Estrela v Sporting CP result

Full-time · Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP

Primeira Liga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 20:30 BST · Estádio José Gomes

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estrela · Sporting CP · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP — Sporting CP won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sporting CP won 1–0 at Estádio José Gomes in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 11 April.

Sporting CP have scored 89 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sporting CP: Daniel Bragança (59’, assisted by Trincão).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Bragança’s goal on 59 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Estrela 0.37, Sporting CP 0.62, from 9 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Silva showed four yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estrela: K. Höög Jansson (45+2’), Jefferson Encada (88’) and Sydney van Hooijdonk (90’); Sporting CP: Rui Silva (87’).

What it changes

Estrela stay 14th after this result (29 league matches played). Estrela have scored 38 goals, the 10th-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Estrela have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 19 clubs.

Sporting CP stay second after this result (28 league matches played). Sporting CP have conceded 24 goals, the second-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Scholze (Estrela) 6.3, S. Leković (Estrela) 4.7 and Daniel Bragança (Sporting CP) 4.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Estrela, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Estrela next host Benfica on 8 November 2026.

Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estrela: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
Venue: Estádio José Gomes · Amadora
Referee: D. Silva
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Estrela 0 · draws 0 · Sporting CP 5 · 4.2 goals/game
Recent form: Estrela 1W 2D 2L · Sporting CP 3W 0D 2L

Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 4.71

Corners

against 6.13 / 3.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.38 / 5.71

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 2.14

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

5.27 yellows

Referee · D. Silva

30.73 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Estrela for / against	Line	Sporting CP for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.71 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.71 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 16.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.14 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: D. Silva — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 30.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Estrela

Estrela Goalkeeper

Estrela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Renan Ribeiro	28	902520 min	863.1 /90	471.7 /90	10 /90

Estrela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Renan Ribeiro n 8	90	3.2 8/6

Estrela Defensive

Estrela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luan Patrick	27	872348 min	351.3 /90	311.2 /90	281.1 /90	793 /90	210.8 /90	20.1 /90
Bernardo Schappo	23	841939 min	421.9 /90	241.1 /90	211 /90	1547.1 /90	271.3 /90	60.3 /90
Jefferson Encada	19	671274 min	211.5 /90	141 /90	80.6 /90	574 /90	191.3 /90	40.3 /90
Otávio	16	661054 min	292.5 /90	312.6 /90	70.6 /90	736.2 /90	252.1 /90	40.3 /90
A. Chernev	12	83990 min	181.6 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90	474.3 /90	121.1 /90	30.3 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Estrela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renan Ribeiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Luan Patrick n 8	84.3	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
A. Marcus n 8	88.3	0.9 5/2	1.8 6/4	Trincão
I. Stoica n 8	55.9	0.8 4/0	2.6 7/4	Trincão
Paulo Moreira n 8	90	1.9 8/6	1.6 5/4	—
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luan Patrick n 8	84.3	1.9 8/5
A. Marcus n 8	88.3	1.5 8/3
I. Stoica n 8	55.9	1 4/1
Paulo Moreira n 8	90	2.3 7/5
Bernardo Schappo n 8	83.5	1.8 7/5
See more players · Pro

Estrela Attacking

Estrela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Stoica	25	481206 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	191.4 /90	70.5 /90	151.1 /90	50.4 /90
Rodrigo Pinho	18	41746 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	242.9 /90	121.4 /90	70.8 /90	40.5 /90
Kikas	17	711213 min	60.4 /90	10.1 /90	251.9 /90	161.2 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
Jorge Meireles	12	53639 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	71 /90	91.3 /90
L. Antonetti	6	42254 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	41.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Renan Ribeiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luan Patrick n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Marcus n 8	88.3	1.5 7/4	0.6 5/0
I. Stoica n 8	55.9	1.8 5/2	0.6 2/1
Paulo Moreira n 8	90	1 5/3	0.4 3/0
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Renan Ribeiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luan Patrick n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Marcus n 8	88.3	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1
I. Stoica n 8	55.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Paulo Moreira n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rui Silva	35	903155 min	862.5 /90	290.8 /90	00 /90
João Virgínia	3	90270 min	62 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 8	90.8	2 6/3

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gonçalo Inácio	35	862995 min	501.5 /90	321 /90	220.7 /90	1474.4 /90	230.7 /90	40.1 /90
M. Araújo	32	792534 min	782.8 /90	391.4 /90	20.1 /90	1906.7 /90	552 /90	110.4 /90
Iván Fresneda	31	792453 min	511.9 /90	230.8 /90	60.2 /90	1184.3 /90	250.9 /90	60.2 /90
O. Diomande	19	871647 min	181 /90	170.9 /90	80.4 /90	643.5 /90	281.5 /90	40.2 /90
G. Vagiannidis	17	651102 min	282.3 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90	675.5 /90	171.4 /90	30.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Trincão n 8	88.5	1.3 6/3	0.4 3/0	I. Stoica
L. Suárez n 8	88.1	1.1 6/2	2.6 8/6	—
Rui Silva n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	88.5	0.8 6/0	0.5 4/0	—
Morten Hjulmand n 8	82.3	0.4 2/1	2.2 7/3	—
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Trincão n 8	88.5	0.8 4/1
L. Suárez n 8	88.1	0.5 3/1
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	88.5	2 7/4
Morten Hjulmand n 8	82.3	2.9 7/5
M. Araújo n 8	85	3.6 6/5
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Suárez	36	832971 min	290.9 /90	50.2 /90	1123.4 /90	652 /90	471.4 /90	321 /90
F. Ioannidis	14	45623 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90	111.6 /90	91.3 /90
Alisson Santos	6	31187 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	94.3 /90	41.9 /90	21 /90	115.3 /90
S. Faye	5	22110 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Rafael Ferreira Nel	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Trincão n 8	88.5	1 5/2	0.6 3/1
L. Suárez n 8	88.1	2.2 8/6	1.7 8/3
Rui Silva n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Morten Hjulmand n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Trincão n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
L. Suárez n 8	88.1	0.9 6/1	0 0/0
Rui Silva n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Morten Hjulmand n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estrela		Sporting CP
33%	Possession	67%
0.37	Expected goals (xG)	0.62
9	Shots	10
3	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	4
2	Blocked shots	4
5	Shots inside the box	5
4	Corners	13
1	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	16
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
291	Passes	588
77%	Pass accuracy	86%

Estrela Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Renan Ribeiro	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Scholze	90	1	1	1	3	0	7.2
S. Leković	90	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Bernardo Schappo	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Höög Jansson	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
A. Marcus	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Eddy Doue	77	2	0	0	0	0	6.2
Rodrigo Pinho	77	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Bruno Langa	76	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
Robinho	65	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
I. Stoica	62	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Jovane Cabral sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Jorge Meireles sub	25	0	0	2	1	0	6.3
Otávio sub	14	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
Jefferson Encada sub	13	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
S. van Hooijdonk sub	13	1	1	1	0	Y	6.3

Sporting CP Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Rui Silva	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	8
Eduardo Quaresma	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Z. Debast	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
M. Araújo	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
Morten Hjulmand	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
L. Suárez	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
Geny Catamo	89	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
Trincão	89	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	5.9
Daniel Bragança	67	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
Pote	67	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Iván Fresneda	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
G. Vagiannidis sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Morita sub	23	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Geovany Tcherno Quenda sub	23	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
O. Diomande sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Rafael Ferreira Nel sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Estrela v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EstrelaDDLWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Sporting CPLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Estrela 0 · 0 draws · Sporting CP 5 · 4.2 goals/game

2025-11-30 Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela
2025-03-29 Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP
2024-11-01 Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela
2024-03-29 Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP
2023-11-05 Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela

League standing · 2025/26

Estrela#15 pos30 pts34 pl-18 GD

Sporting CP#2 pos82 pts34 pl+65 GD

Goals per game

Estrela scored1.12

Sporting CP scored2.62

Estrela conceded1.65

Sporting CP conceded0.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Estrela v Sporting CP?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Estrela v Sporting CP was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Sporting CP?: In their last 5 meetings, Estrela won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estrela and Sporting CP?: Recent form — Estrela 1W 2D 2L; Sporting CP 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.