales (51’, assisted by B. Nygren) and Yang Hyun-Jun (68’, assisted by C. Duran).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yang Hyun-Jun’s goal on 68 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: ST Mirren 1.74, Celtic 2.93, from 19 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — ST Mirren: Calvin Ramsay (37’), Eseosa Sule (90+6’), Samuel Ramos (90+7’) and Paul Nsio (90+7’); Celtic: Colby Donovan (8’).

What it changes

ST Mirren stay second after this result (five league matches played). ST Mirren have scored 12 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Celtic stay first after this result (five league matches played). Celtic have scored 27 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Celtic have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Celtic recorded the only away win among the six finished matches of round 6. Celtic have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cameron Carter-Vickers (Celtic) 6.5, Liam Scales (Celtic) 6.4 and Yang Hyun-Jun (Celtic) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.

Celtic next host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Celtic: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic · Premiership
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Referee: Ryan Lee, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 1 · draws 1 · Celtic 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 3W 1D 1L · Celtic 4W 0D 1L

ST Mirren 1–2 Celtic (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6 / 8
Corners
against 5.6 / 3.67 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.8 / 8.67
Shots on target
against 3.4 / 3.83 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 0.67
Cards
against 1.8 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameST Mirren for / againstLineCeltic for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.6 against n 5
9.5standard
8 for · 3.67 against n 6
Shots
12.2 for · 10 against n 5
19.5standard
19 for · 9.17 against n 6
Shots on target
4.8 for · 3.4 against n 5
8.5standard
8.67 for · 3.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.4 for · 10 against n 5
21.5standard
8.33 for · 9.33 against n 6
Cards shown
2.4 for · 1.8 against n 5
3.5standard
0.67 for · 1.5 against n 6

Referee: Ryan Lee, Scotland.

ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Chapman490360 min92.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 490
2.33/1

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gogić490360 min30.8 /9030.8 /9000 /9061.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
J. Richardson456225 min62.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90135.2 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
D. John390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /9062 /9000 /9000 /90
Henry Fieldson390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9062 /90165.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
C. Ramsay276151 min53 /9053 /9000 /90127.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Nsio n 490
24/2
0.31/0
—
A. Gogić n 890
1.97/4
0.11/0
A. Trusty
J. Chapman n 490
00/0
0.31/0
—
R. Carr n 486.5
3.14/3
2.64/3
—
C. Mochrie n 468.5
24/2
0.72/0
Yang Hyun-Jun
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Nsio n 490
3.84/3
A. Gogić n 890
1.35/2
R. Carr n 486.5
3.14/3
C. Mochrie n 468.5
1.63/1
J. Richardson n 858.4
1.53/2
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Eseosa Sule443172 min00 /9000 /9063.1 /9031.6 /9021 /9031.6 /90
J. Young42497 min00 /9000 /9032.8 /9021.9 /9000 /9032.8 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis261122 min00 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9000 /9032.2 /9010.7 /90
P. Nsio490360 min10.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9082 /90
R. Carr487346 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9000 /9020.5 /9071.8 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
0.84/2
0.42/1
P. Nsio n 490
0.83/0
0.31/0
J. Chapman n 490
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 486.5
0.82/1
00/0
C. Mochrie n 468.5
0.72/0
00/0
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Nsio n 490
0.31/0
00/0
A. Gogić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chapman n 490
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 486.5
00/0
00/0
C. Mochrie n 468.5
00/0
00/0
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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Sinisalo591454 min183.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
36/4

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Carter-Vickers591454 min30.6 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90305.9 /9051 /9010.2 /90
A. Trusty577384 min51.2 /9040.9 /9051.2 /90163.8 /9030.7 /9000 /90
K. Tierney480319 min51.4 /9041.1 /9010.3 /9082.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Colby Donovan477308 min92.6 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90175 /9000 /9010.3 /90
L. Scales290180 min10.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9084 /9000 /9000 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
0.95/2
0.73/2
—
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
—
B. Nygren n 879.4
1.66/4
16/1
—
A. Trusty n 879.6
0.84/2
0.62/1
A. Gogić
Yang Hyun-Jun n 875.1
1.27/1
1.35/3
C. Mochrie
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
0.64/1
B. Nygren n 879.4
1.47/2
A. Trusty n 879.6
0.85/1
Yang Hyun-Jun n 875.1
2.88/5
C. Duran n 574
0.21/0
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Duran574370 min51.2 /9020.5 /90204.9 /90122.9 /9051.2 /9041 /90
Kasper Høgh389266 min31 /9000 /90113.7 /9051.7 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Tounekti22142 min00 /9000 /9024.3 /9012.1 /9024.3 /9012.1 /90
C. Osmand12020 min00 /9000 /9029 /9014.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Shumaira Mheuka11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9016 /9000 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
0.43/0
00/0
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
B. Nygren n 879.4
2.78/5
1.37/2
A. Trusty n 879.6
0.32/0
00/0
Yang Hyun-Jun n 875.1
1.36/3
0.63/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Carter-Vickers n 890.5
00/0
00/0
V. Sinisalo n 890.5
00/0
00/0
B. Nygren n 879.4
0.75/0
0.43/0
A. Trusty n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Yang Hyun-Jun n 875.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST MirrenCeltic
40%Possession60%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.93
19Shots23
6Shots on target8
6Shots off target10
7Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box20
6Corners10
0Offsides2
6Fouls15
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves5
354Passes528
76%Pass accuracy85%

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Chapman9000000107.2
C. Ramsay90000006Y7
P. Nsio90001023Y6.9
Ismeal Kabia9000113207
D. John9000103206.2
A. Gogić9000000507.7
Henry Fieldson9000000307
R. Carr8300002206.2
C. Mochrie6900100106.2
Nikolas Agrafiotis6810110006.3
F. Taylor6200202106.9
Samuel Ramos sub28001100Y6.2
Eseosa Sule sub22001100Y6.3
L. Thomas sub2100210106.5
J. Young sub1400111107.2

Celtic Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Sinisalo9000000006.9
A. Trusty9000100107
L. Scales9010210208.3
B. Nygren9001003006.5
C. McGregor9000110206.3
C. Carter-Vickers9000001407.6
Colby Donovan87000013Y6.2
C. Duran8301322206.5
Yang Hyun-Jun7310421007
M. Baur7300004307.2
H. Hassan7200422108.5
J. Forrest sub1800000006.7
S. Tounekti sub1700200006.5
O. Sørensen sub1700001006.9
Shumaira Mheuka sub1400101006.3
D. Murray sub1000000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Celtic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CelticWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
ST Mirren 1 · 1 draw · Celtic 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Celtic 6–2 ST Mirren
  • 2026-04-11 Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren
  • 2025-12-14 ST Mirren 3–1 Celtic
  • 2025-11-22 ST Mirren 0–1 Celtic
  • 2025-08-03 Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren
  • 2025-05-17 Celtic 1–1 ST Mirren
League standing · 2026/27
ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD
Celtic#1 pos28 pts12 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored1
Celtic scored2.25
ST Mirren conceded1.67
Celtic conceded0.83

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Celtic?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Celtic was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Celtic?
In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Celtic won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Celtic?
Recent form — ST Mirren 3W 1D 1L; Celtic 4W 0D 1L.

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