This Matchweek

MoreirenseMaritimo

Moreirense v Maritimo result

Full-time · Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo

Primeira Liga · · Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo — Moreirense won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Moreirense beat Maritimo 3–1 at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in the Primeira Liga on Monday 14 September. Maritimo are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Moreirense led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Moreirense: Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça (18’, assisted by Tiago Andrade), Leonardo Vonić (29’, assisted by Kiko Bondoso) and Alexandre Duville-Parsemain (86’ pen); Maritimo: Romain Correia (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Moreirense 2.00, Maritimo 0.76, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Moreirense: Kiko Bondoso (11’); Maritimo: Rodrigo Andrade (8’), Maxime Dominguez (59’) and Israel Ayuma (90+3’).

What it changes

Moreirense move up from 13th to 11th (six league matches played). Moreirense have scored seven goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Moreirense have conceded 13 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Maritimo move down from eighth to 10th (six league matches played). Maritimo have scored seven goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Maritimo have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Romain Correia (Maritimo) 6.9, Tiago Andrade (Moreirense) 6.5 and Alexandre Duville-Parsemain (Moreirense) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Moreirense next host Santa Clara on 28 November 2026.

Maritimo next host Nacional on 27 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Moreirense: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Maritimo: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Conegos
  • Referee: F. Melo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Moreirense 3 · draws 1 · Maritimo 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Moreirense 1W 1D 3L · Maritimo 2W 1D 2L

Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.83
Corners
against 4.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.88 / 2.83
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
3.5 / 1.83
Cards
against 2 / 2.67 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMoreirense for / againstLineMaritimo for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
2.25our book
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.83 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
8.75 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9 for · 10.67 against n 6
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.83 for · 4.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.33 for · 10.33 against n 6
Cards shown
3.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.83 for · 2.67 against n 6

Referee: F. Melo.

Moreirense

Moreirense Goalkeeper

Moreirense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Ferreira592458 min183.5 /90122.4 /9000 /90
Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 891
3.57/4

Moreirense Defensive

Moreirense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gilberto Batista592458 min71.4 /9091.8 /9030.6 /90193.7 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
Kiko589445 min132.6 /90102 /9020.4 /90224.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
Maracás487349 min30.8 /9041 /9041 /90184.6 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Dinis Pinto473290 min61.9 /9030.9 /9000 /90175.3 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos369207 min31.3 /9000 /9000 /90125.2 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
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Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gilberto Batista n 891
1.14/3
0.22/0
Paulo Henrique
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
0.53/1
—
Kiko n 875.1
1.56/3
0.95/1
Rafael Fernandes
A. Duville-Parsemain n 582.6
1.53/3
0.92/1
—
N. John n 873.5
1.26/2
1.45/3
Rodrigo Andrade
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Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gilberto Batista n 891
1.56/4
Kiko n 875.1
2.88/6
A. Duville-Parsemain n 582.6
0.21/0
N. John n 873.5
1.76/3
Landerson n 863.8
1.15/1
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Moreirense Attacking

Moreirense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Duville-Parsemain583413 min00 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9000 /90
Kiko Bondoso426105 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
Tiago Andrade32574 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
N. John573363 min10.2 /9000 /9041 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
Landerson571357 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90
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Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gilberto Batista n 891
0.11/0
0.11/0
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
00/0
Kiko n 875.1
0.96/0
0.32/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 582.6
1.14/1
0.73/0
N. John n 873.5
1.46/2
0.84/1
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Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
0.11/0
Gilberto Batista n 891
00/0
00/0
Kiko n 875.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 582.6
00/0
0.21/0
N. John n 873.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Pastor590450 min204 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 590
45/5

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Paulo Henrique590450 min40.8 /9030.6 /9000 /90193.8 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Romain Correia590450 min40.8 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90132.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Rafael Fernandes589447 min51 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90224.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Igor Julião588438 min142.9 /9071.4 /9000 /90244.9 /9081.6 /9030.6 /90
Rodrigo Andrade590448 min122.4 /9051 /9020.4 /90265.2 /90132.6 /9000 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 590
1.43/2
0.42/0
Gilberto Batista
Romain Correia n 590
0.62/1
0.42/0
—
Alfonso Pastor n 590
00/0
0.21/0
—
Rodrigo Andrade n 589.6
2.65/3
1.25/1
N. John
Rafael Fernandes n 589.4
0.83/1
0.41/1
Kiko
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 590
0.83/1
Romain Correia n 590
0.84/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 589.6
2.45/3
Rafael Fernandes n 589.4
13/2
Igor Julião n 587.6
2.95/4
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Adrián Butzke581406 min10.2 /9000 /9071.6 /9010.2 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Samuel Bamba425100 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
B. Limbombe348143 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.9 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye22447 min11.9 /9000 /9011.9 /9011.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodrigo Andrade590448 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 590
1.43/2
0.42/0
Romain Correia n 590
0.42/0
00/0
Alfonso Pastor n 590
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 589.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Rafael Fernandes n 589.4
0.42/0
00/0
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 590
0.21/0
00/0
Romain Correia n 590
00/0
00/0
Alfonso Pastor n 590
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Andrade n 589.6
00/0
00/0
Rafael Fernandes n 589.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MoreirenseMaritimo
38%Possession62%
2.00Expected goals (xG)0.76
11Shots9
5Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box6
3Corners5
14Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves1
335Passes539
80%Pass accuracy84%

Moreirense Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Andrade9001213106.9
Gilberto Batista9000000206.9
Kiko9000001106.9
Dinis Pinto9000101106.9
M. Stjepanović9000000006.6
André Ferreira9000000006.6
Maracás8100000207.2
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça8110110006.9
N. John6900000206.9
Kiko Bondoso61010010Y6.9
L. Vonić6110220107
A. Duville-Parsemain sub2910110007.2
Landerson sub2900000006.6
Rodri Alonso sub2100000006.9
Kevyn Monteiro sub900100006.6
Chipyoka Songa sub900100006.7

Maritimo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Adrián Butzke9000000006.9
Romain Correia9010110007.9
Rafael Fernandes9000000206.7
Paulo Henrique9000001105.6
Igor Julião9000002106
Alfonso Pastor9000000105.9
Raphael Guzzo8100004307.2
Martín Tejón8100200106.5
V. Danilović7100000106.9
Rodrigo Andrade45001100Y6.5
B. Limbombe4500000006.3
I. Ayuma sub45000001Y7.3
M. Dominguez sub45000000Y6.2
Samuel Bamba sub1900000006.3
M. Bassouamina sub900000006.3
Maurice Osei Boakye sub900100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Moreirense v Maritimo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoreirenseDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
MaritimoWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Moreirense 3 · 1 draw · Maritimo 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2022-03-06 Moreirense 0–1 Maritimo
  • 2021-10-01 Maritimo 0–0 Moreirense
  • 2021-03-07 Maritimo 0–2 Moreirense
  • 2020-10-25 Moreirense 2–1 Maritimo
  • 2020-03-08 Moreirense 2–0 Maritimo
  • 2019-09-28 Maritimo 2–1 Moreirense
League standing · 2026/27
Moreirense#9 pos14 pts11 pl-5 GD
Maritimo#14 pos8 pts10 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Moreirense scored1.18
Maritimo scored0.9
Moreirense conceded1.64
Maritimo conceded2.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Moreirense v Maritimo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Moreirense v Maritimo was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Moreirense and Maritimo?
In their last 6 meetings, Moreirense won 3, Maritimo won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Moreirense and Maritimo?
Recent form — Moreirense 1W 1D 3L; Maritimo 2W 1D 2L.

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