This Matchweek

AlvercaSC Braga

Alverca v SC Braga result

Full-time · Alverca 1–2 SC Braga

Primeira Liga · · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Alverca · SC Braga

The model’s pre-match pick

Alverca 1–2 SC Braga — SC Braga won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Braga won 2–1 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September. Alverca are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

SC Braga came from behind: Alverca led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Alverca: Chiquinho (27’ pen); SC Braga: Pau Victor (50’, assisted by Demir Ege Tıknaz; 57’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pau Victor’s goal on 57 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Alverca 1.08, SC Braga 2.27, from 6 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. M. Branco Godinho showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Alverca: Ian Luccas (45+3’); SC Braga: Adrian Bajrami (40’), Pau Victor (66’), Gabri Martínez (87’) and Gustaf Lagerbielke (90+1’).

What it changes

Alverca move down from 13th to 16th (five league matches played). Alverca have scored five goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Alverca have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Braga move up from ninth to seventh (three league matches played). SC Braga have scored five goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). SC Braga have conceded three goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Chiquinho (Alverca) 9.6, Pau Victor (SC Braga) 8.9 and Demir Ege Tıknaz (SC Braga) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Alverca next travel to Academico Viseu on 28 November 2026.

SC Braga next host KuPS on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alverca: Academico Viseu v Alverca, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Alverca 1–2 SC Braga · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo
  • Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Alverca 0 · draws 0 · SC Braga 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Alverca 0W 2D 3L · SC Braga 2W 3D 0L

Alverca 1–2 SC Braga (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.5
Corners
against 4 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.88 / 4.17
Shots on target
against 4 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · L. M. Branco Godinho
27.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAlverca for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.25our book
1.38 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 2.67 against n 6
Shots
9.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
7.33 for · 4.67 against n 6
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.17 for · 1.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.17 for · 15.17 against n 6
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.67 against n 6

Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 27.13 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Alverca

Alverca Goalkeeper

Alverca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matheus Mendes490360 min143.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Mateus Oliveira19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Alverca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matheus Mendes n 890
2.56/2

Alverca Defensive

Alverca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Baseya490360 min51.3 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90287 /9010.3 /9000 /90
I. James486345 min82.1 /9041 /9020.5 /90123.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Y. Bojang483330 min20.5 /9020.5 /9030.8 /9092.5 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
B. Meupiyou287173 min42.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9063.1 /9021 /9000 /90
I. James19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Alverca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Baseya n 880.8
0.43/0
1.77/4
Vitor Carvalho
Matheus Mendes n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
Figueiredo n 885.8
1.87/4
2.48/6
—
I. James n 888.1
16/2
0.43/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Y. Bojang n 482.5
0.82/1
0.52/0
G. Lagerbielke
See more players · Pro
Alverca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Baseya n 880.8
0.84/1
Figueiredo n 885.8
1.45/3
I. James n 888.1
1.88/5
Y. Bojang n 482.5
0.52/0
Ian Luccas n 473.8
0.93/0
See more players · Pro

Alverca Attacking

Alverca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Figueiredo487349 min10.3 /9000 /9061.5 /9020.5 /9092.3 /9041 /90
Vivaldo Semedo468273 min20.7 /9000 /9051.6 /9031 /9020.7 /9000 /90
S. Merheg32780 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
Chiquinho282164 min00 /9000 /9052.7 /9010.5 /9063.3 /9031.6 /90
M. Essimi Ateba22039 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Alverca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Baseya n 880.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
Matheus Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Figueiredo n 885.8
1.77/3
0.95/2
I. James n 888.1
00/0
00/0
Y. Bojang n 482.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro
Alverca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheus Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Baseya n 880.8
00/0
00/0
Figueiredo n 885.8
0.32/0
00/0
I. James n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
Y. Bojang n 482.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bernardo Fontes493372 min51.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 493
1.21/0

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke493372 min41 /9041 /9010.2 /90133.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Vitor Carvalho493371 min00 /9081.9 /9010.2 /90235.6 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
Adrian Bajrami380240 min41.5 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90103.8 /9093.4 /9000 /90
Sergio Barcia19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi14242 min12.1 /9000 /9000 /9024.3 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
0.52/2
0.94/1
Y. Bojang
Bernardo Fontes n 493
00/0
00/0
—
Vitor Carvalho n 888.3
0.63/1
0.43/0
S. Baseya
Gabriel Silva n 487.5
0.52/0
3.94/4
—
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 885.3
1.66/4
0.53/1
I. James
See more players · Pro
SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
1.17/2
Vitor Carvalho n 888.3
0.53/1
Gabriel Silva n 487.5
1.33/1
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 885.3
3.28/7
Víctor Gómez n 885.9
1.65/3
See more players · Pro

SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pau Victor470278 min20.6 /9000 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9020.6 /90
M. Dorgeles446183 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Fran Navarro374221 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9000 /90
D. Huseinbašić266131 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Ricardo Horta15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /90
See more players · Pro
SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
0.22/0
0.11/0
Bernardo Fontes n 493
00/0
00/0
Vitor Carvalho n 888.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
Gabriel Silva n 487.5
0.83/0
0.52/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 885.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 493
00/0
00/0
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Vitor Carvalho n 888.3
00/0
0.11/0
Gabriel Silva n 487.5
00/0
0.31/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 885.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AlvercaSC Braga
32%Possession68%
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.27
6Shots16
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box8
2Corners2
2Offsides3
11Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves1
309Passes691
72%Pass accuracy89%

Alverca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Baseya9000000306.3
Y. Bojang9000000006.2
Toni Tamarit9000000306.3
I. James9000110105.7
Chiquinho9010210108.3
Matheus Mendes9000000007.2
I. James9000110206.3
Sergi Gómez8300000106.2
Ian Luccas71000000Y6.2
Figueiredo7100000307.3
Rayan5300000206.3
Vivaldo Semedo5300000005.6
D. Gui sub3700002107.2
D. Camara sub3700000006.2
André Vidigal sub1900100006.3
Z. Kassary sub1900000206.9
C. Nuozzi sub1300000006.7

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bernardo Fontes9000000006.3
G. Lagerbielke90001000Y6.7
Vitor Carvalho9000001007.3
Víctor Gómez9000100206.9
João Moutinho9000002107.2
Pau Victor90202201Y8.2
Demir Ege Tıknaz8301211207.7
M. Dorgeles6400106006.6
Diego Rodrigues4500111006.2
Adrian Bajrami45001000Y6.2
Diogo Travassos4500200206.6
Sergio Barcia sub4500000007.2
Gabri Martínez sub45000020Y6.2
Fran Navarro sub4500110106.2
Tomás Marqués sub2600000206.6
J. Milošević sub1300110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alverca v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlvercaLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
SC BragaDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Alverca 0 · 0 draws · SC Braga 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 SC Braga 5–0 Alverca
  • 2025-08-17 Alverca 0–3 SC Braga
League standing · 2026/27
Alverca#11 pos12 pts11 pl-1 GD
SC Braga#8 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Alverca scored1.27
SC Braga scored1.2
Alverca conceded1.36
SC Braga conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Alverca v SC Braga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alverca v SC Braga was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and SC Braga?
In their last 2 meetings, Alverca won 0, SC Braga won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alverca and SC Braga?
Recent form — Alverca 0W 2D 3L; SC Braga 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+