This Matchweek

Casa PiaFC Porto

Casa Pia v FC Porto result

Full-time · Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Casa Pia · FC Porto · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto — FC Porto won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Porto won 4–1 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 September. Casa Pia are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Casa Pia: Henrique Araújo (43’ pen); FC Porto: André Silva (45’, assisted by Pablo Rosario), Jakub Kiwior (60’, assisted by Gabri Veiga), Borja Sainz (66’) and Santiago Giménez (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jakub Kiwior’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Casa Pia 1.59, FC Porto 2.60, from 15 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jose Bessa, Portugal showed five yellow cards — against 7.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Casa Pia: Kaly (53’), Geraldes (54’), David Sousa (87’) and Ivan Mandić (90’); FC Porto: Jakub Kiwior (45’).

What it changes

Casa Pia stay 18th after this result (six league matches played). Casa Pia have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Casa Pia have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC Porto stay first after this result (six league matches played). FC Porto have scored 25 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

FC Porto’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 6, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Santiago Giménez (FC Porto) 7.1, Silvi (Casa Pia) 6.2 and Pablo Rosario (FC Porto) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FC Porto to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.8% of the time in the last 90 days (106 of 125).

Next up

Casa Pia next travel to Alverca on 7 November 2026.

FC Porto next travel to Vitória SC on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Casa Pia: Alverca v Casa Pia, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for FC Porto: Vitória SC v FC Porto, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior
  • Referee: Jose Bessa, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Casa Pia 1 · draws 0 · FC Porto 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Casa Pia 0W 1D 4L · FC Porto 4W 0D 1L

Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.5
Corners
against 5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7 yellows
Referee · Jose Bessa, Portugal
27.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCasa Pia for / againstLineFC Porto for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Jose Bessa, Portugal — 7 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 27.83 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia Goalkeeper

Casa Pia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Gomes578389 min112.5 /9092.1 /9000 /90
Ivan Mandić16161 min710.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Casa Pia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Gomes n 577.8
2.54/2

Casa Pia Defensive

Casa Pia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
David Sousa590450 min112.2 /9071.4 /9040.8 /90367.2 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90
Geraldes590450 min71.4 /9051 /9030.6 /90193.8 /9061.2 /9000 /90
João Goulart574371 min41 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90174.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Abdu Conté378233 min41.5 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90124.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Pedro Rosas368204 min62.6 /9041.8 /9031.3 /90198.4 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
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Casa Pia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David Sousa n 890
1.58/3
0.11/0
J. Kiwior
Geraldes n 887.6
1.25/4
0.96/1
J. Kiwior
L. Ofori n 889.5
1.16/2
1.66/4
Gabri Veiga
André Gomes n 577.8
00/0
00/0
—
João Goulart n 880.1
1.14/3
0.73/2
—
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Casa Pia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
David Sousa n 890
2.47/6
Geraldes n 887.6
1.46/2
L. Ofori n 889.5
1.15/2
João Goulart n 880.1
0.74/1
Rochinha n 472.3
0.62/0
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Casa Pia Attacking

Casa Pia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Henrique Araújo465260 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9041.4 /9000 /90
A. Jatta459235 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9031.1 /90
K. Osundina24997 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
Cassiano23059 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
M. El Boukammiri13333 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Casa Pia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Sousa n 890
1.16/2
0.43/0
L. Ofori n 889.5
16/2
0.32/0
Geraldes n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
André Gomes n 577.8
00/0
00/0
João Goulart n 880.1
00/0
00/0
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Casa Pia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ofori n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
David Sousa n 890
00/0
00/0
Geraldes n 887.6
00/0
00/0
André Gomes n 577.8
00/0
00/0
João Goulart n 880.1
00/0
00/0
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FC Porto

FC Porto Goalkeeper

FC Porto — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Diogo Costa690540 min172.8 /9030.5 /9000 /90
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 887.8
2.73/3

FC Porto Defensive

FC Porto — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kiwior690540 min71.2 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90274.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
J. Bednarek581403 min30.7 /9081.8 /9040.9 /90235.1 /9051.1 /9000 /90
Alberto Baio574371 min81.9 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90235.6 /90122.9 /9000 /90
Z. Sanusi472288 min10.3 /9000 /9000 /90113.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Martim Fernandes461245 min51.8 /9020.7 /9000 /90114 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kiwior n 884.4
1.23/2
0.42/1
Geraldes
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
—
Pepê Aquino n 882.9
0.43/0
1.16/1
—
P. Rosario n 882.8
1.65/3
1.65/4
—
Gabri Veiga n 870.8
2.47/4
1.45/3
L. Ofori
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FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 884.4
1.76/4
Pepê Aquino n 882.9
0.31/1
P. Rosario n 882.8
1.46/3
Gabri Veiga n 870.8
2.77/5
André Silva n 668.7
0.72/1
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FC Porto Attacking

FC Porto — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pepê Aquino685509 min00 /9030.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9020.4 /90
André Silva669412 min20.4 /9000 /9071.5 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
William667403 min20.4 /9020.4 /90112.5 /9071.6 /9071.6 /9040.9 /90
Borja Sainz525123 min10.7 /9000 /9053.7 /9042.9 /9032.2 /9010.7 /90
D. Gül24284 min00 /9000 /9033.2 /9000 /9033.2 /9011.1 /90
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FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 882.9
14/1
0.11/0
P. Rosario n 882.8
0.11/0
00/0
Gabri Veiga n 870.8
1.46/2
14/2
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FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
J. Kiwior n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 882.9
00/0
0.43/0
P. Rosario n 882.8
00/0
00/0
Gabri Veiga n 870.8
0.53/0
0.53/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Casa PiaFC Porto
36%Possession64%
1.59Expected goals (xG)2.60
15Shots17
5Shots on target4
7Shots off target6
3Blocked shots7
6Shots inside the box12
5Corners10
0Offsides1
13Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
240Passes409
68%Pass accuracy82%

Casa Pia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ivan Mandić90000000Y4.6
Geraldes90000000Y5.5
Kaly90000002Y5.7
David Sousa90000003Y6.2
Pedro Rosas9000003105.3
Silvi9000211107.9
L. Ofori9000001306.3
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo8800400306.6
M. El Boukammiri7400211106.5
Henrique Araújo7410211007
B. Pauwels6800001006.3
E. Maurin sub2200110006.5
Cassiano sub1600111006.3
JP sub1600001307.2
Aymen Zouin sub20000000–

FC Porto Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Diogo Costa9000000007.6
J. Bednarek9000100007
J. Kiwior90101101Y7.9
Francisco Moura9000000207
P. Rosario9001102206.7
Pepê Aquino9000000106.2
Alberto Baio8000103106.2
Gabri Veiga8001102007.2
Hwang In-Beom7000002106.9
William6200101006.3
André Silva6210211007
Borja Sainz sub2810110107.6
S. Giménez sub2810110107.3
A. Varela sub2000000006.3
Martim Fernandes sub1000000006.6
S. Fofana sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Casa Pia v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Casa PiaLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FC PortoWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Casa Pia 1 · 0 draws · FC Porto 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-02 Casa Pia 2–1 FC Porto
  • 2025-08-24 FC Porto 4–0 Casa Pia
  • 2025-04-12 Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto
  • 2024-12-02 FC Porto 2–0 Casa Pia
  • 2024-04-21 Casa Pia 1–2 FC Porto
  • 2023-12-09 FC Porto 3–1 Casa Pia
League standing · 2026/27
Casa Pia#17 pos7 pts10 pl-14 GD
FC Porto#1 pos30 pts10 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
Casa Pia scored0.5
FC Porto scored2.5
Casa Pia conceded1.9
FC Porto conceded0.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Casa Pia v FC Porto?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Casa Pia v FC Porto was Away win (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and FC Porto?
In their last 6 meetings, Casa Pia won 1, FC Porto won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Casa Pia and FC Porto?
Recent form — Casa Pia 0W 1D 4L; FC Porto 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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