ST Mirren v Heart of Midlothian prediction

Premiership · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT · The SMISA Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Heart of Midlothian · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Heart of Midlothian, Premiership on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

ST Mirren host Heart of Midlothian in the Premiership on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

ST Mirren are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Heart of Midlothian, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of ST Mirren’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of ST Mirren’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, ST Mirren have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.75. ST Mirren have scored 12 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

10 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Heart of Midlothian have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.89. Heart of Midlothian have scored 24 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Heart of Midlothian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Heart of Midlothian are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. ST Mirren (eighth) and Heart of Midlothian (third) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Heart of Midlothian the stronger side, 340 rating points above ST Mirren (Heart of Midlothian 1780, ST Mirren 1440, after at least 307 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Heart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren.

Team news

Predicted ST Mirren XI (3-4-3): J. Chapman, A. Gogić, H. Fieldson, M. Fraser, R. Carr, K. Phillips, P. Nsio, C. Ramsay, E. Sule, J. Young, F. Taylor — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, S. Ramos (5.0 per match over three appearances, one goal and two assists) and Killian Phillips (4.6 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) have been ST Mirren’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ST Mirren (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Killian Phillips averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 718 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Heart of Midlothian XI (4-4-2): B. Reus, J. McCart, M. Fagan-Walcott, S. Kingsley, R. Mato, J. Mcpake, L. Mendy, S. Kerjota, J. Altena, C. Braga, J. wilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (5.2 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Cláudio Braga (4.2 per match over 18 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Heart of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1132 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Cláudio Braga averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1493 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT · Premiership · The SMISA Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 1 · draws 2 · Heart of Midlothian 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L · Heart of Midlothian 1W 1D 3L

ST Mirren v Heart of Midlothian (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.14

Corners

against 6.63 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.13 / 4.86

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.25 / 2.43

Cards

against 2 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	ST Mirren for / against	Line	Heart of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.25 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.86 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.86 for · 16.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	3.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5

ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Chapman	12	901080 min	352.9 /90	161.3 /90	30.3 /90

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 8	90	3.2 5/5

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Gogić	12	901080 min	181.5 /90	191.6 /90	60.5 /90	342.8 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
D. John	11	83917 min	141.4 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90	252.5 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
Henry Fieldson	10	90895 min	171.7 /90	131.3 /90	90.9 /90	424.2 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90
C. Ramsay	10	84835 min	192 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90	424.5 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
M. Fraser	6	84501 min	91.6 /90	91.6 /90	30.5 /90	325.7 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Gogić n 8	90	1.3 8/2	0.5 4/0	—
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
R. Carr n 8	78.4	2.6 7/6	2.9 8/6	—
D. John n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
Eseosa Sule n 8	51.1	0.9 2/1	1.3 3/2	—
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	1.9 8/4
R. Carr n 8	78.4	3.3 7/7
D. John n 8	80.9	1.4 7/3
Eseosa Sule n 8	51.1	1.1 4/1
Henry Fieldson n 8	89.4	1.1 6/2
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Eseosa Sule	11	51565 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	142.2 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90
J. Young	10	28276 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	51.6 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis	4	67267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
R. Carr	12	81973 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90	60.6 /90	100.9 /90
P. Nsio	10	82818 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	60.7 /90	141.5 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Carr n 8	78.4	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	80.9	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	51.1	1.8 5/2	1.1 3/1
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Carr n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	51.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian Goalkeeper

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Beau Reus	15	901343 min	372.5 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90
A. Schwolow	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 8	89.1	3 6/5
A. Schwolow n 8	90	2.1 5/1

Heart of Midlothian Defensive

Heart of Midlothian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. McCart	15	841265 min	171.2 /90	251.8 /90	141 /90	795.6 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
J. Altena	14	861206 min	282.1 /90	191.4 /90	30.2 /90	926.9 /90	131 /90	20.1 /90
O. McEntee	11	76835 min	192 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90	535.7 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
M. Fagan-Walcott	9	89803 min	151.7 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	455 /90	141.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Findlay	9	77691 min	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	445.7 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Cláudio Braga n 8	76.5	1.6 5/3	2.1 6/3	—
Beau Reus n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. McCart n 8	89.1	0.9 5/2	0.9 4/2	—
C. Miller n 8	65	1.6 6/2	1 4/2	—
J. Altena n 8	85.4	0.8 5/1	3.3 8/7	—
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Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	76.5	1.3 5/2
J. McCart n 8	89.1	1 5/2
C. Miller n 8	65	1.6 4/2
J. Altena n 8	85.4	2 8/5
Josh Mcpake n 8	68.9	1.6 6/2
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Heart of Midlothian Attacking

Heart of Midlothian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cláudio Braga	17	831404 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	422.7 /90	171.1 /90	201.3 /90	130.8 /90
Sabah Kerjota	14	49680 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90	162.1 /90	111.5 /90
James wilson	10	68676 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	121.6 /90	60.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
S. Guendouz	8	47376 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90
R. Mato	7	43301 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	76.5	2.4 7/4	1.2 5/2
Beau Reus n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McCart n 8	89.1	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
C. Miller n 8	65	1.9 7/2	1.6 7/2
J. Altena n 8	85.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	76.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Beau Reus n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McCart n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Miller n 8	65	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
J. Altena n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Heart of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ST MirrenLLWDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Heart of MidlothianLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

ST Mirren 1 · 2 draws · Heart of Midlothian 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-10 Heart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren
2026-02-03 ST Mirren 1–0 Heart Of Midlothian
2026-01-14 Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 ST Mirren
2025-10-29 ST Mirren 2–2 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-08-16 ST Mirren 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-02-26 Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 ST Mirren

League standing · 2026/27

ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD

Heart of Midlothian#3 pos20 pts11 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

ST Mirren scored1

Heart of Midlothian scored2.18

ST Mirren conceded1.67

Heart of Midlothian conceded1.55

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Heart of Midlothian?: In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Heart of Midlothian won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Heart of Midlothian?: Recent form — ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L; Heart of Midlothian 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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