This Matchweek

MaritimoBenfica

Maritimo v Benfica result

Full-time · Maritimo 0–3 Benfica

Primeira Liga · · Estadio do Maritimo

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The model’s pre-match pick

Maritimo 0–3 Benfica — Benfica won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Benfica won 3–0 at Estadio do Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September. Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Benfica led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Benfica: L. Barreiro (7’; 71’, assisted by Vangelis Pavlidis) and G. Prestianni (82’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Barreiro’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Maritimo 0.12, Benfica 1.31, from 6 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Maritimo: Vladan Danilović (40’) and Igor Julião (42’); Benfica: Heorhii Sudakov (41’), Tomás Araújo (61’) and Alessandro Circati (66’).

What it changes

Maritimo move down from fifth to eighth (five league matches played). Maritimo have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Maritimo have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Benfica move up from fifth to second (four league matches played). Benfica have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Benfica have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Maritimo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Benfica are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Barreiro (Benfica) 10.8, G. Prestianni (Benfica) 7.4 and Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Benfica are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Maritimo, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Maritimo next travel to Estoril on 8 November 2026.

Benfica next travel to Estrela on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Maritimo: Estoril v Maritimo, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Benfica: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Maritimo 0–3 Benfica · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estadio do Maritimo · Funchal
  • Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Maritimo 0 · draws 0 · Benfica 6 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Maritimo 2W 1D 2L · Benfica 4W 1D 0L

Maritimo 0–3 Benfica (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 3.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 6.29
Corners
against 3.8 / 1.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.2 / 8.43
Shots on target
against 4.4 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.8 / 0.86
Cards
against 2.6 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMaritimo for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
3.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.8 against n 5
9.5standard
6.29 for · 1.29 against n 7
Shots
9.6 for · 10.6 against n 5
19.5standard
17.14 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.2 for · 4.4 against n 5
8.5standard
8.43 for · 1.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.6 for · 9.6 against n 5
21.5standard
10.14 for · 10.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.8 for · 2.6 against n 5
3.5standard
0.86 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal.

Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Pastor490360 min174.3 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 490
4.34/4

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Igor Julião490360 min112.8 /9041 /9000 /90184.5 /9041 /9020.5 /90
Paulo Henrique490360 min30.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90174.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Romain Correia490360 min30.8 /9041 /9020.5 /90102.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Rafael Fernandes489357 min30.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90184.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Rodrigo Andrade490358 min112.8 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90215.3 /90102.5 /9000 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 490
1.52/2
0.52/0
A. Bah
Igor Julião n 490
13/1
0.52/0
S. Dahl
Romain Correia n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Bah
Alfonso Pastor n 490
00/0
00/0
—
Rodrigo Andrade n 489.5
2.54/2
14/0
L. Barreiro
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Igor Julião n 490
2.84/3
Paulo Henrique n 490
0.82/1
Romain Correia n 490
0.83/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 489.5
2.84/3
Rafael Fernandes n 489.3
0.82/1
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Adrián Butzke482328 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9000 /90
Samuel Bamba32576 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye22447 min11.9 /9000 /9011.9 /9011.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodrigo Andrade490358 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Martín Tejón485339 min10.3 /9010.3 /90102.7 /9051.3 /9061.6 /9082.1 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 490
1.83/2
0.52/0
Romain Correia n 490
0.52/0
00/0
Igor Julião n 490
00/0
00/0
Alfonso Pastor n 490
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 489.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 490
0.31/0
00/0
Igor Julião n 490
00/0
00/0
Romain Correia n 490
00/0
00/0
Alfonso Pastor n 490
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 489.5
00/0
00/0
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Benfica

Benfica Goalkeeper

Benfica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Samuel Soares392277 min31 /9031 /9000 /90
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Samuel Soares n 885.3
2.86/4

Benfica Defensive

Benfica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Clément Lenglet392277 min10.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9082.6 /9041.3 /9000 /90
S. Dahl392277 min51.6 /9041.3 /9000 /90113.6 /9051.6 /9000 /90
A. Bah387262 min41.4 /9072.4 /9000 /90134.5 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Tomás Araújo382246 min31.1 /9031.1 /9000 /9051.8 /9051.8 /9010.4 /90
L. Barreiro385256 min51.8 /9000 /9000 /90124.2 /9062.1 /9000 /90
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Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Clément Lenglet n 392.3
1.32/2
0.31/0
—
S. Dahl n 890.9
1.25/3
0.42/1
Igor Julião
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Bah n 872.1
1.15/2
2.28/4
Romain Correia
L. Barreiro n 877.9
1.76/3
1.77/2
Rodrigo Andrade
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Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Dahl n 890.9
2.48/6
Clément Lenglet n 392.3
0.31/0
A. Bah n 872.1
2.27/4
L. Barreiro n 877.9
1.77/4
G. Prestianni n 872.1
1.46/1
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Benfica Attacking

Benfica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Pavlidis379236 min51.9 /9010.4 /90103.8 /9083.1 /9051.9 /9031.1 /90
A. Schjelderup33091 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
J. Duran22346 min12 /9000 /9023.9 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
D. Lukebakio12121 min00 /9000 /9028.6 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Barreiro385256 min00 /9010.4 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90
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Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clément Lenglet n 392.3
0.62/0
0.31/0
S. Dahl n 890.9
0.42/1
0.22/0
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
00/0
A. Bah n 872.1
1.15/2
0.53/0
L. Barreiro n 877.9
1.27/1
0.75/0
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Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Clément Lenglet n 392.3
0.31/0
00/0
S. Dahl n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
00/0
A. Bah n 872.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Barreiro n 877.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MaritimoBenfica
40%Possession60%
0.12Expected goals (xG)1.31
6Shots11
1Shots on target6
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots0
3Shots inside the box9
3Corners5
1Offsides2
22Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
331Passes514
76%Pass accuracy85%

Maritimo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rodrigo Andrade9000000106
Alfonso Pastor9000000005.7
Martín Tejón9000000307.2
Paulo Henrique9000000105.6
Rafael Fernandes9000101206.2
Romain Correia9000000106
Raphael Guzzo8900002306.3
Igor Julião78000003Y6.5
Adrián Butzke7800100106.7
B. Limbombe6600000006.2
V. Danilović66000001Y6
Samuel Bamba sub2400000006.5
I. Ayuma sub2400001006.3
Nilton Varela sub1200110106.5
Maurice Osei Boakye sub1200000006.3
M. Dominguez sub10000000–

Benfica Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Prestianni9010331208
Clément Lenglet9000000307.9
S. Dahl9000002106.6
L. Barreiro9020220109
Tomás Araújo90000001Y7.3
Samuel Soares9000000006.9
V. Pavlidis8201201307.2
João Palhinha8200310407.5
H. Sudakov62000022Y7
Rafa6200001206.6
A. Bah1700000006.7
J. Kamiński sub7300100106.2
A. Circati sub28000001Y6.9
A. Schjelderup sub2800001006.9
E. Barrenechea sub800000006.7
J. Duran sub800000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Maritimo v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MaritimoLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BenficaDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Maritimo 0 · 0 draws · Benfica 6 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2023-03-12 Maritimo 0–3 Benfica
  • 2022-09-18 Benfica 5–0 Maritimo
  • 2022-04-30 Maritimo 0–1 Benfica
  • 2021-12-19 Benfica 7–1 Maritimo
  • 2021-04-05 Benfica 1–0 Maritimo
  • 2020-11-30 Maritimo 1–2 Benfica
League standing · 2026/27
Maritimo#14 pos8 pts10 pl-12 GD
Benfica#2 pos25 pts10 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Maritimo scored0.9
Benfica scored2.7
Maritimo conceded2.1
Benfica conceded0.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Maritimo v Benfica?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Maritimo v Benfica was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Maritimo and Benfica?
In their last 6 meetings, Maritimo won 0, Benfica won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Maritimo and Benfica?
Recent form — Maritimo 2W 1D 2L; Benfica 4W 1D 0L.

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