AVS v Famalicao result
The model’s pre-match pick
AVS 0–1 Famalicao — Famalicao won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Famalicao won 1–0 at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 30 August. AVS are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Famalicao are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Famalicao: Justin de Haas (70’, assisted by Sorriso). L. Realpe (56’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Justin de Haas’s goal on 70 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: AVS 0.54, Famalicao 0.90, from 13 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
A. Rodrigues showed six yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AVS: Jaume Grau (90+6’); Famalicao: L. Realpe (44’), Marcos Peña (52’), L. Realpe (56’), Lazar Carević (90+1’) and Ibrahima Ba (90+2’).
What it changes
AVS move down from 14th to 16th (four league matches played). AVS have scored 27 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). AVS have conceded 67 goals, the most of the 19 clubs.
Famalicao move up from third to first (four league matches played). Famalicao have scored 42 goals, the eighth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Famalicao have conceded 29 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 19 clubs.
Famalicao have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sorriso (Famalicao) 6.8, Justin de Haas (Famalicao) 5.8 and Aderllan Santos (AVS) 4.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Famalicao, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (1011 of 1472).
Next up
Famalicao next travel to Benfica on 30 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Famalicao: Benfica v Famalicao, Monday 30 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: AVS 0–1 Famalicao · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves
- Referee: A. Rodrigues
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): AVS 0 · draws 0 · Famalicao 2 · 5 goals/game
- Recent form: AVS 1W 2D 2L · Famalicao 3W 1D 1L
AVS 0–1 Famalicao (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AVS for / against | Line | Famalicao for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.67 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.43 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 13.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.71 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.17 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.86 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.67 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.57 for · 18.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.67 for · 2.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.86 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Rodrigues — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 8 matches.
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AVS
AVS Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | L. Realpe |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | J. de Haas |
| Simão n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 80 | 0.8 | 1.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 1.5 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 1.1 |
| Simão n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 80 | 0.6 |
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AVS Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Simão n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 80 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Simão n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 80 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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Famalicao
Famalicao Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Haas n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.3 | Aderllan Santos |
| L. Realpe n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.5 | C. Devenish |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 1.5 | — |
| L. Carević n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| T. van de Looi n 8 | 89.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinheiro n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| L. Realpe n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| J. de Haas n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| L. Carević n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| T. van de Looi n 8 | 89.1 | 1.6 |
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Famalicao Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Realpe n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| J. de Haas n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| L. Carević n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. van de Looi n 8 | 89.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Haas n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| L. Realpe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Carević n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. van de Looi n 8 | 89.1 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| AVS | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 0.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.90 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 305 | Passes | 377 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
AVS Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Aderllan Santos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| C. Devenish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Rivas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jaume Grau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| B. Akinsola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Duarte | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Guillem Molina | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rafael Barbosa | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ángel Algobia | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Kodisang sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Bruno Lourenço sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Guilherme Neiva sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Nenê sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jordi Escobar sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Famalicao Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Carević | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. de Haas | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Pedro Francisco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gustavo Sá | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Sorriso | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Mathias De Amorim | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pedro Santos | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Elisor | 69 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Marcos Peña | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| L. Realpe | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | RY | 5.9 |
| Ibrahima Ba sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| Gil Dias sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Zabiri sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Otar Mamageishvili sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind AVS v Famalicao — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-30 Famalicao 4–1 AVS
- 2024-11-03 AVS 2–3 Famalicao
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for AVS v Famalicao?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for AVS v Famalicao was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between AVS and Famalicao?
- In their last 2 meetings, AVS won 0, Famalicao won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AVS and Famalicao?
- Recent form — AVS 1W 2D 2L; Famalicao 3W 1D 1L.
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