Estrela v Maritimo prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Estrela v Maritimo, Primeira Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Estrela host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Estrela have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.57. Estrela have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Estrela have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Maritimo have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 2.00. Maritimo have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Maritimo have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Estrela (12th) and Maritimo (14th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Estrela the stronger side, 53 rating points above Maritimo (Estrela 1376, Maritimo 1322, after at least 114 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 June 2023, finished Maritimo 2–1 Estrela.

Team news

Predicted Estrela XI (4-2-3-1): L. Linck, S. Leković, M. Scholze, P. Luan, R. Soares, A. Marcus, L. Zvonarek, S. Serra, I. Stoica, E. Doue, L. Antonetti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Marcus (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) and I. Stoica (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Estrela’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estrela (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Marcus averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 893 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. I. Stoica averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Maritimo XI (4-2-3-1): F. Vieites, R. Correia, G. Szalai, P. Henrique, I. Julião, R. Guzzo, R. Andrade, M. Tejón, M. Dominguez, I. Alani, A. Butzke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fran Vieites (4.3 per match over four appearances) and Martín Tejón (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Maritimo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Maritimo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fran Vieites averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Martín Tejón averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 836 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head (last 2): Estrela 1 · draws 0 · Maritimo 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Estrela 1W 0D 4L · Maritimo 1W 1D 3L

Estrela v Maritimo (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.14 / 3.71

Corners

against 4.71 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.71 / 3.14

Shots on target

against 4.14 / 6.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 2.14 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Estrela for / against	Line	Maritimo for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.14 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.71 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.14 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.43 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Estrela

Estrela Goalkeeper

Estrela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Linck	10	90900 min	272.7 /90	101 /90	00 /90

Estrela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Linck n 8	90	2.4 8/3

Estrela Defensive

Estrela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Scholze	10	75746 min	323.9 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90	425.1 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90
S. Leković	9	90810 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	40.4 /90	384.2 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Rafa Soares	9	87780 min	131.5 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	182.1 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
Luan Patrick	6	90540 min	152.5 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	203.3 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
Jefferson Encada	6	28166 min	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	168.7 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
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Estrela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	1.6 8/3	1.6 7/4	—
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	0.9 5/2	1.3 4/3	—
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.6 8/3	1.6 6/4	—
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.6 4/0	0.7 3/2	—
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Estrela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	1.4 5/3
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	1.4 6/2
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.2 5/3
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	3.6 7/6
I. Stoica n 8	67.9	1.7 7/2
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Estrela Attacking

Estrela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Antonetti	10	89893 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	252.5 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
A. Marcus	10	89893 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	191.9 /90	101 /90	141.4 /90	212.1 /90
L. Zvonarek	10	85854 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90	90.9 /90	50.5 /90
I. Stoica	10	68681 min	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	202.6 /90	60.8 /90	111.5 /90	101.3 /90
Eddy Doue	9	80722 min	00 /90	30.4 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	101.2 /90	121.5 /90
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Estrela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	2.4 7/5	0.5 4/0
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	1.9 8/5	0.9 4/3
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.3 6/3	0.1 1/0
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Estrela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Pastor	6	90540 min	213.5 /90	111.8 /90	00 /90
Fran Vieites	4	90360 min	164 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 6	90	3.5 5/5
Fran Vieites n 4	90	4 4/4

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Paulo Henrique	10	90900 min	90.9 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90	484.8 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Romain Correia	10	90900 min	101 /90	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	373.7 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Igor Julião	10	89888 min	161.6 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	404.1 /90	212.1 /90	40.4 /90
Rafael Fernandes	7	90627 min	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	365.2 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
G. Szalai	4	86344 min	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	133.4 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.6 3/1	1.4 5/4	—
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.8 5/1	—
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	2.5 8/6	1.1 5/4	—
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.2 6/3	1.1 5/2	—
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.1 6/2	2.5 7/5	—
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Romain Correia n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.8 4/2
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	1.1 5/2
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.5 6/3
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.5 6/3
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrián Butzke	10	82817 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90	121.3 /90	60.7 /90
M. Diouri	6	53315 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	20.6 /90
Samuel Bamba	5	24119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
B. Limbombe	4	47188 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye	3	2370 min	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	22.6 /90	00 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.9 7/4	0.5 2/2
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Estrela v Maritimo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EstrelaLLWLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

MaritimoDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Estrela 1 · 0 draws · Maritimo 1 · 3 goals/game

2023-06-11 Maritimo 2–1 Estrela
2023-06-03 Estrela 2–1 Maritimo

League standing · 2026/27

Estrela#12 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD

Maritimo#14 pos8 pts10 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Estrela scored1.5

Maritimo scored0.9

Estrela conceded1.9

Maritimo conceded2.1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Maritimo?: In their last 2 meetings, Estrela won 1, Maritimo won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estrela and Maritimo?: Recent form — Estrela 1W 0D 4L; Maritimo 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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