NacionalAVS

Nacional v AVS result

Full-time · Nacional 1–2 AVS

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nacional · AVS

The model’s pre-match pick

Nacional 1–2 AVS — AVS won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AVS won 2–1 at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 2 May. AVS are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Nacional: Filipe Soares (4’); AVS: Pedro Lima (22’, assisted by B. Akinsola) and Guilherme Neiva (63’, assisted by D. Duarte). Zé Vitor (90+3’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Guilherme Neiva’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Nacional 1.83, AVS 1.64, from 25 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Torres showed six yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nacional: Gabriel Veron (41’), Chiheb Labidi (55’), Zé Vitor (58’) and Zé Vitor (90+3’); AVS: Paulo Vitor (45’) and Adriel (89’).

What it changes

Nacional move down from 13th to 14th (32 league matches played).

AVS stay 18th after this result (32 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pedro Lima (AVS) 8.2, José Gomes (Nacional) 7.2 and Filipe Soares (Nacional) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Nacional are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AVS, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nacional next host Academico Viseu on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nacional 1–2 AVS · Primeira Liga
  • Referee: M. Torres
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Nacional 1 · draws 2 · AVS 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nacional 3W 0D 2L · AVS 0W 4D 1L

Nacional 1–2 AVS (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4
Corners
against 7.25 / 6.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.4 yellows
Referee · M. Torres
25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNacional for / againstLineAVS for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.75 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: M. Torres — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kaique25902250 min823.3 /90311.2 /9030.1 /90
Lucas França690540 min183 /90101.7 /9000 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kaique n 890
3.56/5
Lucas França n 890
36/4

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Zé Vitor28892493 min552 /90411.5 /90240.9 /901595.7 /90521.9 /9080.3 /90
Léo Santos28872449 min250.9 /90281 /90261 /901154.2 /90361.3 /90120.4 /90
José Gomes24852045 min331.5 /90170.7 /90110.5 /90934.1 /90210.9 /9020.1 /90
A. Núñez17861454 min281.7 /90140.9 /9040.2 /90493 /90241.5 /9020.1 /90
João Aurélio15841253 min332.4 /90201.4 /9050.4 /90765.5 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ramírez n 886.8
1.66/3
1.68/4
—
Paulinho Bóia n 886.5
0.95/2
2.68/6
B. Akinsola
Zé Vitor n 890
2.68/6
0.84/2
—
Léo Santos n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
—
Matheus Dias n 881
1.58/3
1.47/3
—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.53/1
Paulinho Bóia n 886.5
1.38/2
Zé Vitor n 890
2.56/6
Léo Santos n 890
1.66/4
Matheus Dias n 881
1.76/5
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ramírez30872622 min160.5 /9000 /90732.5 /90391.3 /90250.9 /90210.7 /90
Paulinho Bóia30852556 min40.1 /9020.1 /90471.7 /90250.9 /90381.3 /90351.2 /90
Pablo Ruan1748820 min00 /9000 /9091 /9060.7 /90141.5 /9050.5 /90
Witi1646739 min00 /9000 /90101.2 /9030.4 /90101.2 /9070.9 /90
Gabriel Veron1073727 min10.1 /9000 /9081 /9040.5 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
2.58/6
0.97/0
Paulinho Bóia n 886.5
28/5
1.38/2
Zé Vitor n 890
0.95/1
0.54/0
Léo Santos n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
Matheus Dias n 881
0.83/3
0.42/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.43/0
00/0
Paulinho Bóia n 886.5
0.32/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 890
00/0
00/0
Léo Santos n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Matheus Dias n 881
00/0
00/0
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AVS

AVS Goalkeeper

AVS — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Adriel14901260 min543.9 /90221.6 /9000 /90
Simão1190990 min282.5 /90232.1 /9000 /90
João Gonçalves690540 min233.8 /90172.8 /9000 /90
AVS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adriel n 890
4.58/7
Simão n 890
2.68/4

AVS Defensive

AVS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kiki23661509 min372.2 /90231.4 /9080.5 /90875.2 /90311.8 /9020.1 /90
C. Devenish22861890 min180.9 /90311.5 /90120.6 /90643 /90180.9 /9050.2 /90
L. Rivas21591238 min302.2 /90151.1 /9090.7 /90574.1 /90110.8 /9040.3 /90
Paulo Vitor14821151 min252 /90100.8 /9080.6 /90443.4 /90181.4 /9030.2 /90
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques13771006 min161.4 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90565 /90151.3 /9020.2 /90
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AVS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Akinsola n 862.8
0.73/1
0.73/1
Paulinho Bóia
Tómané n 881.8
1.44/3
1.86/4
—
Ó. Perea n 836.6
1.53/1
00/0
—
Pedro Lima n 879.9
1.46/2
1.85/3
—
Kiki n 850.1
1.35/1
1.14/1
—
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AVS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 862.8
1.67/2
Tómané n 881.8
0.74/1
Ó. Perea n 836.6
1.23/1
Pedro Lima n 879.9
2.47/6
Kiki n 850.1
1.65/1
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AVS Attacking

AVS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tómané25781958 min40.2 /9010 /90200.9 /90100.5 /90160.7 /9070.3 /90
Ó. Perea25501257 min20.1 /9000 /90231.6 /90110.8 /90120.9 /90271.9 /90
D. Duarte19531008 min30.3 /9000 /90121.1 /9070.6 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
Guilherme Neiva1641651 min10.1 /9020.3 /9091.2 /9060.8 /9060.8 /9081.1 /90
Nenê1325323 min41.1 /9000 /90164.5 /9082.2 /9061.7 /9010.3 /90
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AVS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 862.8
26/3
0.95/0
Tómané n 881.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Ó. Perea n 836.6
0.93/0
0.31/0
Pedro Lima n 879.9
1.46/3
0.62/1
Kiki n 850.1
0.42/0
00/0
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AVS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 862.8
00/0
00/0
Tómané n 881.8
0.32/0
00/0
Ó. Perea n 836.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Lima n 879.9
0.32/0
00/0
Kiki n 850.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NacionalAVS
68%Possession32%
1.83Expected goals (xG)1.64
25Shots19
6Shots on target3
10Shots off target7
9Blocked shots9
16Shots inside the box9
8Corners6
0Offsides1
8Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Saves4
433Passes203
84%Pass accuracy70%

Nacional Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kaique9000000006
Léo Santos9000000006.3
Zé Vitor90001001RY6.3
Filipe Soares9010111208.3
Paulinho Bóia9000114007.5
C. Ramírez9000620006.6
A. Núñez8800001307
José Gomes8800112507.2
C. Labidi71001011Y6.7
Daniel Júnior7100213106.7
Gabriel Veron45001011Y6.2
Liziero sub4500101307
Lucas João sub1900101006.6
Pablo Ruan sub1900003207
João Aurélio sub900000206.9
Witi sub900002107.2

AVS Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Adriel90000000Y6.3
Matheus Pivô9000000106.9
C. Devenish9000000106.6
Paulo Vitor90001003Y7.2
L. Rivas9000000407.6
Roni9000100306.9
Pedro Lima9010222307.6
D. Duarte9001003206.9
B. Akinsola8801202107.3
Guilherme Neiva7210412108.2
T. Galletto6400001006.6
Carlos Ponck sub2600000006.6
Tómané sub1800001006.2
Guillem Molina sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nacional v AVS — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NacionalLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
AVSDLDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Nacional 1 · 2 draws · AVS 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 Nacional
  • 2025-01-19 Nacional 3–1 AVS
  • 2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 Nacional
League standing · 2025/26
Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-8 GD
AVS#18 pos21 pts34 pl-40 GD
Goals per game
Nacional scored1.09
AVS scored0.79
Nacional conceded1.32
AVS conceded1.97

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nacional v AVS?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v AVS was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and AVS?
In their last 3 meetings, Nacional won 1, AVS won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nacional and AVS?
Recent form — Nacional 3W 0D 2L; AVS 0W 4D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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