Academico Viseu v Vitória SC result

Full-time · Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal do Fontelo

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC — Academico Viseu won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4945 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,749 of 2,361 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Academico Viseu beat Vitória SC 2–1 at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Academico Viseu: Lorougnon Gohi (53’) and Mohamed Bouldini (90’); Vitória SC: Gonçalo Nogueira (67’, assisted by Alan). Alioune Ndoye (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mohamed Bouldini’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Academico Viseu 1.83, Vitória SC 2.10, from 11 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Carlos Macedo, Portugal showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Academico Viseu: André Clóvis (76’), Alejandro Mestanza (80’), Luís Silva (86’) and Nils Mortimer (90+5’); Vitória SC: Lohann Doucet (28’), Arnel Jakupovic (75’) and Toni Borevković (88’).

What it changes

Academico Viseu move up from 10th to seventh (six league matches played). Academico Viseu have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Academico Viseu have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC move down from 11th to 12th (six league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lorougnon Gohi (Academico Viseu) 6.5, Thiago Balieiro (Vitória SC) 6.2 and Alan (Vitória SC) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Academico Viseu or Vitória SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3825 of 4945).

Next up

Academico Viseu next host Rio Ave on 1 November 2026.

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Academico Viseu: Academico Viseu v Rio Ave, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal do Fontelo · Viseu
  • Referee: Carlos Macedo, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Academico Viseu 1W 2D 2L · Vitória SC 1W 1D 3L

Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
2.6 / 6
Corners
against 4.8 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.8 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.6 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.83 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.17 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · Carlos Macedo, Portugal
23.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAcademico Viseu for / againstLineVitória SC for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
0.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.6 for · 4.8 against n 5
9.5standard
6 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
9.2 for · 17 against n 5
19.5standard
17.13 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.8 for · 5.6 against n 5
8.5standard
4 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.2 for · 14.8 against n 5
21.5standard
14.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.83 for · 1.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Carlos Macedo, Portugal — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Academico Viseu

Academico Viseu Goalkeeper

Academico Viseu — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ewerton591457 min193.7 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Academico Viseu — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ewerton n 591.4
3.73/2

Academico Viseu Defensive

Academico Viseu — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Correia591457 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.6 /9071.4 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
Robinho587434 min112.3 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90265.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
N. Michelis477309 min41.2 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90133.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
Pedro Barcelos349148 min84.9 /9021.2 /9000 /90137.9 /9021.2 /9000 /90
G. Costa282164 min21.1 /9042.2 /9000 /9063.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Academico Viseu — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Correia n 591.4
1.24/2
00/0
João Mendes
Ewerton n 591.4
00/0
0.41/1
—
S. Messeguem n 589.2
1.65/3
2.25/4
Samu
João Guilherme n 588.2
1.24/1
2.75/4
Samu
Robinho n 586.8
1.23/3
0.83/1
João Mendes
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Academico Viseu — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Correia n 591.4
0.21/0
S. Messeguem n 589.2
1.64/2
João Guilherme n 588.2
2.44/3
Robinho n 586.8
2.34/2
André Clóvis n 573.8
0.21/0
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Academico Viseu Attacking

Academico Viseu — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
João Guilherme588441 min10.2 /9000 /90112.2 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9071.4 /90
André Clóvis574369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9041 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
L. Gohi539196 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9041.8 /9052.3 /90
D. Steczyk32368 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Nils Mortimer22448 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.9 /9000 /90
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Academico Viseu — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Correia n 591.4
0.21/0
00/0
Ewerton n 591.4
00/0
00/0
S. Messeguem n 589.2
0.41/1
0.41/1
João Guilherme n 588.2
2.25/5
0.42/0
Robinho n 586.8
00/0
00/0
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Academico Viseu — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Correia n 591.4
00/0
0.21/0
Ewerton n 591.4
00/0
00/0
S. Messeguem n 589.2
0.21/0
00/0
João Guilherme n 588.2
0.21/0
00/0
Robinho n 586.8
00/0
0.21/0
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Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych590450 min71.4 /9051 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 590
1.42/2

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90122.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Thiago Balieiro590450 min71.4 /90112.2 /9010.2 /90153 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
Óscar Rivas576379 min40.9 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90204.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
T. Strata567336 min82.1 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90154 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Miguel Maga257114 min10.8 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.57/3
0.54/0
—
João Mendes n 890
1.47/4
0.43/0
Robinho
O. Zych n 590
00/0
00/0
—
Samu n 885.6
0.95/1
0.74/1
João Guilherme
Gustavo n 879.5
2.17/5
1.76/6
—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
2.36/4
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.67/3
Samu n 885.6
2.18/4
Gustavo n 879.5
26/3
A. Ndoye n 863.6
1.14/2
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye580398 min10.2 /9000 /90143.2 /9030.7 /9081.8 /9051.1 /90
O. Camara538191 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9000 /9052.4 /9052.4 /90
A. Jakupovic12727 min00 /9000 /9026.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Samu588439 min10.2 /9000 /90102.1 /9051 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Gustavo585424 min10.2 /9000 /90173.6 /9071.5 /90132.8 /9040.8 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
15/2
0.42/1
Thiago Balieiro n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
O. Zych n 590
00/0
00/0
Samu n 885.6
1.88/3
1.16/2
Gustavo n 879.5
3.47/7
1.45/3
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Zych n 590
00/0
00/0
João Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
Gustavo n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Academico ViseuVitória SC
46%Possession54%
1.83Expected goals (xG)2.10
11Shots22
4Shots on target7
4Shots off target12
3Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box12
4Corners8
3Offsides1
14Fouls11
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
6Saves2
356Passes401
76%Pass accuracy81%

Academico Viseu Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ewerton9000000008
A. Correia9000000006.7
N. Michelis9000000006.9
Luís Silva90001003Y6.5
João Guilherme9000001106.9
S. Messeguem9000000105.9
Robinho8900000106.2
G. Costa8900000307.2
André Clóvis89004100Y6
L. Gohi6810112108.3
C. Kahraman6800001006.3
Nils Mortimer sub22001110Y6.6
Alejandro Mestanza sub22000012Y6.9
M. Bouldini sub710110007
Pedro Barcelos sub10000000–
Tomás Domingos sub10000000–

Vitória SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Zych9000000007.2
T. Strata9000001206.3
Thiago Balieiro9000100506.7
João Mendes9000204106.2
Samu9000201206.5
Gustavo9000405005.9
A. Sidibé8400001006.6
O. Camara7700112007.3
A. Jakupovic77002210Y7
Beni6000000106.7
L. Doucet45000001Y7
Gonçalo Nogueira sub4510210007.5
Alan sub3001221107
A. Ndoye sub18003100R7
T. Borevković sub13000000Y6.2
Miguel Nogueira sub1300002006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Academico Viseu v Vitória SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Academico ViseuDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Vitória SCLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Academico Viseu#6 pos17 pts9 pl+2 GD
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Academico Viseu scored1.44
Vitória SC scored1.11
Academico Viseu conceded1.22
Vitória SC conceded1.11

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Academico Viseu v Vitória SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Academico Viseu v Vitória SC was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Academico Viseu and Vitória SC?
Recent form — Academico Viseu 1W 2D 2L; Vitória SC 1W 1D 3L.

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