Estrela v SC Braga result
Team pages: Estrela · SC Braga
Estrela 3–3 SC Braga — this Primeira Liga match was drawn.
The result
Estrela and SC Braga drew 3–3 at Estádio José Gomes in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 3 January. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: SC Braga, from fewer shots (10 to 11), created the better chances, 3.30 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — SC Braga: João Moutinho (12’ pen), Fran Navarro (51’) and R. Zalazar (64’); Estrela: Kikas (16’, assisted by Paulo Moreira), Jovane Cabral (69’, assisted by Jefferson Encada) and A. Marcus (73’).
Discipline
H. Carvalho showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estrela: Oumar Ngom (11’) and Jovane Cabral (49’); SC Braga: Bright Arrey-Mbi (35’).
What it changes
Estrela move down from ninth to 10th (17 league matches played).
SC Braga stay fifth after this result (17 league matches played).
With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 17, across nine matches. Estrela are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. SC Braga are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Moutinho (SC Braga) 7.9, Paulo Moreira (Estrela) 6.1 and Jovane Cabral (Estrela) 5.5 led the match.
Next up
Estrela next host Casa Pia on 24 October 2026.
SC Braga next host Gent on 22 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Estrela: Estrela v Casa Pia, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v Gent, Thursday 22 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Estrela 3–3 SC Braga · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio José Gomes · Amadora
- Referee: H. Carvalho
- Head-to-head (last 4): Estrela 0 · draws 1 · SC Braga 3 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Estrela 2W 1D 2L · SC Braga 3W 1D 1L
Estrela 3–3 SC Braga (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estrela for / against | Line | SC Braga for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.57 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.29 for · 9.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.57 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.13 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.29 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: H. Carvalho — 3.67 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 26.78 fouls over 9 matches (1.89 to the home side, 1.78 to the away side).
Estrela
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 23.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 59.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | Fran Navarro |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 8 | 53.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Otávio n 7 | 56.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Jorge Meireles n 8 | 41.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 23.1 | 2.9 | 1 |
| L. Antonetti n 8 | 30.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| S. Lopes Cabral n 8 | 88.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 59.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Kikas n 8 | 77 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lopes Cabral n 8 | 88.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Kikas n 8 | 77 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 44.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Jorge Meireles n 8 | 41.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 23.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 8 | 53.6 | 3.1 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 87.9 | 2.8 |
| Otávio n 7 | 56.3 | 2.7 |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 44.5 | 2.3 |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 82.1 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
SC Braga
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Rodrigues n 8 | 29.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | — |
| Fran Navarro n 8 | 35.1 | 2.6 | 0 | Jovane Cabral |
| A. El Ouazzani n 8 | 64 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo n 8 | 23 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Horta n 8 | 78.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. El Ouazzani n 8 | 64 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Ricardo Horta n 8 | 78.3 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 68 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Gabri Martínez n 8 | 57 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Fran Navarro n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zalazar n 8 | 63.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Víctor Gómez n 8 | 71.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Pau Victor n 8 | 68 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Ricardo Horta n 8 | 78.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 72.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabri Martínez n 8 | 57 | 3.8 |
| Gabriel Moscardo n 8 | 23 | 2.4 |
| G. Lagerbielke n 8 | 72.8 | 2.3 |
| João Moutinho n 8 | 58.1 | 2.1 |
| F. Grillitsch n 8 | 42.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček n 8 | 90 | 3 |
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Match statistics & details
| Estrela | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 1.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.30 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 4 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 366 | Passes | 501 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Estrela player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Jefferson Encada | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| O. Ngom | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 5.5 |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Marcus | 88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jovane Cabral | 80 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| Kikas | 79 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Otávio | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alexandre Sola | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Jorge Meireles sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rodrigo Pinho sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Stoica sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alisson sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
SC Braga player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Víctor Gómez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Vitor Carvalho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.9 |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Leonardo Lelo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pau Victor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Fran Navarro | 77 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Dorgeles | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| João Moutinho | 68 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gabriel Moscardo | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Zalazar sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Gabri Martínez sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| F. Grillitsch sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Diego Rodrigues sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estrela v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-01-19 Estrela 0–1 SC Braga
- 2024-08-11 SC Braga 1–1 Estrela
- 2024-03-02 SC Braga 3–0 Estrela
- 2023-09-28 Estrela 2–4 SC Braga
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and SC Braga?
- In their last 4 meetings, Estrela won 0, SC Braga won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estrela and SC Braga?
- Recent form — Estrela 2W 1D 2L; SC Braga 3W 1D 1L.
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